- Arkansas is a -7.5 point favorite vs. BYU
- Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN2
The BYU Cougars visit Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks on Sep. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Fayetteville.
Arkansas is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).
The BYU vs. Arkansas Over/Under is 48 total points.
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BYU vs. Arkansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 3
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
BYU | +7.5 -105 | 48 -110 | +240 |
Arkansas | -7.5 -115 | 48 -110 | -300 |
BYU vs Arkansas Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Arkansas will win this game with 77.6% confidence.
BYU vs Arkansas Spread Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arkansas will cover the spread with 63.5% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both BYU and Arkansas, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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BYU Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- BYU has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 60% ROI)
- BYU have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- BYU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- BYU have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- BYU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.75 Units / 26% ROI)
Arkansas Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games (+2.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Arkansas have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 4 games (+2.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.85 Units / 41% ROI)
Best Arkansas Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Arkansas players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- KJ Jefferson has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- KJ Jefferson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+4.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- KJ Jefferson has hit the TD Passes Over in 8 of his last 14 games (+3.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- Raheim Sanders has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- Raheim Sanders has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.55 Units / 30% ROI)
BYU Against the Spread (ATS) Record
BYU is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- BYU is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 7.41% ROI
- BYU is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- BYU is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Arkansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arkansas is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Arkansas is 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.3 Units / -44.24% ROI
- Arkansas is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Arkansas is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
BYU: Keys to the Game vs. Arkansas
BYU was winless (0-2) when throwing at least 1 interception in the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .296
BYU is 3-1 (.750) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .494
BYU is 1-1 (.111) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– tied for 13th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .354
BYU was 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush in the 2022 season– tied for 13th-best in FBS; Average: .587
Arkansas: Keys to the Game vs. BYU
Arkansas is winless (0-3) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .338
Arkansas was winless (0-3) when throwing at least 1 interception in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .352
Arkansas was winless (0-2) when throwing at least 1 interception in the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .296
Arkansas is 12-5 (.500) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– tied for 15th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .409
Matchup Notes for BYU vs. Arkansas
Arkansas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.6% of 44 attempts this season — tied for 35th-best among FBS offenses. BYU’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.6% of attempts this season — fourth-best among P5 defenses.
Arkansas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.6% of 44 attempts this season — tied for 35th-best among FBS offenses. BYU’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.6% of attempts this season — third-best among Big 12 defenses.
Arkansas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.0% of 399 attempts since the 2022 season — 21st-best among FBS offenses. BYU’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.3% of attempts since the 2022 season — tied for 34th-best among FBS defenses.
BYU’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.9% of 456 attempts since the 2022 season — tied for 22nd-best among FBS offenses. Arkansas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.4% of attempts since the 2022 season — fourth-best among FBS defenses.
BYU’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.7% of 65 attempts this season — tied for 31st-worst among FBS offenses. Arkansas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.3% of attempts this season — third-best among SEC defenses.
BYU’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.9% of 456 attempts since the 2022 season — tied for 22nd-best among FBS offenses. Arkansas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.4% of attempts since the 2022 season — best among SEC defenses.
BYU Offensive Stats & Trends
BYU Skill Players have no touchdowns on 20 receptions this season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9.1
BYU’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.9% of 456 attempts since the 2022 season — tied for 22nd-best among FBS offenses. Arkansas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.4% of attempts since the 2022 season — fourth-best among FBS defenses.
BYU’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.7% of 65 attempts this season — tied for 31st-worst among FBS offenses. Arkansas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.3% of attempts this season — third-best among SEC defenses.
BYU WRs have no touchdowns on 12 receptions this season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 8.6
BYU’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.9% of 456 attempts since the 2022 season — tied for 22nd-best among FBS offenses. Arkansas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.4% of attempts since the 2022 season — best among SEC defenses.
Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends
Arkansas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.6% of 44 attempts this season — tied for 35th-best among FBS offenses. BYU’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.6% of attempts this season — fourth-best among P5 defenses.
Arkansas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.6% of 44 attempts this season — tied for 35th-best among FBS offenses. BYU’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.6% of attempts this season — third-best among Big 12 defenses.
Arkansas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.0% of 399 attempts since the 2022 season — 21st-best among FBS offenses. BYU’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.3% of attempts since the 2022 season — tied for 34th-best among FBS defenses.
Arkansas has gained 3,445 yards on 259 receptions (13.3 YPR) since the 2022 season — tied for 21st-best among FBS skill players. BYU’s defense has allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception since the 2022 season — third-best among Big 12 defenses.
Arkansas QBs have 14 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go since last season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams
BYU Cougars Defensive Stats & Trends
BYU has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 6 of 22 attempts (27%) on 3rd and long since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9%
BYU did not record a sack (48 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 16.7
BYU has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 6 of 22 attempts (27%) on 3rd and long since the 2021 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9%
BYU has averaged a sack every 29.4 pass attempts (471 Pass Attempts/16 Sacks) since last season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 14.4
BYU has forced 11 fumbles on 1,018 carries (92.5 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2021 season– worst in FBS; Average: 41.4
Arkansas Razorbacks Defensive Stats & Trends
Arkansas has 4 interceptions this season– tied for 3rd-most in FBS
Arkansas has 4 interceptions this season– tied for 3rd-most among Non-Power 5 Teams
Arkansas has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 21 of 134 attempts (16%) since the 2021 season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10%
Arkansas has averaged 4.00 interceptions per game (4/1) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 0.85
Arkansas’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 14% of PATs since the 2021 season– highest in FBS; Average: 5%
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