California vs Oregon State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 11, 2022, 2:40 PM
  • Oregon State (6-3) are -13.5 point favorites vs California (3-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 49 points

The California Golden Bears (4-7) visit Reser Stadium to take on the Oregon State Beavers (8-3) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Corvallis.

are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for California vs. Oregon State is total points.

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California vs. Oregon State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 11

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
California
Oregon State

California vs Oregon State Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Oregon State will win this game with 69.9% confidence.

California vs Oregon State Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts California will cover the spread with 76.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both California and Oregon State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best California Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for California players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jaydn Ott has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jeremiah Hunter has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Jack Plummer has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 86% ROI)

Best Oregon State Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Oregon State players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Chance Nolan has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 games (+3.10 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Chance Nolan has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tre’Shaun Harrison has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Chance Nolan has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.45 Units / 28% ROI)
  • California has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 19 games (+9.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • California has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.45 Units / 55% ROI)
  • California has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.65 Units / 44% ROI)
  • California have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • California have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Oregon State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 20 games (+13.80 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Oregon State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+8.90 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Oregon State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.35 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Oregon State have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 7 games at home (+7.15 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Oregon State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 7 games at home (+6.00 Units / 43% ROI)

California Against the Spread (ATS) Record

California has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • California is 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.05 Units / -34.7% ROI
  • California is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.04% ROI
  • California is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.04% ROI

Oregon State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oregon State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Oregon State is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 6.79% ROI
  • Oregon State is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Oregon State is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI

California: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon State

California is 2-7 (.222) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes — tied for 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .462

California is 2-10 (.167) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays — 9th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .435

California is 2-12 (.133) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush — tied for 12th-worst in FBS; Average: .379

California is 2-11 (.154) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .435

Oregon State: Keys to the Game vs. California

Oregon State is undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes — tied for best in FBS; Average: .561

Matchup Notes for California vs. Oregon State

Oregon State has gained 1,701 yards on 120 receptions (14.2 YPR) this season — tied for fifth-best among Power 5 skill players. California’s defense has allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for fourth-best among Pac-12 defenses.

California’s offense has 615 rushing yards this season — third-fewest among FBS offenses. Oregon State’s defense has allowed 885 rushing yards this season — fewest among Pac-12 defenses.

California Offensive Stats & Trends

California Skill Players have 60 receptions on 3rd down this season– 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

California WRs have caught 4 touchdown passes in close and late situations this season– tied for most among Power 5 Teams

California RBs have been targeted 46 times in the 4th quarter since last season– 4th most among FBS Teams

California Skill Players have 60 receptions on 3rd down this season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

California WRs have caught 6 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter this season– tied for most among Power 5 Teams

Oregon State Offensive Stats & Trends

Oregon State WRs have averaged 25.0 yards per reception (100 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and short since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.8

Oregon State Skill Players have averaged 18.0 yards per reception (126 yards/7 catches) on 3rd and short since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9.9

Oregon State RBs have fumbled 4 times in the Red Zone since last season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Oregon State RBs have no touchdowns on 47 receptions since last season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 20.8

Oregon State WRs have averaged 19.0 yards per reception (190 yards/10 catches) in short yardage situations since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.9

California Golden Bears Defensive Stats & Trends

California has allowed 57.2 receiving yards per game (458/8) to RBs this season– worst in FBS; Average: 26.9

California has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (11/306) this season– tied for 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

California has not recorded a sack (34 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16.3

California has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (11/306) this season– tied for 4th worst in FBS; Average: 7%

California has sacked opposing QBs on just 5% of pass attempts (33/716) since last season– 5th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

Oregon State Beavers Defensive Stats & Trends

Oregon State has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (30/722) since last season– tied for 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

Oregon State has averaged a sack every 24.1 pass attempts (722 Pass Attempts/30 Sacks) since last season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 14.2

Oregon State has averaged a sack every 24.1 pass attempts (722 Pass Attempts/30 Sacks) since last season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 14.2

Oregon State has allowed 27.8 carries per game (222 carries / 8 games) this season– 5th lowest in FBS; Average: 36.3

Oregon State has allowed 89.5 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs this season– 5th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 142.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.