California vs Auburn Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 2

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Auburn running back Jarquez Hunter (27) carries the ball against Alabama during the second half of an NCAA college football game Saturday, Nov. 26, 2022, in Tuscaloosa, Ala. (AP Photo/Butch Dill)
(AP Photo/Butch Dill)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 06, 2024, 5:31 PM
  • Auburn is a -13.5 point favorite vs. California
  • California vs. Auburn Total(Over/Under): 53.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN2

The California Golden Bears 1-0 visit Pat Dye Field at Jordan-Hare Stadium to take on the Auburn Tigers 1-0 on Sep. 7 in Auburn, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Auburn is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-105).

The California vs. Auburn Over/Under is 53.5 total points.

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California vs. Auburn Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
California+13.5 -11553.5 -110+400
Auburn -13.5 -10553.5 -110-550

California vs Auburn Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Auburn will win this game with 84.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

California vs Auburn Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Auburn will cover the spread with 66.8% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both California and Auburn and key player performances this season.


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      We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for California players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

      Best California Player Prop Bets Today

        Top NCAAF player prop bets for Auburn players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

        Best Auburn Player Prop Best Bets Today

          California Against the Spread (ATS) Record

          California iss 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

          • California was 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 6.83% ROI
          • California was 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
          • California was 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

          Auburn Against the Spread (ATS) Record

          Auburn is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

          • Auburn was 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
          • Auburn was 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

          California: Keys to the Game vs. Auburn

          California is 4-14 (.182) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– T-12th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .364

          California is 2-12 (.143) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2022 season– T-9th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .364

          California is 3-15 (.167) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2022 season– 9th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .399

          California was 1-8 (.111) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards in the 2023 season– T-7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .407

          Auburn: Keys to the Game vs. California

          Auburn is winless (0-10) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2022 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .464

          Auburn is winless (0-12) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2022 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .294

          Auburn is winless (0-13) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .291

          Auburn is 2-7 (.182) when losing at least one fumble since the 2022 season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .393

          Matchup Notes for California vs. Auburn

          Auburn’s QBs threw for 2,108 passing yards in 13 games (just 162.2 YPG) last season — 12th-worst among FBS teams. California’s defense allowed 273.9 passing yards per game last season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.

          Auburn’s offense threw for 2,110 passing yards in 13 games (just 162.3 YPG) last season — 11th-worst among FBS offenses. California’s defense allowed 273.9 passing yards per game last season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.

          Auburn had just 162.2 receiving yards per game last season — 12th-worst among FBS skill players. California’s defense allowed 273.9 receiving yards per game last season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.

          Jonathan Brady (CAL) had 39 receptions in 15 games (2.6 per game) last season — 2nd-worst of Qualified Skill Players. Auburn’s defense allowed just 16.3 receptions per game last season — 27th-best among FBS defenses.

          California Offensive Stats & Trends

          California RBs fumbled 4 times in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

          California Skill Players fumbled 6 times in close and late situations in the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams

          California RBs picked up first downs on 4 receptions in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

          California Skill Players fumbled 6 times in close and late situations in the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams

          California Skill Players fumbled 6 times in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– T-most among Power Conference Teams

          Auburn Offensive Stats & Trends

          Auburn WRs have averaged 23.0 yards per reception (115 yards/5 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.7

          Auburn WRs have averaged 23.0 yards per reception (115 yards/5 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 11.4

          Auburn WRs averaged just 7.5 receptions per game (98/13) in the 2023 season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 13.1

          Auburn WRs were targeted 13.5 times per game (176/13) in the 2023 season– lowest among SEC Teams; Average: 20.5

          Auburn Skill Players have averaged just 14.0 receptions per game (365/26) since the 2022 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.8

          California Golden Bears Defensive Stats & Trends

          California allowed 21 TD passes in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams

          California has allowed 36 TD passes in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– most in FBS

          California has averaged a sack every 61.0 pass attempts (122 Pass Attempts/2 Sacks) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: 15.9

          California had no interceptions and 21 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10.1

          California forced 22 fumbles in the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams

          Auburn Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends

          Auburn allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (2 completions/7 attempts) on 3rd and short in the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 65%

          Auburn has allowed a Completion Pct of just 43% (28 completions/65 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 53%

          Auburn allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (2 completions/7 attempts) on 3rd and short in the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

          Auburn did not allow a first down on any of their opponents’ 28 rush attempts on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 14%

          Auburn has allowed a Completion Pct of just 43% (28 completions/65 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– best in the SEC; Average: 53%


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