Buffalo U vs Central Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 09, 2022, 8:06 PM
  • Central Michigan (3-6) are -1.5 point favorites vs Buffalo U (5-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): 57.5 points

The Buffalo Bulls (5-5) visit Kelly/Shorts Stadium to take on the Central Michigan Chippewas (4-7) on Nov. 9. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Mount Pleasant.

are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Buffalo U vs. Central Michigan is total points.

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Buffalo U vs. Central Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 11

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Buffalo U
Central Michigan

Buffalo U vs Central Michigan Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Buffalo will win this game with 51.7% confidence.

Buffalo U vs Central Michigan Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Central Michigan will cover the spread with 55.9% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Buffalo U and Central Michigan, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.

  • Buffalo has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+5.05 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.75 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Buffalo have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.95 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Central Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.85 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Central Michigan has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Central Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Central Michigan has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Central Michigan have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.55 Units / 23% ROI)

Buffalo U Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Buffalo U has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Buffalo U is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 9.5% ROI
  • Buffalo U is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • Buffalo U is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Central Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Central Michigan has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Central Michigan is 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.75 Units / -46.23% ROI
  • Central Michigan is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • Central Michigan is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

Buffalo U: Keys to the Game vs. Central Michigan

Buffalo is 2-10 (.167) when allowing 200 or more passing yards — tied for 11th-worst in FBS; Average: .447

Central Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Buffalo U

Central Michigan is 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes — tied for 13th-best in FBS; Average: .561

Buffalo U Offensive Stats & Trends

Buffalo RBs have averaged 2.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (329 yards / 112 touches) on 1st down this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Buffalo Punters have placed 0% of punts inside the 20 (0/13) this season– tied for worst among FBS Teams; Average: 32%

Buffalo QBs have fumbled 4 times in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Buffalo Punters have placed 15% of punts inside the 20 (7/46) since last season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 33%

Buffalo Skill Players have been targeted 168 times in close and late situations since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Central Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends

Central Michigan TEs have 16 receptions in close and late situations this season– most among FBS Teams

Central Michigan have gone for two on 21% of PATs this season– highest among FBS Offenses; Average: 5%

Central Michigan TEs have 18 receptions in the 4th quarter this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Central Michigan TEs have been targeted 18 times in close and late situations this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Central Michigan TEs have averaged 3.9 receptions per game (31/8) in the 2nd half this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 1.7

Buffalo Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

Buffalo has allowed 11.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (170 yards / 15 touches) on 3rd and short this season– worst in FBS; Average: 4.9

Buffalo has allowed 11.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (170 yards / 15 touches) on 3rd and short this season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 5.2

Buffalo has allowed 14.9 yards per completion (4,881 yards/327 completions) since last season– tied for 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 12.7

Buffalo has averaged a sack every 7.4 pass attempts (59 Pass Attempts/8 Sacks) in the Red Zone since last season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 16.0

Buffalo has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 17 of their 278 carries (6%) this season– tied for 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 3%

Central Michigan Chippewas Defensive Stats & Trends

Central Michigan has intercepted 8 of 684 attempts (85.5 pass attempts per int.) since last season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 38.3

Central Michigan has tackled opponents for a loss on 75 of 298 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) this season– tied for best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

Central Michigan has allowed 4.6 touchdowns per interception (37 TDs allowed, and 8 INT) since last season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 1.9

Central Michigan has tackled opponents for a loss on 173 of 763 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Central Michigan has intercepted 3 of 261 attempts (87.0 pass attempts per int.) this season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 37.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.