BYU vs Iowa St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 9

Iowa State head coach Matt Campbell walks off the field after an NCAA college football game against Oklahoma, Saturday, Oct. 29, 2022, in Ames, Iowa. Oklahoma won 27-13. (AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
(AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
  • Iowa St is a -3 point favorite vs. BYU
  • BYU vs. Iowa State Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
  • TV Channel: FOX

BYU (7-0) visit Jack Trice Stadium to take on Iowa State (5-2) on Oct. 25 in Ames, IA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Iowa St is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).

The BYU vs. Iowa State Over/Under is 49.5 total points.

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BYU vs. Iowa State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
BYU+3 -11049.5 -115130
Iowa State -3 -11049.5 -105-155

BYU vs Iowa State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Iowa State will win this game with 56.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both BYU and Iowa St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

BYU vs Iowa State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Iowa State will cover the spread with 52.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • BYU has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 30% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 50% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+2.70 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Iowa State have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.90 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)

BYU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

BYU is 5-2 against the spread this college football season (+2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI).

  • BYU is 6-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.65 Units / 20.03% ROI
  • BYU is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
  • BYU is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI

Iowa State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Iowa St iss 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -3.9% ROI).

  • Iowa State is 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 9.51% ROI
  • Iowa State is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
  • Iowa State is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI

BYU: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa State

Iowa State was 11-3 (.786) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .575

Iowa State was 9-3 (.750) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .628

Iowa State was 9-3 (.750) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-10th-best in FBS; Average: .442

Iowa State was 8-1 (.889) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-7th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688

Iowa State: Keys to the Game vs. BYU

Iowa State has gained 1,695 yards on 132 receptions (12.8 YPR) this season — T-29th-best among FBS skill players. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.

Iowa State’s TEs has gained 578 yards on 47 receptions (12.3 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.

Iowa State’s WRs has gained 990 yards on 65 receptions (15.2 YPR) this season — 19th-best among FBS WRs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.

Iowa State has averaged 13.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 18th-best among FBS skill players. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.6 RAC since the 2024 season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.

Iowa State’s WRs has averaged 14.5 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-15th-best among FBS WRs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.6 RAC since the 2024 season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.

Matchup Notes for BYU vs. Iowa State

Iowa State has gained 1,695 yards on 132 receptions (12.8 YPR) this season — T-29th-best among FBS skill players. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.

Iowa State’s TEs has gained 578 yards on 47 receptions (12.3 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.

Iowa State’s WRs has gained 990 yards on 65 receptions (15.2 YPR) this season — 19th-best among FBS WRs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.

Iowa State has averaged 13.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 18th-best among FBS skill players. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.6 RAC since the 2024 season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.

Iowa State’s WRs has averaged 14.5 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-15th-best among FBS WRs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.6 RAC since the 2024 season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.

Iowa State was 11-3 (.786) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .575

Iowa State was 9-3 (.750) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .628

Iowa State was 9-3 (.750) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-10th-best in FBS; Average: .442

Iowa State was 8-1 (.889) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-7th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688

BYU Offensive Stats & Trends

Iowa State was 11-3 (.786) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .575

Iowa State was 9-3 (.750) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .628

Iowa State was 9-3 (.750) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-10th-best in FBS; Average: .442

Iowa State was 8-1 (.889) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-7th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688

Iowa State Offensive Stats & Trends

Iowa State has gained 1,695 yards on 132 receptions (12.8 YPR) this season — T-29th-best among FBS skill players. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.

Iowa State’s TEs has gained 578 yards on 47 receptions (12.3 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.

Iowa State’s WRs has gained 990 yards on 65 receptions (15.2 YPR) this season — 19th-best among FBS WRs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.

Iowa State has averaged 13.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 18th-best among FBS skill players. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.6 RAC since the 2024 season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.

Iowa State’s WRs has averaged 14.5 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-15th-best among FBS WRs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.6 RAC since the 2024 season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.

BYU Defensive Stats & Trends

Iowa State was 11-3 (.786) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .575

Iowa State was 9-3 (.750) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .628

Iowa State was 9-3 (.750) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-10th-best in FBS; Average: .442

Iowa State was 8-1 (.889) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-7th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688

Iowa State Defensive Stats & Trends

Iowa State has gained 1,695 yards on 132 receptions (12.8 YPR) this season — T-29th-best among FBS skill players. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.

Iowa State’s TEs has gained 578 yards on 47 receptions (12.3 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.

Iowa State’s WRs has gained 990 yards on 65 receptions (15.2 YPR) this season — 19th-best among FBS WRs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.

Iowa State has averaged 13.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 18th-best among FBS skill players. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.6 RAC since the 2024 season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.

Iowa State’s WRs has averaged 14.5 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-15th-best among FBS WRs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.6 RAC since the 2024 season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.


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