UCF vs Tulane Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – American Athletic Championship

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 01, 2022, 11:00 AM
  • Tulane (10-2) are -3.5 point favorites vs Central Florida (9-3)
  • Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
  • Watch the American Athletic Championship game on ABC

The UCF Knights (9-4) visit Yulman Stadium to take on the Tulane Green Wave (11-2) on Dec. 3. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in New Orleans.

are betting favorites in Week 14, with the spread sitting at ().

The Central Florida vs. Tulane Over/Under is total points.

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Central Florida vs. Tulane Odds, Spread, Over/Under, American Athletic Championship:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Central Florida
Tulane

Central Florida vs Tulane Prediction:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Tulane will win this game with 56.2% confidence.

Central Florida vs Tulane Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Tulane will cover the spread with 73.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Central Florida and Tulane, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 55% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • UCF have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Tulane have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.65 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.55 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Tulane have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.80 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.30 Units / 26% ROI)

Central Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Central Florida has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Central Florida is 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -6.75% ROI
  • Central Florida is 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
  • Central Florida is 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI

Tulane Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tulane has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Tulane is 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.5 Units / 30.81% ROI
  • Tulane is 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Tulane is 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI

Central Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Tulane

#22 UCF is 9-2 (.750) when not losing a fumble since the 2021 season– tied for 14th-best in FBS; Average: .510

#22 UCF is undefeated (7-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — 9th-best in FBS; Average: .508

Tulane: Keys to the Game vs. Central Florida

#18 Tulane is 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush — tied for 15th-best in FBS; Average: .577

#18 Tulane is undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — tied for best in FBS; Average: .561

#18 Tulane is 6-2 (.750) when sacking the QB less than 3 times — tied for 7th-best in FBS; Average: .406

Central Florida Offensive Stats & Trends

#22 UCF QBs have rushed for 347 yards in the 1st quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

#22 UCF QBs have rushed for 6 TDs in the 1st quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

#22 UCF QBs have rushed for 9 TDs in the 1st quarter since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

#22 UCF QBs have rushed for 849 yards this season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

#22 UCF QBs have averaged 51.3 rushing yards per game (564/11) in the 1st half this season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.1

Tulane Offensive Stats & Trends

#18 Tulane RBs have not rushed for a 0 TD on 96 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in close and late situations since last season– tied for worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 24.2

#18 Tulane RBs have caught 6 touchdown passes in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

#18 Tulane WRs have averaged just 8.2 yards per reception (272 yards/33 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since last season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.2

#18 Tulane Punters have placed 0% of punts inside the 20 (0/7) in close and late situations since last season– tied for worst among FBS Teams; Average: 32%

#18 Tulane Skill Players have averaged just 8.3 yards per reception (455 yards/55 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since last season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3

UCF Knights Defensive Stats & Trends

#22 UCF opponents has averaged 37.3 Passing Attempts per TD (821 Pass Attempts/22 Passing TDs) since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 18.8

#22 UCF opponents has averaged 37.3 Passing Attempts per TD (821 Pass Attempts/22 Passing TDs) since last season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 20.1

#22 UCF opponents has averaged 6.3 Passing Attempts per TD (95 Pass Attempts/15 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.9

#22 UCF opponents has averaged 35.6 Passing Attempts per TD (356 Pass Attempts/10 Passing TDs) this season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 19.3

#22 UCF has allowed 22 touchdowns on 476 completions (21.6 Completions Per TD) since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.4

Tulane Green Wave Defensive Stats & Trends

#18 Tulane has allowed just 10.7 yards per completion (2,118 yards/198 completions) this season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.9

#18 Tulane has tackled opponents for a loss on just 42 of 438 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) this season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

#18 Tulane has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 22 of 336 attempts (7%) this season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%

#18 Tulane has tackled opponents for a loss on just 4 of 55 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

#18 Tulane has allowed 4.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (889 yards / 199 touches) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.