Buffalo U vs Wisconsin Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 1

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Wisconsin wide receiver Skyler Bell against Purdue during the first half of an NCAA college football game Saturday, Oct. 22, 2022, in Madison, Wis. (AP Photo/Andy Manis)
(AP Photo/Andy Manis)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 05, 2023, 1:30 PM
  • Wisconsin is a -27.5 point favorite vs Buffalo U
  • Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
  • Watch the game on Fox Sports 1

The Buffalo Bulls visit Camp Randall Stadium to take on the Wisconsin Badgers on Sep. 2. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Madison.

is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at ().

The Buffalo U vs. Wisconsin Over/Under is total points.

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Buffalo U vs. Wisconsin Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 1

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Buffalo U
Wisconsin

Buffalo U vs Wisconsin Prediction for Week 1

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Wisconsin will win this game with 95.0% confidence.

Buffalo U vs Wisconsin Spread Prediction for Week 1

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Buffalo will cover the spread with 71.3% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Buffalo U and Wisconsin, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Wisconsin Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Wisconsin players for Week 1, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Skyler Bell has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.55 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Chimere Dike has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Chez Mellusi has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Braelon Allen has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.50 Units / 29% ROI)

Buffalo U Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Buffalo U went against the spread last college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Buffalo U went 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 6.81% ROI
  • Buffalo U went 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI
  • Buffalo U went 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI

Wisconsin Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Wisconsin went against the spread last college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Wisconsin went 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.35 Units / -41.1% ROI
  • Wisconsin went 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI
  • Wisconsin went 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI

Wisconsin: Keys to the Game vs. Buffalo U

#19 Wisconsin is undefeated (7-0) when not throwing an interception since the 2021 season– tied for 7th-best in FBS; Average: .588

#19 Wisconsin is 12-1 (.857) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2021 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: .630

#19 Wisconsin is 10-1 (.714) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2021 season– 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .519

#19 Wisconsin is 9-4 (.600) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– tied for 11th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .448

Matchup Notes for Buffalo U vs. Wisconsin

Wisconsin’s WRs has gained 2,966 yards on 209 receptions (14.2 YPR) since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Big Ten WRs. Buffalo’s defense has allowed 14.8 Yards Per Reception to WRs since the 2021 season — tied for ninth-worst among FBS defenses.

Wisconsin’s TEs gained 380 yards on 32 receptions (11.9 YPR) in the 2022 season — fifth-best among Big Ten TEs. Buffalo’s defense allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception to TEs in the 2022 season — tied for 16th-worst among FBS defenses.

Wisconsin has gained 4,433 yards on 358 receptions (12.4 YPR) since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Big Ten skill players. Buffalo’s defense has allowed 13.2 Yards Per Reception to TEs since the 2021 season — tied for 10th-worst among FBS defenses.

Buffalo’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 7.3% of 463 attempts in the 2022 season — tied for 11th-worst among FBS offenses. Wisconsin’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 10.9% of attempts in the 2022 season — fourth-best among Big Ten defenses.

Buffalo’s WRs averaged just 11.1 yards after the catch in the 2022 season — tied for 14th-worst among FBS WRs. Wisconsin’s defense allowed 11.9 RAC in the 2022 season — fourth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Buffalo’s WRs had 191 receptions in 13 games (14.7 per game) in the 2022 season — 34th-best among FBS WRs. Wisconsin’s defense allowed just 17.2 receptions per game in the 2022 season — 29th-best among FBS defenses.

Buffalo U Offensive Stats & Trends

Buffalo’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 7.3% of 463 attempts in the 2022 season — tied for 11th-worst among FBS offenses. Wisconsin’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 10.9% of attempts in the 2022 season — fourth-best among Big Ten defenses.

Buffalo’s WRs averaged just 11.1 yards after the catch in the 2022 season — tied for 14th-worst among FBS WRs. Wisconsin’s defense allowed 11.9 RAC in the 2022 season — fourth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Buffalo’s WRs had 191 receptions in 13 games (14.7 per game) in the 2022 season — 34th-best among FBS WRs. Wisconsin’s defense allowed just 17.2 receptions per game in the 2022 season — 29th-best among FBS defenses.

Buffalo RBs averaged 3.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (743 yards / 206 touches) on 1st down in the 2022 season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Buffalo’s offense has averaged just 1.2 passing TDs per game since the 2021 season — tied for 22nd-worst among FBS offenses. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 1.0 passing TDs per game since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-best among FBS defenses.

Wisconsin Offensive Stats & Trends

Wisconsin’s WRs has gained 2,966 yards on 209 receptions (14.2 YPR) since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Big Ten WRs. Buffalo’s defense has allowed 14.8 Yards Per Reception to WRs since the 2021 season — tied for ninth-worst among FBS defenses.

Wisconsin’s TEs gained 380 yards on 32 receptions (11.9 YPR) in the 2022 season — fifth-best among Big Ten TEs. Buffalo’s defense allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception to TEs in the 2022 season — tied for 16th-worst among FBS defenses.

Wisconsin has gained 4,433 yards on 358 receptions (12.4 YPR) since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Big Ten skill players. Buffalo’s defense has allowed 13.2 Yards Per Reception to TEs since the 2021 season — tied for 10th-worst among FBS defenses.

Wisconsin has gained 4,433 yards on 358 receptions (12.4 YPR) since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Big Ten skill players. Buffalo’s defense has allowed 13.4 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for 10th-worst among FBS defenses.

Wisconsin’s TEs has 84 receptions in 26 games (just 3.2 per game) since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among Big Ten TEs. Buffalo’s defense has allowed just 16.7 receptions per game since the 2021 season — tied for 17th-best among FBS defenses.

Buffalo Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

Buffalo tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 24 rushing attempts (29% TFL%) on 3rd and short in the 2022 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 11%.

Buffalo tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 24 rushing attempts (29% TFL%) on 3rd and short in the 2022 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 12%.

Buffalo allowed 8.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (259 yards / 32 touches) on 3rd and short in the 2022 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 4.9

Buffalo forced 19 fumbles in the 2022 season– most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Buffalo has allowed 14.4 yards per completion (6,016 yards/419 completions) since the 2021 season– tied for 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 12.7

Wisconsin Badgers Defensive Stats & Trends

#19 Wisconsin has allowed first downs on 15% of rush attempts since the 2021 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 23%

#19 Wisconsin has sacked opposing QBs just once on 71 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– 7th-worst in FBS; Average: 16.3

#19 Wisconsin has tackled opponents for a loss on 180 of 840 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) since the 2021 season– tied for 5th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

#19 Wisconsin forced 5 fumbles on 443 carries (88.6 Carries Per Fumble) in the 2022 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 40.4

#19 Wisconsin has allowed first downs on 7% of rush attempts in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– best in FBS; Average: 17%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.