Central Florida vs Duke Prediction, Odds, Prop Bets: Military Bowl

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 06, 2023, 3:27 PM
  • (3-9) are point favorites vs (3-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The UCF Knights (9-5) visit Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium to take on the Duke Blue Devils (9-4) on Dec. 28. Kickoff is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Annapolis.

are betting favorites in Week 18, with the spread sitting at ().

The Central Florida vs. Duke Over/Under is total points.

Bet now on Duke vs Central Florida & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Central Florida vs. Duke Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 18

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Central Florida
Duke

Central Florida vs Duke Prediction for Week 18

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Duke will win this game with 53.3% confidence.

Central Florida vs Duke Spread Prediction for Week 18

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Duke will cover the spread with 53.3% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Central Florida and Duke, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Duke vs Central Florida and all games with BetMGM


Best Central Florida Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Central Florida players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • No trends found

Best Duke Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Duke players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jalon Calhoun has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+4.05 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Jordan Moore has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Riley Leonard has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Riley Leonard has hit the Passing Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Central Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Central Florida has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Central Florida is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Central Florida is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Central Florida is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Duke Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Duke has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Duke is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Duke is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Duke is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Central Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Duke

UCF is undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks — tied for 9th-best in FBS; Average: .539

Duke: Keys to the Game vs. Central Florida

Duke is 4-1 (.800) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — tied for 11th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .552

Duke is 7-1 (.778) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — tied for 10th-best in FBS; Average: .514

Duke is 8-1 (.800) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for 11th-best in FBS; Average: .510

Duke is 7-1 (.700) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .444

Matchup Notes for Central Florida vs. Duke

There are no matchup notes available for this game

There are no matchup notes available for this game

Central Florida Offensive Stats & Trends

#22 UCF QBs have rushed for 6 TDs in the 1st quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

#22 UCF QBs have averaged 51.3 rushing yards per game (564/11) in the 1st half this season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.1

#22 UCF QBs have rushed for 9 TDs in the 1st quarter since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

#22 UCF QBs have rushed for 347 yards in the 1st quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

#22 UCF QBs have averaged 77.2 rushing yards per game (849/11) this season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 24.1

Duke Offensive Stats & Trends

Duke WRs have averaged a touchdown every 5.0 receptions (15 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.0

Duke RBs have fumbled 4 times in the Red Zone since last season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Duke WRs have averaged a touchdown every 5.0 receptions (15 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0

Duke RBs have fumbled 5 times in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Duke Skill Players have fumbled 4 times in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 4th most among FBS Teams

UCF Knights Defensive Stats & Trends

#22 UCF opponents has averaged 37.3 Passing Attempts per TD (821 Pass Attempts/22 Passing TDs) since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 18.8

#22 UCF opponents has averaged 37.3 Passing Attempts per TD (821 Pass Attempts/22 Passing TDs) since last season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 20.1

#22 UCF opponents has averaged 6.3 Passing Attempts per TD (95 Pass Attempts/15 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.9

#22 UCF has allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 3 of 821 attempts (0%) since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 2%

#22 UCF has allowed 22 touchdowns on 476 completions (21.6 Completions Per TD) since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.4

Duke Blue Devils Defensive Stats & Trends

Duke has allowed 100 receptions for 20+ yards since last season– fewest among Power 5 Teams

Duke has tackled opponents for a loss on just 10 of 109 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– 4th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

Duke defense has allowed 100 completions for 20 or more yards since last season– fewest among Power 5 Teams

Duke has allowed 45.1 receiving yards per game (1,037/23) to RBs since last season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 26.2

Duke has allowed 4.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (701 yards / 152 touches) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 4th worst in FBS; Average: 3.7


Bet now on Duke vs Central Florida and all games with BetMGM


College Football Betting at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.