- The Baylor is a -3 point favorite vs. BYU
- The BYU vs. Baylor Total(Over/Under): 45.5 points
- TV Channel: FS1
The BYU Cougars (4-0) visit McLane Stadium to take on the Baylor Bears (2-2) on Sep. 28 in Waco, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Baylor is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -3 (-120).
The BYU vs. Baylor Over/Under is 45.5 total points.
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BYU vs. Baylor Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| BYU | +3 +100 | 45.5 -115 | +135 |
| Baylor | -3 -120 | 45.5 -105 | -160 |
BYU vs Baylor Prediction:
The winning team model predicts
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both BYU and Baylor, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
BYU vs Baylor Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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BYU Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- BYU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- BYU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- BYU has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- BYU have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- BYU have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
Baylor Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Baylor has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for BYU players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best BYU Player Prop Bets Today
- Chase Roberts has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- LJ Martin has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Keanu Hill has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Baylor players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Baylor Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Dominic Richardson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Monaray Baldwin has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game at home (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Richard Reese has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Hal Presley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
BYU Against the Spread (ATS) Record
BYU is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 89.55% ROI).
Baylor Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Baylor is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).
BYU: Keys to the Game vs. Baylor
BYU is undefeated (7-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .604
BYU is undefeated (7-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .679
BYU is 7-2 (.778) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-29th-best in FBS; Average: .632
BYU is 3-6 (.333) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– 13th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .547
Baylor: Keys to the Game vs. BYU
Baylor is 2-12 (.143) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .538
Baylor is 1-12 (.077) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .470
Baylor is 1-6 (.143) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-6th-worst in FBS; Average: .507
Baylor is 2-11 (.154) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .614
Matchup Notes for BYU vs. Baylor
Baylor has gained 789 yards on 56 receptions (14.1 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 skill players. BYU’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.
Baylor’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 17.0% of 94 attempts this season — 8th-best among FBS offenses. BYU’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 4.1% of attempts this season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.
Baylor has gained 789 yards on 56 receptions (14.1 YPR) this season — T-26th-best among FBS skill players. BYU’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.
BYU’s TEs has gained 161 yards on 13 receptions (12.4 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Baylor’s defense has allowed just 4.9 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.
BYU has been targeted 116 times this season — 5th-most among Big 12 skill players. Baylor’s defense has allowed 568 receiving yards this season — 4th-fewest among Big 12 defenses.
BYU’s WRs has gained 744 yards on 48 receptions (15.5 YPR) this season — T-4th-best among Big 12 WRs. Baylor’s defense has allowed 15.1 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 19th-worst among FBS defenses.
BYU Offensive Stats & Trends
BYU Skill Players have averaged just 8.2 yards per reception (408 yards/50 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.7
BYU Skill Players have averaged just 8.2 yards per reception (408 yards/50 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.2
BYU Skill Players have averaged just 8.2 yards per reception (408 yards/50 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9
BYU Skill Players have averaged just 9.2 yards per reception (599 yards/65 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.4
BYU Skill Players have just one touchdown on 43 receptions in close and late situations since the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 11.6
Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends
Baylor has gained 789 yards on 56 receptions (14.1 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 skill players. BYU’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.
Baylor Skill Players have averaged 25.8 yards per reception (103 yards/4 catches) with 4-6 yards to go this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.0
Baylor’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 17.0% of 94 attempts this season — 8th-best among FBS offenses. BYU’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 4.1% of attempts this season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.
Baylor Skill Players have averaged 25.8 yards per reception (103 yards/4 catches) with 4-6 yards to go this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2
Baylor has gained 789 yards on 56 receptions (14.1 YPR) this season — T-26th-best among FBS skill players. BYU’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.
BYU Cougars Defensive Stats & Trends
BYU has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (18/531) since the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 6%
BYU has allowed no passing TDs (123 pass attempts) this season– T-best in FBS; Average: 22.6
BYU sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (11/408) in the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 6%
BYU has averaged a sack every 29.5 pass attempts (531 Pass Attempts/18 Sacks) since the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 15.5
BYU has allowed no passing TDs (123 pass attempts) this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 26.5
Baylor Bears Defensive Stats & Trends
Baylor has not recorded a sack (42 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.1
Baylor has not recorded a sack (42 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 14.5
Baylor sacked opponents 8 times last week– most among Power Conference Teams
Baylor sacked opponents 8 times last week– most in the Big 12
Baylor has not recorded a sack (42 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 14.9
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