- California is a -6.5 point favorite vs North Texas
- Total (Over/Under): 54 points
- Watch the game on ESPNU
The California Golden Bears visit DATCU Stadium to take on the North Texas Mean Green on Sep. 2. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EDT in Denton.
– is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at ().
The California vs. North Texas Over/Under is total points.
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California vs. North Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 1
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| California | |||
| North Texas |
California vs North Texas Prediction for Week 1
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts California will win this game with 73.8% confidence.
California vs North Texas Spread Prediction for Week 1
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts North Texas will cover the spread with 70.6% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both California and North Texas, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best California Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for California players for Week 1, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jaydn Ott has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- Jeremiah Hunter has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 50% ROI)
- Jaydn Ott has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- Jack Plummer has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Jack Plummer has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.10 Units / 102% ROI)
California Against the Spread (ATS) Record
California went against the spread last college football season ( Units / ROI).
- California went 4-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.05 Units / -33.27% ROI
- California went 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 19.7% ROI
- California went 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -28.03% ROI
North Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
North Texas went against the spread last college football season ( Units / ROI).
- North Texas went 5-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.1 Units / 0.32% ROI
- North Texas went 9-4 when betting the Over for +4.6 Units / 32.17% ROI
- North Texas went 4-9 when betting the Under for -5.9 Units / -41.26% ROI
California: Keys to the Game vs. North Texas
California is 2-9 (.182) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– 3rd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .494
California is 1-8 (.100) when allowing 3 or more sacks since the 2021 season– tied for 15th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .254
California is 2-14 (.118) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– tied for 10th-worst in FBS; Average: .380
California is 4-13 (.235) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– tied for 12th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .436
North Texas: Keys to the Game vs. California
North Texas is winless (0-2) when allowing 3 or more sacks since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .288
Matchup Notes for California vs. North Texas
North Texas’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 14.3% of 399 attempts in the 2022 season — 12th-best among FBS offenses. California’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 9.1% of attempts in the 2022 season — fourth-worst among Pac-12 defenses.
North Texas’s WRs gained 2,421 yards on 134 receptions (18.1 YPR) in the 2022 season — second-best among FBS WRs. California’s defense allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — second-best among Pac-12 defenses.
North Texas’s WRs gained 2,421 yards on 134 receptions (18.1 YPR) in the 2022 season — second-best among FBS WRs. California’s defense allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — tied for 29th-best among FBS defenses.
California’s offense threw for 3,217 passing yards in 12 games (268.1 YPG) in the 2022 season — 31st-best among FBS offenses. North Texas’s defense allowed 273.1 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
California had 268.1 receiving yards per game in the 2022 season — fifth-best among Pac-12 skill players. North Texas’s defense allowed 258.5 receiving yards per game in the 2022 season — 25th-worst among FBS defenses.
California’s RBs averaged just 5.8 yards after the catch in the 2022 season — tied for 16th-worst among FBS RBs. North Texas’s defense allowed just 6.3 RAC to RBs in the 2022 season — tied for 20th-best among FBS defenses.
California Offensive Stats & Trends
California’s offense threw for 3,217 passing yards in 12 games (268.1 YPG) in the 2022 season — 31st-best among FBS offenses. North Texas’s defense allowed 273.1 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
California had 268.1 receiving yards per game in the 2022 season — fifth-best among Pac-12 skill players. North Texas’s defense allowed 258.5 receiving yards per game in the 2022 season — 25th-worst among FBS defenses.
California’s RBs averaged just 5.8 yards after the catch in the 2022 season — tied for 16th-worst among FBS RBs. North Texas’s defense allowed just 6.3 RAC to RBs in the 2022 season — tied for 20th-best among FBS defenses.
California’s QBs threw for 3,468 passing yards in 12 games (289.0 YPG) in the 2022 season — 25th-best among FBS teams. North Texas’s defense allowed 273.1 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
California’s WRs averaged 26.3 targets per game in the 2022 season — 23rd-highest among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense allowed 17.6 receptions per game to WRs in the 2022 season — worst among FBS defenses.
North Texas Offensive Stats & Trends
North Texas’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 14.3% of 399 attempts in the 2022 season — 12th-best among FBS offenses. California’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 9.1% of attempts in the 2022 season — fourth-worst among Pac-12 defenses.
North Texas WRs averaged 18.1 yards per reception (2,421 yards/134 catches) in the 2022 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.2
North Texas’s WRs gained 2,421 yards on 134 receptions (18.1 YPR) in the 2022 season — second-best among FBS WRs. California’s defense allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — second-best among Pac-12 defenses.
North Texas’s WRs gained 2,421 yards on 134 receptions (18.1 YPR) in the 2022 season — second-best among FBS WRs. California’s defense allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — tied for 29th-best among FBS defenses.
North Texas’s WRs gained 2,421 yards on 134 receptions (18.1 YPR) in the 2022 season — second-best among FBS WRs. California’s defense allowed just 12.0 Yards Per Reception to WRs in the 2022 season — tied for 29th-best among FBS defenses.
California Golden Bears Defensive Stats & Trends
California allowed 48.0 receiving yards per game (576/12) to RBs in the 2022 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 25.6
California sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (16/453) in the 2022 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 7%
California has allowed 39.9 receiving yards per game (958/24) to RBs since the 2021 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 26.0
California averaged a sack every 28.3 pass attempts (453 Pass Attempts/16 Sacks) in the 2022 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 14.4
California has allowed a Completion Pct of 63% (541 completions/863 attempts) since the 2021 season– 33rd-worst in FBS; Average: 61%
North Texas Mean Green Defensive Stats & Trends
North Texas tackled opponents for a loss on just 56 of 543 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) in the 2022 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
North Texas tackled opponents for a loss on just 56 of 543 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) in the 2022 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.
North Texas’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 1% of PATs since the 2021 season– 2nd-lowest among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 5%
North Texas has allowed a Completion Pct of 63% (516 completions/821 attempts) since the 2021 season– 31st-worst in FBS; Average: 61%
North Texas allowed a Completion Pct of 60% (27 completions/45 attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– 32nd-worst in FBS; Average: 54%
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