California vs USC Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 04, 2022, 9:31 AM
  • (3-6) are point favorites vs (3-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The California Golden Bears (3-6) visit Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum to take on the USC Trojans (8-1) on Nov. 5. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EST in Los Angeles.

are betting favorites in Week 10, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for California vs. USC is total points.

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California vs. USC Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 10

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
California
USC

California vs USC Prediction for Week 10

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts predicted-winning-team will win this game with confidence-percentage confidence.

California vs USC Spread Prediction for Week 10

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts spread-winning-team will cover the spread with spread-confidence confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both California and USC, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best California Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for California players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player high – away 

Best USC Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for USC players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player  high – home
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

California Against the Spread (ATS) Record

California has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • California is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • California is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • California is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

USC Against the Spread (ATS) Record

USC has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • USC is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • USC is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • USC is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

California: Keys to the Game vs. USC

California is 2-7 (.222) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes — tied for 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .462

California is 2-10 (.167) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays — 9th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .435

California is 2-12 (.133) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush — tied for 12th-worst in FBS; Average: .379

California is 2-11 (.154) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .435

USC: Keys to the Game vs. California

#12 USC is 6-2 (.750) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — 9th-best in FBS; Average: .437

#6 USC is 7-2 (.778) when in a one score game since the 2020 season– tied for 5th-best in FBS; Average: .493

#12 USC is 3-7 (.300) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties — 14th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .522

#6 USC is 5-1 (.833) when committing less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .431

Matchup Notes for California vs. USC

USC has 20 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — most among FBS skill players. Colorado’s defense has allowed 14 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — most among P5 defenses.

USC’s WRs have 278.0 receiving yards per game this season — third-best among Power 5 WRs. Colorado’s defense has allowed 248.8 receiving yards per game this season — fifth-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

USC has 27 receiving touchdowns this season — most among FBS skill players. Colorado’s defense has allowed 18 receiving touchdowns this season — most among Pac-12 defenses.

California’s offense has 615 rushing yards this season — third-fewest among FBS offenses. Oregon State’s defense has allowed 885 rushing yards this season — fewest among Pac-12 defenses.

California Offensive Stats & Trends

California Skill Players have 60 receptions on 3rd down this season– 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

California WRs have caught 4 touchdown passes in close and late situations this season– tied for most among Power 5 Teams

California RBs have been targeted 46 times in the 4th quarter since last season– 4th most among FBS Teams

California Skill Players have 60 receptions on 3rd down this season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

California WRs have caught 6 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter this season– tied for most among Power 5 Teams

USC Offensive Stats & Trends

#8 USC WRs have 25 receptions in the Red Zone this season– most among Power 5 Teams

#8 USC Skill Players have caught 20 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– most among Power 5 Teams

#8 USC WRs have 52 receptions in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 4th most among FBS Teams

#8 USC WRs have 52 receptions in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd most among Power 5 Teams

#8 USC WRs have 25 receptions in the Red Zone this season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

California Golden Bears Defensive Stats & Trends

California has allowed 57.2 receiving yards per game (458/8) to RBs this season– worst in FBS; Average: 26.9

California has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (11/306) this season– tied for 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

California has not recorded a sack (34 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16.3

California has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (11/306) this season– tied for 4th worst in FBS; Average: 7%

California has sacked opposing QBs on just 5% of pass attempts (33/716) since last season– 5th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

USC Trojans Defensive Stats & Trends

#8 USC has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 33 of 128 carries (26%) on 1st down this season– worst in FBS; Average: 13%

#8 USC has averaged 3.6 sacks per game this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.2

#8 USC has averaged 3.6 sacks per game this season– tied for 4th best in FBS; Average: 2.2

#8 USC has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 33 of 128 carries (26%) on 1st down this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 13%

#8 USC’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 16% of PATs this season– tied for 4th highest among Power 5 Teams; Average: 6%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.