California vs Colorado Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 14, 2022, 9:19 AM
  • (2-4) are point favorites vs (2-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
  • Watch the game on Pac-12 Network

The California Golden Bears (3-3) visit Folsom Field to take on the Colorado Buffaloes (1-5) on Oct. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 2:00pm EDT in Boulder.

are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for California vs. Colorado is total points.

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California vs. Colorado Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 7

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
California
Colorado

California vs Colorado Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts California will win this game with 75.3% confidence.

California vs Colorado Spread Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Colorado will cover the spread with 67.6% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both California and Colorado, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best California Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for California players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jeremiah Hunter has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.15 Units / 92% ROI)
  • J. Michael Sturdivant has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • California has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • California have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.95 Units / 36% ROI)
  • California has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.75 Units / 44% ROI)
  • California has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 15 games (+5.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • California have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Colorado has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+7.75 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Colorado have covered the 1H Spread in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Colorado has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+4.70 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Colorado has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Colorado has hit the Game Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • California Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    California has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • California is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • California is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • California is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    Colorado Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Colorado has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • Colorado is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • Colorado is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • Colorado is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    California: Keys to the Game vs. Colorado

    California is 1-8 (.091) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush — tied for 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .324

    California is 2-7 (.222) when not forcing a fumble since the 2020 season– 9th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .448

    California is 1-9 (.100) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2020 season– 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .302

    California is 2-7 (.222) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for 9th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .435

    Colorado: Keys to the Game vs. California

    Colorado is 1-10 (.091) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — 3rd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .498

    Colorado is 2-11 (.154) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards — 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .451

    Colorado is 1-12 (.071) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush — tied for 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .324

    Colorado is 1-12 (.077) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays — tied for 3rd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .413

    Matchup Notes for California vs. Colorado

    Colorado’s WRs has gained 1,455 yards on 130 receptions (just 11.2 YPR) since the 2021 season — worst among Pac-12 WRs. California’s defense has allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-best among Pac-12 defenses.

    Colorado’s WRs has gained 411 yards on 38 receptions (just 10.8 YPR) this season — worst among Pac-12 WRs. California’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — best among Pac-12 defenses.

    Colorado’s WRs has gained 411 yards on 38 receptions (just 10.8 YPR) this season — second-worst among Power 5 WRs. California’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — best among Pac-12 defenses.

    California’s WRs has gained 2,686 yards on 203 receptions (13.2 YPR) since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Pac-12 WRs. Colorado’s defense has allowed 12.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

    California’s WRs have 196.0 receiving yards per game this season — fifth-best among Pac-12 WRs. Colorado’s defense has allowed just 201.8 receiving yards per game this season — third-best among Pac-12 defenses.

    California’s WRs has just 0.8 receiving touchdowns per game this season — tied for third-worst among Pac-12 WRs. Colorado’s defense has allowed 2.2 receiving touchdowns per game this season — tied for worst among Pac-12 defenses.

    California Offensive Stats & Trends

    California’s WRs has gained 2,686 yards on 203 receptions (13.2 YPR) since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Pac-12 WRs. Colorado’s defense has allowed 12.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

    California’s WRs have 196.0 receiving yards per game this season — fifth-best among Pac-12 WRs. Colorado’s defense has allowed just 201.8 receiving yards per game this season — third-best among Pac-12 defenses.

    California’s WRs has just 0.8 receiving touchdowns per game this season — tied for third-worst among Pac-12 WRs. Colorado’s defense has allowed 2.2 receiving touchdowns per game this season — tied for worst among Pac-12 defenses.

    California WRs have no touchdowns on 30 receptions in close and late situations since last season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.7

    California’s TEs has 12 receptions in 4 games (just 3.0 per game) this season — fifth-worst among Pac-12 TEs. Colorado’s defense has allowed just 15.5 receptions per game this season — second-best among Pac-12 defenses.

    Colorado Offensive Stats & Trends

    Colorado’s WRs has gained 1,455 yards on 130 receptions (just 11.2 YPR) since the 2021 season — worst among Pac-12 WRs. California’s defense has allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-best among Pac-12 defenses.

    Colorado’s WRs has gained 411 yards on 38 receptions (just 10.8 YPR) this season — worst among Pac-12 WRs. California’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — best among Pac-12 defenses.

    Colorado’s WRs has gained 411 yards on 38 receptions (just 10.8 YPR) this season — second-worst among Power 5 WRs. California’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — best among Pac-12 defenses.

    Colorado has gained 562 yards on 55 receptions (just 10.2 YPR) this season — worst among Pac-12 skill players. California’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — best among Pac-12 defenses.

    Colorado has gained 2,137 yards on 209 receptions (just 10.2 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for second-worst among Power 5 skill players. California’s defense has allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-best among Pac-12 defenses.

    Colorado Buffaloes Defensive Stats & Trends

    Colorado has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 16 of their 186 carries (9%) this season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 3%

    Colorado has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (16/494) since last season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

    Colorado has allowed first downs on 35% of rush attempts this season– worst in FBS; Average: 22%

    Colorado has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 35 of their 617 carries (6%) since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 3%

    Colorado has allowed 8.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (2,029 yards / 248 touches) this season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 6.3


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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.