- Missouri is a -34.5 point favorite vs. Buffalo
- Buffalo vs. Missouri Total(Over/Under): 51.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
The Buffalo Bulls (1-0) visit Memorial Stadium/Faurot Field to take on the Missouri Tigers (1-0) on Sep. 7 in Columbia, MO. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
Missouri is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -34.5 (-110).
The Buffalo vs. Missouri Over/Under is 51.5 total points.
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Buffalo vs. Missouri Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
Buffalo | +34.5 -110 | 51.5 -110 | + |
Missouri | -34.5 -110 | 51.5 -110 | + |
Buffalo vs Missouri Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Missouri will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Buffalo vs Missouri Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Buffalo will cover the spread with 89.2% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Buffalo U and Missouri and key player performances this season.
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Buffalo Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
Missouri Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Buffalo players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Buffalo Player Prop Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Missouri players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Missouri Player Prop Best Bets Today
Buffalo: Keys to the Game vs. Missouri
Buffalo is 8-3 (.727) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2022 season– 13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .570
Buffalo was 1-7 (.125) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .415
Buffalo was winless (0-4) when losing at least one fumble in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .338
Buffalo was 2-8 (.182) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2023 season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .403
Missouri: Keys to the Game vs. Buffalo
Missouri is 9-4 (.600) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2022 season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .446
Missouri was 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2023 season– 7th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .562
Missouri is 9-4 (.692) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2022 season– T-40th-best in FBS; Average: .570
Missouri was 10-1 (.909) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2023 season– 7th-best in FBS; Average: .572
Matchup Notes for Buffalo vs. Missouri
Missouri gained 3,383 yards on 246 receptions (13.8 YPR) last season — 16th-best among FBS skill players. Buffalo’s defense allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception last season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.
Missouri’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 14.2% of 373 attempts last season — T-12th-best among FBS offenses. Buffalo’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.7% of attempts last season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.
Missouri’s RBs averaged 9.8 yards after the catch last season — 18th-best among FBS RBs. Buffalo’s defense allowed just 6.2 RAC to RBs last season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.
Buffalo’s RBs averaged just 5.5 yards after the catch last season — T-13th-worst among FBS RBs. Missouri’s defense allowed just 10.8 RAC last season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.
Buffalo gained 2,223 yards on 212 receptions (just 10.5 YPR) last season — 16th-worst among FBS skill players. Missouri’s defense allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception last season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Buffalo’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 7.1% of 394 attempts last season — 9th-worst among FBS offenses. Missouri’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.4% of attempts last season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
Buffalo Offensive Stats & Trends
Buffalo TEs have just one touchdown on 51 receptions since the 2022 season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.3
Buffalo RBs did not rush for 0a TD on 50 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in close and late situations in the 2023 season– T-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 23.8
Buffalo’s RBs averaged just 5.5 yards after the catch last season — T-13th-worst among FBS RBs. Missouri’s defense allowed just 10.8 RAC last season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.
Buffalo gained 2,223 yards on 212 receptions (just 10.5 YPR) last season — 16th-worst among FBS skill players. Missouri’s defense allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception last season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Buffalo’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 7.1% of 394 attempts last season — 9th-worst among FBS offenses. Missouri’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.4% of attempts last season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
Missouri Offensive Stats & Trends
Missouri gained 3,383 yards on 246 receptions (13.8 YPR) last season — 16th-best among FBS skill players. Buffalo’s defense allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception last season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.
Missouri TEs have averaged just 6.0 yards per reception (18 yards/3 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2022 season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 11.8
Missouri’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 14.2% of 373 attempts last season — T-12th-best among FBS offenses. Buffalo’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.7% of attempts last season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.
Missouri’s RBs averaged 9.8 yards after the catch last season — 18th-best among FBS RBs. Buffalo’s defense allowed just 6.2 RAC to RBs last season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.
Missouri’s RBs averaged 9.8 yards after the catch last season — 18th-best among FBS RBs. Buffalo’s defense allowed just 10.8 RAC last season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.
Buffalo Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends
Buffalo has tackled opponents for a loss on 16 of 56 rushing attempts (29% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12%.
Buffalo has tackled opponents for a loss on 16 of 56 rushing attempts (29% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 11%.
Buffalo has allowed first downs on 39% of rush attempts on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 60%
Buffalo allowed first downs on 32% of rush attempts on 3rd and short in the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 60%
Buffalo tackled opponents for a loss on 13 of 66 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 25th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
Missouri Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends
Missouri allowed 6 rushing TDs on 60 carries (10 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.7
Missouri allowed 6 rushing TDs on 60 carries (10 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 4.7
Missouri allowed 8 rushing TDs on 421 carries (52.6 Carries Per TD) in the 2023 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 24
Missouri has sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (78/808) since the 2022 season– best in the SEC; Average: 7%
Missouri allowed 6 rushing TDs on 60 carries (10 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 2nd-best in the SEC; Average: 5.3
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