Central Florida vs Duke Prediction, Odds, Prop Bets: Military Bowl

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 27, 2022, 11:00 AM
  • (3-9) are point favorites vs (3-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The UCF Knights (9-5) visit Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium to take on the Duke Blue Devils (9-4) on Dec. 28. Kickoff is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Annapolis.

are betting favorites in Week 18, with the spread sitting at ().

The Central Florida vs. Duke Over/Under is total points.

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Central Florida vs. Duke Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 18

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Central Florida
Duke

Central Florida vs Duke Prediction for Week 18

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Duke will win this game with 53.3% confidence.

Central Florida vs Duke Spread Prediction for Week 18

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Duke will cover the spread with 53.3% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Central Florida and Duke, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Central Florida Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Central Florida players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • No trends found

Best Duke Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Duke players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jalon Calhoun has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+4.05 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Jordan Moore has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Riley Leonard has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Riley Leonard has hit the Passing Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Central Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Central Florida has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Central Florida is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Central Florida is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Central Florida is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Duke Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Duke has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Duke is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Duke is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Duke is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Central Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Duke

UCF is undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks — tied for 9th-best in FBS; Average: .539

Duke: Keys to the Game vs. Central Florida

Duke is 4-1 (.800) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — tied for 11th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .552

Duke is 7-1 (.778) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — tied for 10th-best in FBS; Average: .514

Duke is 8-1 (.800) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for 11th-best in FBS; Average: .510

Duke is 7-1 (.700) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .444

Matchup Notes for Central Florida vs. Duke

There are no matchup notes available for this game

There are no matchup notes available for this game

Central Florida Offensive Stats & Trends

#22 UCF QBs have rushed for 6 TDs in the 1st quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

#22 UCF QBs have averaged 51.3 rushing yards per game (564/11) in the 1st half this season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.1

#22 UCF QBs have rushed for 9 TDs in the 1st quarter since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

#22 UCF QBs have rushed for 347 yards in the 1st quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

#22 UCF QBs have averaged 77.2 rushing yards per game (849/11) this season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 24.1

Duke Offensive Stats & Trends

Duke WRs have averaged a touchdown every 5.0 receptions (15 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.0

Duke RBs have fumbled 4 times in the Red Zone since last season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Duke WRs have averaged a touchdown every 5.0 receptions (15 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0

Duke RBs have fumbled 5 times in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Duke Skill Players have fumbled 4 times in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 4th most among FBS Teams

UCF Knights Defensive Stats & Trends

#22 UCF opponents has averaged 37.3 Passing Attempts per TD (821 Pass Attempts/22 Passing TDs) since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 18.8

#22 UCF opponents has averaged 37.3 Passing Attempts per TD (821 Pass Attempts/22 Passing TDs) since last season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 20.1

#22 UCF opponents has averaged 6.3 Passing Attempts per TD (95 Pass Attempts/15 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.9

#22 UCF has allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 3 of 821 attempts (0%) since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 2%

#22 UCF has allowed 22 touchdowns on 476 completions (21.6 Completions Per TD) since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.4

Duke Blue Devils Defensive Stats & Trends

Duke has allowed 100 receptions for 20+ yards since last season– fewest among Power 5 Teams

Duke has tackled opponents for a loss on just 10 of 109 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– 4th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

Duke defense has allowed 100 completions for 20 or more yards since last season– fewest among Power 5 Teams

Duke has allowed 45.1 receiving yards per game (1,037/23) to RBs since last season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 26.2

Duke has allowed 4.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (701 yards / 152 touches) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 4th worst in FBS; Average: 3.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.