Buffalo vs Bowling Green Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 06, 2022, 1:53 PM
  • (2-4) are point favorites vs (2-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The Buffalo Bulls (4-3) visit Doyt L. Perry Stadium to take on the Bowling Green Falcons (3-4) on Oct. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT in Bowling Green.

are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Buffalo U vs. Bowling Green is total points.

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Buffalo U vs. Bowling Green Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 6

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Buffalo U
Bowling Green

Buffalo U vs Bowling Green Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Bowling Green will win this game with 50.7% confidence.

Buffalo U vs Bowling Green Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Bowling Green will cover the spread with 58.7% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Buffalo U and Bowling Green, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • Buffalo has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games (+4.30 Units / 99% ROI)
  • Buffalo have covered the 1H Spread in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+11.00 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.55 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+6.60 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 67% ROI)

Buffalo U Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Buffalo U has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Buffalo U are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Buffalo U are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Buffalo U are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Bowling Green Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Bowling Green has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Bowling Green are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Bowling Green are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Bowling Green are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Buffalo U: Keys to the Game vs. Bowling Green

Buffalo is winless (0-9) when allowing 200 or more passing yards — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .442

Bowling Green: Keys to the Game vs. Buffalo U

Bowling Green is winless (0-8) when the opposing team commits less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .512

Bowling Green is winless (0-10) when intercepting no passes since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .355

Buffalo U Offensive Stats & Trends

Buffalo QBs have fumbled 4 times in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Buffalo WRs have 21 receptions in close and late situations this season– most among FBS Teams

Buffalo WRs have been targeted 35 times in close and late situations this season– most among FBS Teams

Buffalo Skill Players have been targeted 142 times in close and late situations since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Buffalo RBs have averaged 2.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (150 yards / 53 touches) on 1st down this season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5

Bowling Green Offensive Stats & Trends

Bowling Green RBs have rushed for 7 TDs on 69 carries (9.9 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.6

Bowling Green RBs have not rushed for a 0 TD on 64 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in close and late situations since last season– tied for worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 23.9

Bowling Green WRs have fumbled 4 times in the 4th quarter since last season– most among FBS Teams

Bowling Green RBs have rushed for one TD on 21 carries in the Red Zone this season– 5th worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

Bowling Green RBs have rushed for one TD on 91 carries this season– 5th worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 19.5

Buffalo Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

Buffalo has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 12 of their 136 carries (9%) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 3%

Buffalo has intercepted 5 of 405 attempts (81.0 pass attempts per int.) since last season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 37.3

Buffalo has allowed 5.2 touchdowns per interception (26 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) since last season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 1.9

Buffalo has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 12 of their 136 carries (9%) this season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 4%

Buffalo has allowed 5.2 touchdowns per interception (26 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) since last season– 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.1

Bowling Green Falcons Defensive Stats & Trends

Bowling Green has averaged 4.2 sacks per game this season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.0

Bowling Green has sacked opponents 17 times this season– 2nd most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Bowling Green has sacked opponents 8 times on 1st down this season– most in FBS

Bowling Green has allowed a Completion Pct of 93% (13 completions/14 attempts) on 3rd and short since last season– tied for 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 63%

Bowling Green has allowed 64.2 receiving yards per game (257/4) to RBs this season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 27.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.