Central Florida vs Tulane Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 11, 2022, 2:30 PM
  • Tulane (8-1) are -1.5 point favorites vs Central Florida (7-2)
  • Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN Networks

The UCF Knights (8-3) visit Yulman Stadium to take on the Tulane Green Wave (9-2) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in New Orleans.

are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Central Florida vs. Tulane is total points.

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Central Florida vs. Tulane Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 11

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Central Florida
Tulane

Central Florida vs Tulane Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Tulane will win this game with 53.4% confidence.

Central Florida vs Tulane Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Tulane will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Central Florida and Tulane, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+5.75 Units / 9% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+4.90 Units / 10% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • UCF have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Tulane have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.75 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.50 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.75 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.40 Units / 35% ROI)

Central Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Central Florida has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Central Florida is 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.65 Units / 1.51% ROI
  • Central Florida is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
  • Central Florida is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI

Tulane Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tulane has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Tulane is 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.7 Units / 33.04% ROI
  • Tulane is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Tulane is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI

Central Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Tulane

UCF is 11-2 (.846) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush — tied for 14th-best in FBS; Average: .592

Tulane: Keys to the Game vs. Central Florida

Tulane is 2-8 (.182) when in a one score game since the 2020 season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .493

Matchup Notes for Central Florida vs. Tulane

Tulane’s RBs has 5 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-most among FBS RBs. UCF’s defense has allowed 11 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-fewest among NonP5 defenses.

Central Florida Offensive Stats & Trends

#22 UCF QBs have rushed for 4 TDs in the 1st quarter this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

#22 UCF QBs have rushed for 7 TDs in the 1st quarter since last season– tied for 4th most among FBS Teams

#22 UCF WRs have averaged just 8.6 yards per reception (120 yards/14 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– 5th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 14.1

#22 UCF RBs have rushed for 31 TDs on 100 carries (3.2 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 2nd best Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.7

#22 UCF WRs have caught 50 of 71 passes (70% Reception Pct) in close and late situations since last season– 4th best among FBS Teams; Average: 58%

Tulane Offensive Stats & Trends

#16 Tulane RBs have not rushed for a 0 TD on 78 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in close and late situations since last season– tied for worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 23.7

Tulane’s RBs has 5 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-most among FBS RBs. UCF’s defense has allowed 11 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-fewest among NonP5 defenses.

#16 Tulane Punters have placed 0% of punts inside the 20 (0/7) in close and late situations since last season– tied for worst among FBS Teams; Average: 32%

#16 Tulane have gone for two on 10% of PATs since last season– 4th highest among Non-Power 5 Offenses; Average: 4%

#16 Tulane WRs have averaged just 8.8 yards per reception (265 yards/30 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since last season– 5th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.3

UCF Knights Defensive Stats & Trends

#22 UCF opponents has averaged 49.3 Passing Attempts per TD (296 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) this season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 18.9

#22 UCF opponents has averaged 49.3 Passing Attempts per TD (296 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) this season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 20.7

#22 UCF opponents has averaged 42.3 Passing Attempts per TD (761 Pass Attempts/18 Passing TDs) since last season– tied for 2nd best in FBS; Average: 20.0

#22 UCF opponents has averaged 42.3 Passing Attempts per TD (761 Pass Attempts/18 Passing TDs) since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 18.6

#22 UCF opponents has averaged 9.5 Passing Attempts per TD (38 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.8

Tulane Green Wave Defensive Stats & Trends

#16 Tulane has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 298 carries (74.5 Carries Per TD) this season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 24.1

#16 Tulane has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 298 carries (74.5 Carries Per TD) this season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 23.4

#16 Tulane has allowed first downs on 6% of pass attempts on 3rd and long this season– best in FBS; Average: 28%

#16 Tulane has allowed 3 rushing TDs on 29 carries (9.7 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 4.8

#16 Tulane has allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (7 completions/18 attempts) on 3rd and short since last season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 63%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.