BYU vs Arizona Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 7

Arizona football stadium
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  • BYU is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Arizona
  • BYU vs. Arizona Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN2

BYU (5-0) visit Arizona Stadium to take on Arizona (4-1) on Oct. 11 in Tucson, AZ. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT.

BYU is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The BYU vs. Arizona Over/Under is 47.5 total points.

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BYU vs. Arizona Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
BYU-1.5 -11047.5 -115-125
Arizona +1.5 -11047.5 -105105

BYU vs Arizona Prediction:

The winning team model predicts BYU will win this game with 53.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both BYU and Arizona, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

BYU vs Arizona Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arizona will cover the spread with 50.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • BYU has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • BYU have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.75 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Arizona have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Arizona have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.05 Units / 5% ROI)

BYU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

BYU is 3-2 against the spread this college football season (+0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI).

  • BYU is 4-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 12.99% ROI
  • BYU is 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • BYU is 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI

Arizona Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arizona iss 4-1 against the spread this college football season (+2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI).

  • Arizona is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 9.37% ROI
  • Arizona is 1-4 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI
  • Arizona is 4-1 when betting the Under for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI

BYU: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona

BYU was 10-1 (.909) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-6th-best in FBS; Average: .624

BYU is 16-2 (.889) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2024 season– T-4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .642

BYU was 11-2 (.846) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .618

BYU is 10-2 (.833) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: .451

Arizona: Keys to the Game vs. BYU

Arizona TEs averaged 23.2 yards per reception (93 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.2

Arizona has 373 receptions in 17 games (21.9 per game) since the 2024 season — T-29th-best among FBS skill players. BYU’s defense has allowed just 16.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among Big 12 defenses.

Arizona’s TEs has gained 81 yards on 12 receptions (just 6.8 YPR) this season — T-3rd-worst among P5 TEs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona’s offense has thrown for 1,431 passing yards in 5 games (286.2 YPG) this season — 22nd-best among FBS offenses. BYU’s defense has allowed just 147.4 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.

Arizona’s TEs has gained 81 yards on 12 receptions (just 6.8 YPR) this season — T-worst among Big 12 TEs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 35th-best among FBS defenses.

Matchup Notes for BYU vs. Arizona

Arizona TEs averaged 23.2 yards per reception (93 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.2

Arizona has 373 receptions in 17 games (21.9 per game) since the 2024 season — T-29th-best among FBS skill players. BYU’s defense has allowed just 16.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among Big 12 defenses.

Arizona’s TEs has gained 81 yards on 12 receptions (just 6.8 YPR) this season — T-3rd-worst among P5 TEs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona’s offense has thrown for 1,431 passing yards in 5 games (286.2 YPG) this season — 22nd-best among FBS offenses. BYU’s defense has allowed just 147.4 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.

Arizona’s TEs has gained 81 yards on 12 receptions (just 6.8 YPR) this season — T-worst among Big 12 TEs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 35th-best among FBS defenses.

BYU was 10-1 (.909) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-6th-best in FBS; Average: .624

BYU is 16-2 (.889) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2024 season– T-4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .642

BYU was 11-2 (.846) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .618

BYU is 10-2 (.833) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: .451

BYU Offensive Stats & Trends

BYU was 10-1 (.909) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-6th-best in FBS; Average: .624

BYU is 16-2 (.889) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2024 season– T-4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .642

BYU was 11-2 (.846) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .618

BYU is 10-2 (.833) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: .451

Arizona Offensive Stats & Trends

Arizona TEs averaged 23.2 yards per reception (93 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.2

Arizona has 373 receptions in 17 games (21.9 per game) since the 2024 season — T-29th-best among FBS skill players. BYU’s defense has allowed just 16.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among Big 12 defenses.

Arizona’s TEs has gained 81 yards on 12 receptions (just 6.8 YPR) this season — T-3rd-worst among P5 TEs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona’s offense has thrown for 1,431 passing yards in 5 games (286.2 YPG) this season — 22nd-best among FBS offenses. BYU’s defense has allowed just 147.4 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.

Arizona’s TEs has gained 81 yards on 12 receptions (just 6.8 YPR) this season — T-worst among Big 12 TEs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 35th-best among FBS defenses.

BYU Defensive Stats & Trends

BYU was 10-1 (.909) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-6th-best in FBS; Average: .624

BYU is 16-2 (.889) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2024 season– T-4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .642

BYU was 11-2 (.846) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .618

BYU is 10-2 (.833) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: .451

Arizona Defensive Stats & Trends

Arizona TEs averaged 23.2 yards per reception (93 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.2

Arizona has 373 receptions in 17 games (21.9 per game) since the 2024 season — T-29th-best among FBS skill players. BYU’s defense has allowed just 16.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among Big 12 defenses.

Arizona’s TEs has gained 81 yards on 12 receptions (just 6.8 YPR) this season — T-3rd-worst among P5 TEs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona’s offense has thrown for 1,431 passing yards in 5 games (286.2 YPG) this season — 22nd-best among FBS offenses. BYU’s defense has allowed just 147.4 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.

Arizona’s TEs has gained 81 yards on 12 receptions (just 6.8 YPR) this season — T-worst among Big 12 TEs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 35th-best among FBS defenses.


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