- Buffalo U is a -16.5 point favorite vs. Massachusetts
- Buffalo vs. Massachusetts Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
Buffalo (3-3) visit Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium to take on Massachusetts (0-6) on Oct. 18 in Amherst, MA. Kickoff is scheduled for 2:30pm EDT.
Buffalo U is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-110).
The Buffalo vs. Massachusetts Over/Under is 45.5 total points.
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Buffalo vs. Massachusetts Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Buffalo | -16.5 -110 | 45.5 -115 | -900 |
| Massachusetts | +16.5 -110 | 45.5 -105 | 600 |
Buffalo vs Massachusetts Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Buffalo will win this game with 77.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Buffalo U and Massachusetts, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Buffalo vs Massachusetts Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UMass will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Buffalo Best Bets Today
- Buffalo has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- Buffalo has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 54% ROI)
- Buffalo have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- Buffalo has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- Buffalo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.40 Units / 16% ROI)
Massachusetts Best Bets Today
- Massachusetts has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- Massachusetts have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- Massachusetts has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+4.80 Units / 58% ROI)
- Massachusetts has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- Massachusetts has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
Buffalo Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Buffalo U is 2-3 against the spread this college football season (-1.3 Units / -19.7% ROI).
- Buffalo is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -7.13% ROI
- Buffalo is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Buffalo is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
Massachusetts Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Massachusetts iss 1-5 against the spread this college football season (-4.55 Units / -68.42% ROI).
- Massachusetts is 0-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.65 Units / -100% ROI
- Massachusetts is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Massachusetts is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
Buffalo: Keys to the Game vs. Massachusetts
UMass was winless (0-4) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .462
UMass is winless (0-8) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2024 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .440
UMass is 2-16 (.111) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .442
UMass is 1-10 (.091) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .552
Massachusetts: Keys to the Game vs. Buffalo
Buffalo has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 24 rushing attempts (17% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: 12%.
Buffalo has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 18 of 240 carries (7%) this season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 13%
Buffalo has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 26 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.
Buffalo has tackled opponents for a loss on just 8 of 77 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
Buffalo has intercepted 2 of 195 attempts (97.5 pass attempts per int.) this season– 11th-worst in FBS; Average: 39.2
Matchup Notes for Buffalo vs. Massachusetts
Buffalo has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 24 rushing attempts (17% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: 12%.
Buffalo has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 18 of 240 carries (7%) this season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 13%
Buffalo has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 26 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.
Buffalo has tackled opponents for a loss on just 8 of 77 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
Buffalo has intercepted 2 of 195 attempts (97.5 pass attempts per int.) this season– 11th-worst in FBS; Average: 39.2
UMass was winless (0-4) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .462
UMass is winless (0-8) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2024 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .440
UMass is 2-16 (.111) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .442
UMass is 1-10 (.091) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .552
Buffalo Offensive Stats & Trends
UMass was winless (0-4) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .462
UMass is winless (0-8) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2024 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .440
UMass is 2-16 (.111) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .442
UMass is 1-10 (.091) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .552
Massachusetts Offensive Stats & Trends
Buffalo has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 24 rushing attempts (17% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: 12%.
Buffalo has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 18 of 240 carries (7%) this season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 13%
Buffalo has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 26 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.
Buffalo has tackled opponents for a loss on just 8 of 77 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
Buffalo has intercepted 2 of 195 attempts (97.5 pass attempts per int.) this season– 11th-worst in FBS; Average: 39.2
Buffalo Defensive Stats & Trends
UMass was winless (0-4) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .462
UMass is winless (0-8) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2024 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .440
UMass is 2-16 (.111) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .442
UMass is 1-10 (.091) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .552
Massachusetts Defensive Stats & Trends
Buffalo has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 24 rushing attempts (17% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: 12%.
Buffalo has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 18 of 240 carries (7%) this season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 13%
Buffalo has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 26 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.
Buffalo has tackled opponents for a loss on just 8 of 77 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
Buffalo has intercepted 2 of 195 attempts (97.5 pass attempts per int.) this season– 11th-worst in FBS; Average: 39.2
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