California vs Wake Forest Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 11

Wake Forest defensive lineman Jasheen Davis (30) plays against Vanderbilt during an NCAA college football game on Saturday, Sept. 10, 2022, in Nashville, TN.
(AP Photo/John Amis)
  • California is a -7 point favorite vs. Wake Forest
  • California vs. Wake Forest Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
  • TV Channel: ACCN

The California Golden Bears (4-4) visit Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium to take on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (4-4) on Nov. 8 in Winston-Salem, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST.

California is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).

The California vs. Wake Forest Over/Under is 54.5 total points.

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California vs. Wake Forest Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
California-7 -11054.5 -105-275
Wake Forest +7 -11054.5 -115+220

California vs Wake Forest Prediction:

The winning team model predicts California will win this game with 70.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both California and Wake Forest, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

California vs Wake Forest Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Wake Forest will cover the spread with 63.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • California has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • California has hit the Game Total Under in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • California has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • California has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+4.55 Units / 60% ROI)
  • California have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games at home (+1.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Wake Forest have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 8 games (+0.35 Units / 4% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for California players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best California Player Prop Bets Today

  • Jack Endries has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last away game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Trond Grizzell has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Fernando Mendoza has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Fernando Mendoza has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 69% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Wake Forest players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Wake Forest Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Horatio Fields has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Demond Claiborne has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Taylor Morin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

California Against the Spread (ATS) Record

California is 5-3 against the spread this college football season (+1.75 Units / 20% ROI).

  • California is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.35 Units / 0.88% ROI
  • California is 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -39.77% ROI
  • California is 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 31.82% ROI

Wake Forest Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Wake Forest is 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.4 Units / -27.27% ROI).

  • Wake Forest is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -12.5% ROI
  • Wake Forest is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 7.95% ROI
  • Wake Forest is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -15.91% ROI

California: Keys to the Game vs. Wake Forest

California is winless (0-9) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .303

California is 3-11 (.214) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

California is 1-9 (.100) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .437

California is 9-8 (.529) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 14th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .675

Wake Forest: Keys to the Game vs. California

Wake Forest is 1-11 (.083) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .437

Wake Forest is 3-11 (.214) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

Wake Forest is 7-11 (.389) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-13th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .532

Wake Forest is 3-11 (.214) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– 6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .472

Matchup Notes for California vs. Wake Forest

Wake Forest’s WRs has 300 receptions in 20 games (15.0 per game) since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among ACC WRs. California’s defense has allowed 22.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among P5 defenses.

Wake Forest has 365 receptions in 20 games (just 18.2 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among ACC skill players. California’s defense has allowed 22.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among P5 defenses.

Wake Forest’s WRs has 300 receptions in 20 games (15.0 per game) since the 2023 season — T-31st-best among FBS WRs. California’s defense has allowed 22.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among P5 defenses.

California’s offense has thrown for 2,128 passing yards in 8 games (266.0 YPG) this season — 30th-best among FBS offenses. Wake Forest’s defense has allowed 287.8 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among P5 defenses.

California’s QBs has thrown for 2,128 passing yards in 8 games (266.0 YPG) this season — 30th-best among FBS teams. Wake Forest’s defense has allowed 287.8 passing yards per game this season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.

California’s TEs has 47 receptions in 8 games (5.9 per game) this season — 4th-best among P5 TEs. Wake Forest’s defense has allowed 4.1 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.

California Offensive Stats & Trends

California’s offense has thrown for 2,128 passing yards in 8 games (266.0 YPG) this season — 30th-best among FBS offenses. Wake Forest’s defense has allowed 287.8 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among P5 defenses.

California have been sacked on 22% of pass attempts (11/49) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among Power Conference Offenses; Average: 7%

California’s QBs has thrown for 2,128 passing yards in 8 games (266.0 YPG) this season — 30th-best among FBS teams. Wake Forest’s defense has allowed 287.8 passing yards per game this season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.

California’s TEs has 47 receptions in 8 games (5.9 per game) this season — 4th-best among P5 TEs. Wake Forest’s defense has allowed 4.1 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.

California’s TEs has 47 receptions in 8 games (5.9 per game) this season — 4th-best among P5 TEs. Wake Forest’s defense has allowed 26.6 receptions per game this season — worst among ACC defenses.

Wake Forest Offensive Stats & Trends

Wake Forest’s WRs has 300 receptions in 20 games (15.0 per game) since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among ACC WRs. California’s defense has allowed 22.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among P5 defenses.

Wake Forest has 365 receptions in 20 games (just 18.2 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among ACC skill players. California’s defense has allowed 22.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among P5 defenses.

Wake Forest’s WRs has 300 receptions in 20 games (15.0 per game) since the 2023 season — T-31st-best among FBS WRs. California’s defense has allowed 22.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among P5 defenses.

Wake Forest TEs have averaged just 4.0 yards per reception (4 yards/1 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– T-2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.1

Wake Forest’s WRs has 300 receptions in 20 games (15.0 per game) since the 2023 season — T-31st-best among FBS WRs. California’s defense has allowed 22.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among FBS defenses.

California Golden Bears Defensive Stats & Trends

California has sacked opposing QBs just once on 95 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

California has allowed 26 TD passes in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-most among Power Conference Teams

California has sacked opposing QBs just once on 95 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.9

California allowed 21 TD passes in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams

California had no interceptions and 21 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10.1

Wake Forest Demon Deacons Defensive Stats & Trends

Opponents have averaged 26.6 completions per game (213 / 8) against Wake Forest this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 18.7

Opponents have averaged 26.6 completions per game (213 / 8) against Wake Forest this season– worst in FBS; Average: 18.6

Wake Forest has averaged a sack every 30.4 pass attempts (304 Pass Attempts/10 Sacks) this season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: 14.7

Wake Forest has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (10/304) this season– T-4th-worst in FBS; Average: 7%

Wake Forest has allowed 120 first down receptions this season– most in FBS


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About the Author

Nick Hennion

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Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.