UCF vs Tulane Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – American Athletic Championship

min read
AP Photos
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 11, 2022, 12:01 PM
  • Tulane (10-2) are -3.5 point favorites vs Central Florida (9-3)
  • Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
  • Watch the American Athletic Championship game on ABC

The UCF Knights (9-4) visit Yulman Stadium to take on the Tulane Green Wave (11-2) on Dec. 3. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in New Orleans.

are betting favorites in Week 14, with the spread sitting at ().

The Central Florida vs. Tulane Over/Under is total points.

Bet now on Tulane vs Central Florida & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Central Florida vs. Tulane Odds, Spread, Over/Under, American Athletic Championship:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Central Florida
Tulane

Central Florida vs Tulane Prediction:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Tulane will win this game with 56.2% confidence.

Central Florida vs Tulane Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Tulane will cover the spread with 73.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Central Florida and Tulane, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Tulane vs Central Florida and all games with BetMGM


  • UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 55% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • UCF have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Tulane have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.65 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.55 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Tulane have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.80 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.30 Units / 26% ROI)

Central Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Central Florida has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Central Florida is 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -6.75% ROI
  • Central Florida is 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
  • Central Florida is 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI

Tulane Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tulane has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Tulane is 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.5 Units / 30.81% ROI
  • Tulane is 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Tulane is 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI

Central Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Tulane

#22 UCF is 9-2 (.750) when not losing a fumble since the 2021 season– tied for 14th-best in FBS; Average: .510

#22 UCF is undefeated (7-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — 9th-best in FBS; Average: .508

Tulane: Keys to the Game vs. Central Florida

#18 Tulane is 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush — tied for 15th-best in FBS; Average: .577

#18 Tulane is undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — tied for best in FBS; Average: .561

#18 Tulane is 6-2 (.750) when sacking the QB less than 3 times — tied for 7th-best in FBS; Average: .406

Central Florida Offensive Stats & Trends

#22 UCF QBs have rushed for 347 yards in the 1st quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

#22 UCF QBs have rushed for 6 TDs in the 1st quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

#22 UCF QBs have rushed for 9 TDs in the 1st quarter since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

#22 UCF QBs have rushed for 849 yards this season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

#22 UCF QBs have averaged 51.3 rushing yards per game (564/11) in the 1st half this season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.1

Tulane Offensive Stats & Trends

#18 Tulane RBs have not rushed for a 0 TD on 96 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in close and late situations since last season– tied for worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 24.2

#18 Tulane RBs have caught 6 touchdown passes in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

#18 Tulane WRs have averaged just 8.2 yards per reception (272 yards/33 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since last season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.2

#18 Tulane Punters have placed 0% of punts inside the 20 (0/7) in close and late situations since last season– tied for worst among FBS Teams; Average: 32%

#18 Tulane Skill Players have averaged just 8.3 yards per reception (455 yards/55 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since last season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3

UCF Knights Defensive Stats & Trends

#22 UCF opponents has averaged 37.3 Passing Attempts per TD (821 Pass Attempts/22 Passing TDs) since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 18.8

#22 UCF opponents has averaged 37.3 Passing Attempts per TD (821 Pass Attempts/22 Passing TDs) since last season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 20.1

#22 UCF opponents has averaged 6.3 Passing Attempts per TD (95 Pass Attempts/15 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.9

#22 UCF opponents has averaged 35.6 Passing Attempts per TD (356 Pass Attempts/10 Passing TDs) this season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 19.3

#22 UCF has allowed 22 touchdowns on 476 completions (21.6 Completions Per TD) since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.4

Tulane Green Wave Defensive Stats & Trends

#18 Tulane has allowed just 10.7 yards per completion (2,118 yards/198 completions) this season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.9

#18 Tulane has tackled opponents for a loss on just 42 of 438 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) this season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

#18 Tulane has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 22 of 336 attempts (7%) this season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%

#18 Tulane has tackled opponents for a loss on just 4 of 55 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

#18 Tulane has allowed 4.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (889 yards / 199 touches) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.7


Bet now on Tulane vs Central Florida and all games with BetMGM


College Football Betting at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.