Central Michigan vs Notre Dame Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3

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Notre Dame head coach Marcus Freeman looks at the scoreboard during the first half of the team's NCAA college football game against Stanford in South Bend, Ind., Saturday, Oct. 15, 2022.
(AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 16, 2023, 11:13 AM
  • Notre Dame is a -34.5 point favorite vs. Central Michigan
  • Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
  • Watch the game on Peacock

The Central Michigan Chippewas visit Notre Dame Stadium to take on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish on Sep. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 2:30pm EDT in South Bend.

Notre Dame is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -34.5 (-110).

The Central Michigan vs. Notre Dame Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

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Central Michigan vs. Notre Dame Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 3

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Central Michigan+34.5 -11051.5 -105+2000
Notre Dame -34.5 -11051.5 -115-10000

Central Michigan vs Notre Dame Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Notre Dame will win this game with 95.0% confidence.

Central Michigan vs Notre Dame Spread Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Central Michigan will cover the spread with 53.2% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Central Michigan and Notre Dame, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Central Michigan has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+5.00 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Central Michigan has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Central Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.75 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Central Michigan has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Central Michigan has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 1 of their last 4 games (+0.25 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.75 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+4.05 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Notre Dame have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Notre Dame have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.85 Units / 38% ROI)

Best Notre Dame Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Notre Dame players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Audric Estime has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+1.40 Units / 15% ROI)

Central Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Central Michigan is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.25 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Central Michigan is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Central Michigan is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Central Michigan is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Notre Dame Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Notre Dame is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Notre Dame is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 13.16% ROI
  • Notre Dame is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.95 Units / 29.23% ROI
  • Notre Dame is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -35.82% ROI

Central Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Notre Dame

Central Michigan is 1-6 (.143) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2022 season– tied for 13th-worst in FBS; Average: .457

Central Michigan is 9-1 (.900) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2021 season– tied for 5th-best in FBS; Average: .569

Notre Dame: Keys to the Game vs. Central Michigan

#13 Notre Dame is 19-5 (.760) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2021 season– tied for 5th-best in FBS; Average: .493

#13 Notre Dame is undefeated (5-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2022 season– tied for best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .630

#13 Notre Dame is 15-2 (.833) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2021 season– 10th-best in FBS; Average: .547

#13 Notre Dame is 11-1 (.611) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2021 season– 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .437

Matchup Notes for Central Michigan vs. Notre Dame

Notre Dame’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 21.8% of 78 attempts this season — fourth-best among FBS offenses. Central Michigan’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 15.5% of attempts this season — tied for ninth-best among FBS defenses.

Notre Dame has gained 875 yards on 59 receptions (14.8 YPR) this season — tied for 17th-best among FBS skill players. Central Michigan’s defense has allowed 15.4 Yards Per Reception this season — seventh-worst among FBS defenses.

Notre Dame’s QBs has thrown for 918 passing yards in 3 games (306.0 YPG) this season — 26th-best among FBS teams. Central Michigan’s defense has allowed 397.5 passing yards per game this season — second-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Central Michigan’s offense has thrown for 300 passing yards in 2 games (just 150.0 YPG) this season — 12th-worst among FBS offenses. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 133.7 passing yards per game this season — 10th-best among FBS defenses.

Central Michigan’s QBs has thrown for 340 passing yards in 2 games (just 170.0 YPG) this season — 18th-worst among FBS teams. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 133.7 passing yards per game this season — 10th-best among FBS defenses.

Central Michigan’s offense has thrown for 2,787 passing yards in 14 games (just 199.1 YPG) since the 2022 season — 26th-worst among FBS offenses. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 201.7 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — 15th-best among FBS defenses.

Central Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends

Central Michigan’s offense has thrown for 300 passing yards in 2 games (just 150.0 YPG) this season — 12th-worst among FBS offenses. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 133.7 passing yards per game this season — 10th-best among FBS defenses.

Central Michigan’s QBs has thrown for 340 passing yards in 2 games (just 170.0 YPG) this season — 18th-worst among FBS teams. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 133.7 passing yards per game this season — 10th-best among FBS defenses.

Central Michigan’s offense has thrown for 2,787 passing yards in 14 games (just 199.1 YPG) since the 2022 season — 26th-worst among FBS offenses. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 201.7 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — 15th-best among FBS defenses.

Central Michigan’s WRs have just 122.9 receiving yards per game since the 2022 season — 18th-worst among FBS WRs. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 184.1 receiving yards per game since the 2022 season — 14th-best among FBS defenses.

Central Michigan have just 150.0 receiving yards per game this season — 12th-worst among FBS skill players. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 123.3 receiving yards per game this season — 10th-best among FBS defenses.

Notre Dame Offensive Stats & Trends

#9 Notre Dame TEs have caught 7 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter since last season– most among Power 5 Teams

#13 Notre Dame TEs caught 4 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season– tied for most among Power 5 Teams

#13 Notre Dame QBs have 6 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down this season– tied for 3rd-most among FBS Teams

#9 Notre Dame TEs have caught 8 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season– tied for most among FBS Teams

#9 Notre Dame TEs have picked up first downs on 12 receptions in the Red Zone since last season– most among Power 5 Teams

Central Michigan Chippewas Defensive Stats & Trends

Central Michigan has allowed 4.9 touchdowns per interception (49 TDs allowed, and 10 INT) since the 2021 season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 1.9

Central Michigan has intercepted 10 of 894 attempts (89.4 pass attempts per int.) since the 2021 season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 37.7

Central Michigan intercepted 4 of 348 attempts (87.0 pass attempts per int.) in the 2022 season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 37.4

Central Michigan has allowed 5.4 touchdowns per interception (27 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) since last season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 1.9

Central Michigan has intercepted 5 of 471 attempts (94.2 pass attempts per int.) since last season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 37.6

Notre Dame Fighting Irish Defensive Stats & Trends

#13 Notre Dame allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 1 of 312 attempts (0%) in the 2022 season– tied for 2nd best in FBS; Average: 2%

#9 Notre Dame’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 11% of PATs since the 2021 season– 5th highest in FBS; Average: 5%

#13 Notre Dame has allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (11 completions/29 attempts) this season– 7th-best in FBS; Average: 60%

#13 Notre Dame has allowed opponents to catch just 11 of 29 passes (38% Reception Pct) this season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 61%

#13 Notre Dame has allowed 67.0 Passing Yards per game (134/2) this season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 223.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.