BYU vs Arizona St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

Arizona State head coach Kenny Dillingham shouts at officials during the second half of an NCAA college football game against Colorado, Saturday, Oct. 7, 2023, in Tempe, Ariz. (AP Photo/Ross D. Franklin)
(AP Photo/Ross D. Franklin)
  • Arizona St is a -3 point favorite vs. BYU
  • BYU vs. Arizona State Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN

The BYU Cougars (9-1) visit Mountain America Stadium to take on the Arizona State Sun Devils (8-2) on Nov. 23 in Tempe, AZ. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.

Arizona St is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).

The BYU vs. Arizona State Over/Under is 48.5 total points.

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BYU vs. Arizona State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
BYU+3 -11048.5 -110+135
Arizona State -3 -11048.5 -110-160

BYU vs Arizona State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Arizona State will win this game with 59.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both BYU and Arizona St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

BYU vs Arizona State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arizona State will cover the spread with 52.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • BYU has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+10.10 Units / 61% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 6 away games (+8.60 Units / 114% ROI)
  • BYU have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 6 away games (+6.15 Units / 85% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.50 Units / 42% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+7.60 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Arizona State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.55 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.55 Units / 28% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for BYU players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best BYU Player Prop Bets Today

  • Darius Lassiter has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • LJ Martin has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Hinckley Ropati has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Jake Retzlaff has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jake Retzlaff has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Arizona State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Arizona State Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Jordyn Tyson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Cam Skattebo has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Sam Leavitt has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Cam Skattebo has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Sam Leavitt has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

BYU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

BYU is 7-3 against the spread this college football season (+3.7 Units / 33.04% ROI).

  • BYU is 8-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.1 Units / 71.84% ROI
  • BYU is 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI
  • BYU is 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI

Arizona State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arizona St is 8-2 against the spread this college football season (+5.8 Units / 52.97% ROI).

  • Arizona State is 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.6 Units / 59.31% ROI
  • Arizona State is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Arizona State is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

BYU: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona State

BYU is winless (0-4) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .394

BYU is winless (0-4) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .352

BYU is undefeated (10-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .598

BYU is 8-1 (.889) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .691

Arizona State: Keys to the Game vs. BYU

Arizona State is 5-8 (.385) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .592

Arizona State is 5-8 (.385) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .536

Arizona State is 5-11 (.312) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .510

Arizona State is 5-10 (.333) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .511

Matchup Notes for BYU vs. Arizona State

Arizona State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.0% of 266 attempts this season — 31st-best among FBS offenses. BYU’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.2% of attempts this season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona State’s RBs has averaged 13.2 yards after the catch this season — T-5th-best among FBS RBs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 5.4 RAC to RBs this season — 11th-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona State’s WRs have just 123.4 receiving yards per game this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS WRs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 176.1 receiving yards per game this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.

BYU’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.5% of 295 attempts this season — 28th-best among FBS offenses. Arizona State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.5% of attempts this season — T-5th-best among FBS defenses.

BYU’s WRs has gained 1,848 yards on 123 receptions (15.0 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big 12 WRs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.

BYU has gained 2,332 yards on 173 receptions (13.5 YPR) this season — T-2nd-best among Big 12 skill players. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.

BYU Offensive Stats & Trends

BYU’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.5% of 295 attempts this season — 28th-best among FBS offenses. Arizona State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.5% of attempts this season — T-5th-best among FBS defenses.

BYU’s WRs has gained 1,848 yards on 123 receptions (15.0 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big 12 WRs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.

BYU has gained 2,332 yards on 173 receptions (13.5 YPR) this season — T-2nd-best among Big 12 skill players. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.

BYU’s WRs has gained 1,848 yards on 123 receptions (15.0 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big 12 WRs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.

BYU’s TEs has gained 239 yards on 26 receptions (just 9.2 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among Big 12 TEs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.

Arizona State Offensive Stats & Trends

Arizona State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.0% of 266 attempts this season — 31st-best among FBS offenses. BYU’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.2% of attempts this season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 3.6 receptions (29 Rec/8 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1

Arizona State RBs have 8 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Arizona State’s RBs has averaged 13.2 yards after the catch this season — T-5th-best among FBS RBs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 5.4 RAC to RBs this season — 11th-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona State RBs have 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

BYU Cougars Defensive Stats & Trends

BYU has sacked opposing QBs just once on 74 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 16.1

BYU has sacked opposing QBs just once on 74 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-4th-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

BYU has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (25/727) since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 7%

BYU has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (25/727) since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

BYU sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (11/408) in the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 6%

Arizona State Sun Devils Defensive Stats & Trends

Arizona State has allowed 9 TD passes in close and late situations since the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams

Arizona State allowed 5.6 touchdowns per interception (28 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.7

Arizona State did not record a sack (40 pass attempts) last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 14.6

Arizona State allowed no passing TDs (40 pass attempts) last week– T-best in the Big 12; Average: 23.1

Arizona State did not record a sack (40 pass attempts) last week– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 16.4


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