- New Mexico Lobos is a -10.5 point favorite vs. Central Michigan Chippewas
- Central Michigan vs. New Mexico Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
- TV Channel: FS1
Central Michigan (0-0) visit Dreamstyle Stadium to take on New Mexico (0-0) on Sep. 5 in Albuquerque, NM. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:00 pm.
The New Mexico Lobos are betting favorites in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-108).
The Central Michigan vs. New Mexico Over/Under is 46.5 total points.
Bet now on New Mexico Lobos vs Central Michigan Chippewas & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Central Michigan vs. New Mexico Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Central Michigan | +10.5 -110 | 46.5 -108 | +333 |
| New Mexico | -10.5 -108 | 46.5 -110 | -425 |
Central Michigan vs New Mexico Prediction:
The winning team model predicts New Mexico will win this game with 72.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Central Michigan Chippewas and New Mexico Lobos, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Central Michigan vs New Mexico Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts New Mexico will cover the spread with 56.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on New Mexico Lobos vs Central Michigan Chippewas and all games with BetMGM
Central Michigan Best Bets Today
- Central Michigan have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.38 Units / 75% ROI)
- Central Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+8.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- Central Michigan has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+6.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- Central Michigan has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.90 Units / 61% ROI)
- Central Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 48% ROI)
New Mexico Best Bets Today
- New Mexico has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+10.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.91 Units / 70% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+7.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- New Mexico have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 56% ROI)
Central Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico
Central Michigan was 2-8 (.200) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .414
Central Michigan was 2-4 (.333) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .481
Central Michigan was 1-8 (.111) when allowing 22 or more points last season– T-13th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .259
Central Michigan was 2-8 (.200) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .379
New Mexico: Keys to the Game vs. Central Michigan
New Mexico was winless (0-1) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .420
New Mexico was 2-7 (.222) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .454
New Mexico was 1-5 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .382
New Mexico was 2-6 (.250) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-16th-worst in FBS; Average: .481
Matchup Notes for Central Michigan vs. New Mexico
New Mexico’s RBs gained 636 yards on 55 receptions (11.6 YPR) last season — T-6th-best among FBS RBs. Central Michigan’s defense allowed 8.7 Yards Per Reception to RBs last season — 32nd-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico’s RBs averaged 11.5 yards after the catch last season — 8th-best among FBS RBs. Central Michigan’s defense allowed 8.7 RAC to RBs last season — 32nd-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico’s WRs has 257 receptions in 25 games (just 10.3 per game) since the 2024 season — T-26th-worst among FBS WRs. Central Michigan’s defense has allowed just 17.4 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
Central Michigan’s RBs averaged 10.3 yards after the catch last season — 15th-best among FBS RBs. New Mexico’s defense allowed just 10.6 RAC last season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
Central Michigan’s RBs averaged 10.3 yards after the catch last season — 15th-best among FBS RBs. New Mexico’s defense allowed just 5.5 RAC to RBs last season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
Central Michigan has 342 receptions in 25 games (just 13.7 per game) since the 2024 season — 9th-worst among FBS skill players. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 21.5 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 8th-worst among FBS defenses.
Central Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends
Central Michigan Skill Players had no touchdowns on 24 receptions in close and late situations last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.9
Central Michigan WRs had no touchdowns on 18 receptions in close and late situations last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.9
Central Michigan’s RBs averaged 10.3 yards after the catch last season — 15th-best among FBS RBs. New Mexico’s defense allowed just 10.6 RAC last season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
Central Michigan WRs averaged just 8.8 receptions per game (105/12) last season– T-16th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.3
Central Michigan’s RBs averaged 10.3 yards after the catch last season — 15th-best among FBS RBs. New Mexico’s defense allowed just 5.5 RAC to RBs last season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico Offensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico RBs had 10 receptions for 20 or more yards last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
New Mexico TEs had 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– T-5th-most among FBS Teams
New Mexico RBs averaged 8.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (165 yards / 20 touches) on 3rd and short last season– T-4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4
New Mexico TEs had 13 receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
New Mexico’s RBs gained 636 yards on 55 receptions (11.6 YPR) last season — T-6th-best among FBS RBs. Central Michigan’s defense allowed 8.7 Yards Per Reception to RBs last season — 32nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Central Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends
Central Michigan intercepted 2 of 327 attempts (163.5 pass attempts per int.) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 36.1
Central Michigan allowed 8.5 touchdowns per interception (17 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8
Central Michigan intercepted 2 of 327 attempts (163.5 pass attempts per int.) last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 37.9
Central Michigan did not tackle opponents for a loss on any of 20 rushing attempts on 3rd and short last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.
Central Michigan allowed 8.5 touchdowns per interception (17 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) last season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
New Mexico Defensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico intercepted 3 of 395 attempts (131.7 pass attempts per int.) last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 36.1
New Mexico allowed 10.0 touchdowns per interception (30 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
New Mexico allowed 10.0 touchdowns per interception (30 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 1.8
New Mexico averaged a sack every 35.9 pass attempts (395 Pass Attempts/11 Sacks) last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 14.5
New Mexico intercepted 3 of 395 attempts (131.7 pass attempts per int.) last season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 37.9
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