C Michigan vs Bowling Green Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 8

Footballs sit ready on the field before an NCAA football game on Saturday, Oct. 14, 2023, in Muncie, Ind. (AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
(AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
  • Bowling Green is a -4.5 point favorite vs. C Michigan
  • Central Michigan vs. Bowling Green Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
  • TV Channel: CBSN

Central Michigan (3-3) visit Doyt L. Perry Stadium to take on Bowling Green (3-3) on Oct. 18 in Bowling Green, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Bowling Green is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Central Michigan vs. Bowling Green Over/Under is 43.5 total points.

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Central Michigan vs. Bowling Green Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Central Michigan+4.5 -11043.5 -115165
Bowling Green -4.5 -11043.5 -105-200

Central Michigan vs Bowling Green Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Bowling Green will win this game with 65.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both C Michigan and Bowling Green, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Central Michigan vs Bowling Green Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Bowling Green will cover the spread with 52.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Central Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Central Michigan have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.73 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Central Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 away games (+2.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Central Michigan has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 away games (+2.65 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Central Michigan has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+2.40 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.99 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.90 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)

Central Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

C Michigan is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Central Michigan is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 13.29% ROI
  • Central Michigan is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Central Michigan is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI

Bowling Green Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Bowling Green iss 4-2 against the spread this college football season (+1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • Bowling Green is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.1 Units / 17.22% ROI
  • Bowling Green is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Bowling Green is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI

Central Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Bowling Green

Central Michigan is 1-11 (.083) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2024 season– T-18th-worst in FBS; Average: .274

Central Michigan was 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .418

Central Michigan was 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-10th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .385

Central Michigan is 2-11 (.154) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2024 season– 5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .380

Bowling Green: Keys to the Game vs. Central Michigan

Central Michigan have thrown one TD on 119 pass attempts in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.2

Central Michigan have thrown 0 TDs on 23 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.0

Central Michigan’s WRs has 158 receptions in 18 games (just 8.8 per game) since the 2024 season — T-13th-worst among FBS WRs. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed just 16.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Central Michigan’s WRs has 158 receptions in 18 games (just 8.8 per game) since the 2024 season — T-13th-worst among FBS WRs. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed just 11.1 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

Central Michigan’s RBs has averaged 10.3 yards after the catch this season — T-26th-best among FBS RBs. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed 10.6 RAC to RBs this season — 16th-worst among FBS defenses.

Matchup Notes for Central Michigan vs. Bowling Green

Central Michigan have thrown one TD on 119 pass attempts in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.2

Central Michigan have thrown 0 TDs on 23 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.0

Central Michigan’s WRs has 158 receptions in 18 games (just 8.8 per game) since the 2024 season — T-13th-worst among FBS WRs. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed just 16.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Central Michigan’s WRs has 158 receptions in 18 games (just 8.8 per game) since the 2024 season — T-13th-worst among FBS WRs. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed just 11.1 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

Central Michigan’s RBs has averaged 10.3 yards after the catch this season — T-26th-best among FBS RBs. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed 10.6 RAC to RBs this season — 16th-worst among FBS defenses.

Central Michigan is 1-11 (.083) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2024 season– T-18th-worst in FBS; Average: .274

Central Michigan was 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .418

Central Michigan was 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-10th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .385

Central Michigan is 2-11 (.154) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2024 season– 5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .380

Central Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends

Central Michigan is 1-11 (.083) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2024 season– T-18th-worst in FBS; Average: .274

Central Michigan was 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .418

Central Michigan was 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-10th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .385

Central Michigan is 2-11 (.154) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2024 season– 5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .380

Bowling Green Offensive Stats & Trends

Central Michigan have thrown one TD on 119 pass attempts in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.2

Central Michigan have thrown 0 TDs on 23 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.0

Central Michigan’s WRs has 158 receptions in 18 games (just 8.8 per game) since the 2024 season — T-13th-worst among FBS WRs. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed just 16.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Central Michigan’s WRs has 158 receptions in 18 games (just 8.8 per game) since the 2024 season — T-13th-worst among FBS WRs. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed just 11.1 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

Central Michigan’s RBs has averaged 10.3 yards after the catch this season — T-26th-best among FBS RBs. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed 10.6 RAC to RBs this season — 16th-worst among FBS defenses.

Central Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends

Central Michigan is 1-11 (.083) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2024 season– T-18th-worst in FBS; Average: .274

Central Michigan was 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .418

Central Michigan was 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-10th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .385

Central Michigan is 2-11 (.154) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2024 season– 5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .380

Bowling Green Defensive Stats & Trends

Central Michigan have thrown one TD on 119 pass attempts in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.2

Central Michigan have thrown 0 TDs on 23 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.0

Central Michigan’s WRs has 158 receptions in 18 games (just 8.8 per game) since the 2024 season — T-13th-worst among FBS WRs. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed just 16.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Central Michigan’s WRs has 158 receptions in 18 games (just 8.8 per game) since the 2024 season — T-13th-worst among FBS WRs. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed just 11.1 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

Central Michigan’s RBs has averaged 10.3 yards after the catch this season — T-26th-best among FBS RBs. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed 10.6 RAC to RBs this season — 16th-worst among FBS defenses.


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