- N Illinois is a -14 point favorite vs. Buffalo U
- Buffalo vs. Northern Illinois Total(Over/Under): 43.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
The Buffalo Bulls (2-1) visit Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium to take on the Northern Illinois Huskies (2-0) on Sep. 21 in DeKalb, IL. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
N Illinois is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -14 (-110).
The Buffalo vs. Northern Illinois Over/Under is 43.5 total points.
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Buffalo vs. Northern Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Buffalo | +14 -110 | 43.5 -110 | +425 |
| Northern Illinois | -14 -110 | 43.5 -110 | -600 |
Buffalo vs Northern Illinois Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Northern Illinois will win this game with 84.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Buffalo U and N Illinois, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Buffalo vs Northern Illinois Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Northern Illinois will cover the spread with 66.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Buffalo Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Buffalo has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 75% ROI)
- Buffalo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.75 Units / 55% ROI)
- Buffalo has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- Buffalo have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)
- Buffalo has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 away games (+0.25 Units / 5% ROI)
Northern Illinois Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Northern Illinois has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- Northern Illinois has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+3.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- Northern Illinois has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- Northern Illinois has hit the Moneyline in their last 3 games (+3.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Northern Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.70 Units / 35% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Buffalo players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Buffalo Player Prop Bets Today
- CJ Ogbonna has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Northern Illinois players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Northern Illinois Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Trayvon Rudolph has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Antario Brown has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Buffalo Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Buffalo U is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Buffalo is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 62.5% ROI
- Buffalo is 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.35 Units / -100% ROI
- Buffalo is 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 92.31% ROI
Northern Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record
N Illinois is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Northern Illinois is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Northern Illinois is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.15 Units / -6.67% ROI
- Northern Illinois is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.65% ROI
Buffalo: Keys to the Game vs. Northern Illinois
Buffalo is 6-3 (.545) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2022 season– T-9th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .399
Buffalo is winless (0-8) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .355
Buffalo is 2-9 (.182) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .446
Buffalo is 1-8 (.111) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .386
Northern Illinois: Keys to the Game vs. Buffalo
Northern Illinois is 6-1 (.750) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-18th-best in FBS; Average: .498
Northern Illinois is 5-13 (.263) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– 35th-worst in FBS; Average: .405
Northern Illinois is 5-10 (.333) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2022 season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .497
Northern Illinois is undefeated (5-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .382
Matchup Notes for Buffalo vs. Northern Illinois
Northern Illinois’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 16.3% of 49 attempts this season — T-15th-best among FBS offenses. Buffalo’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.7% of attempts this season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois has gained 589 yards on 32 receptions (18.4 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among FBS skill players. Buffalo’s defense has allowed just 7.8 Yards Per Reception this season — 7th-best among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois’s WRs has gained 259 yards on 16 receptions (16.2 YPR) this season — T-21st-best among FBS WRs. Buffalo’s defense has allowed just 9.4 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.
Buffalo’s offense has thrown for 2,658 passing yards in 15 games (just 177.2 YPG) since the 2023 season — 16th-worst among FBS offenses. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 172.0 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 8th-best among FBS defenses.
Buffalo’s QBs has thrown for 2,631 passing yards in 15 games (just 175.4 YPG) since the 2023 season — 16th-worst among FBS teams. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 172.0 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 8th-best among FBS defenses.
Buffalo’s RBs has averaged just 5.6 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-10th-worst among FBS RBs. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC since the 2023 season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.
Buffalo Offensive Stats & Trends
Buffalo’s offense has thrown for 2,658 passing yards in 15 games (just 177.2 YPG) since the 2023 season — 16th-worst among FBS offenses. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 172.0 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 8th-best among FBS defenses.
Buffalo’s QBs has thrown for 2,631 passing yards in 15 games (just 175.4 YPG) since the 2023 season — 16th-worst among FBS teams. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 172.0 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 8th-best among FBS defenses.
Buffalo’s RBs has averaged just 5.6 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-10th-worst among FBS RBs. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC since the 2023 season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.
Buffalo has gained 2,658 yards on 246 receptions (just 10.8 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-17th-worst among FBS skill players. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 10.9 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.
Buffalo’s RBs has 55 receptions in 15 games (3.7 per game) since the 2023 season — T-34th-best among FBS RBs. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 15.7 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 11th-best among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends
Northern Illinois’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 16.3% of 49 attempts this season — T-15th-best among FBS offenses. Buffalo’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.7% of attempts this season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois has gained 589 yards on 32 receptions (18.4 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among FBS skill players. Buffalo’s defense has allowed just 7.8 Yards Per Reception this season — 7th-best among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois’s WRs has gained 259 yards on 16 receptions (16.2 YPR) this season — T-21st-best among FBS WRs. Buffalo’s defense has allowed just 9.4 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois’s WRs has gained 259 yards on 16 receptions (16.2 YPR) this season — T-21st-best among FBS WRs. Buffalo’s defense has allowed just 7.8 Yards Per Reception this season — 7th-best among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois Skill Players have averaged 18.4 yards per reception (589 yards/32 catches) this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.2
Buffalo Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends
Buffalo has tackled opponents for a loss on 16 of 56 rushing attempts (29% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 11%.
Buffalo has tackled opponents for a loss on 16 of 56 rushing attempts (29% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12%.
Buffalo has allowed just 7.8 yards per completion (564 yards/72 completions) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.9
Buffalo has tackled opponents for a loss on 23 of 107 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) this season– 23rd-best in FBS; Average: 16%.
Buffalo has allowed first downs on 39% of rush attempts on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 60%
Northern Illinois Huskies Defensive Stats & Trends
Northern Illinois has tackled opponents for a loss on just 7 of 82 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
Northern Illinois has tackled opponents for a loss on just 6 of 57 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) this season– 19th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
Northern Illinois has allowed a Completion Pct of just 42% (11 completions/26 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-11th-best in FBS; Average: 53%
Northern Illinois has tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 39 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 35th-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.
Northern Illinois has allowed 172.0 Passing Yards per game (2,580/15) since the 2023 season– 8th-best in FBS; Average: 219.6
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