Charlotte vs Appalachian State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3

The stadium namesake "The Rock" rests outside of the stadium before a football game between the Appalachian State and North Carolina Tar Heels , Saturday Sept. 3, 2022, in Boone, N.C. (AP Photo/Reinhold Matay)
(AP Photo/Reinhold Matay)
Sportsbook Promos This Week
  • The Appalachian State Mountaineers are a -17.5 point favorite vs. the Charlotte 49ers
  • Charlotte vs. Appalachian State Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

Charlotte (0-2) visit Kidd Brewer Stadium to take on Appalachian State (2-0) on Sep. 19 in Boone, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:00 pm.

The Appalachian State Mountaineers are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-108).

The Charlotte vs. Appalachian State Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

Bet now on Appalachian State Mountaineers vs Charlotte 49ers & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Charlotte vs. Appalachian State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Charlotte+17.5 -11051.5 -108+775
Appalachian State -17.5 -10851.5 -110-1100

Charlotte vs Appalachian State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Appalachian State will win this game with 89.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Charlotte 49ers and the Appalachian State Mountaineers, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Charlotte vs Appalachian State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Appalachian State will cover the spread with 66.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Appalachian State Mountaineers vs Charlotte 49ers and all games with BetMGM


  • Charlotte have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+5.00 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Charlotte has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Charlotte has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Charlotte has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Charlotte has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.60 Units / 5% ROI)
  • App State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Appalachian State have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.15 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.75 Units / 10% ROI)

Charlotte Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Charlotte 49ers is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.08 Units / -3.67% ROI).

  • Charlotte is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.5 Units / -100% ROI
  • Charlotte is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.59% ROI
  • Charlotte is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.12 Units / -5.41% ROI

Appalachian State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Appalachian State Mountaineers is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 91.74% ROI).

  • Appalachian State is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 19.35% ROI
  • Appalachian State is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.44% ROI
  • Appalachian State is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.05 Units / -2.33% ROI

Charlotte: Keys to the Game vs. Appalachian State

Charlotte is winless (0-11) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .467

Charlotte is 3-9 (.231) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .572

Charlotte was 2-9 (.182) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards in the 2023 season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .418

Charlotte is 2-12 (.133) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .485

Appalachian State: Keys to the Game vs. Charlotte

Appalachian State was 2-6 (.250) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .382

Appalachian State was 9-3 (.750) when they have committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– T-5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .463

Appalachian State was 4-3 (.571) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2023 season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .375

Appalachian State was 6-4 (.600) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .399

Matchup Notes for Charlotte vs. Appalachian State

Appalachian State’s offense threw for 3,336 passing yards in 13 games (256.6 YPG) last season — 34th-best among FBS offenses. Charlotte’s defense allowed 271.7 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Appalachian State’s offense threw for 3,336 passing yards in 13 games (256.6 YPG) last season — 34th-best among FBS offenses. Charlotte’s defense allowed 271.7 passing yards per game last season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s WRs averaged 23.2 targets per game last season — T-31st-highest among FBS WRs. Charlotte’s defense allowed 15.9 receptions per game to WRs last season — 4th-worst among FBS defenses.

Charlotte’s RBs had just 15.6 receiving yards per game last season — 29th-worst among FBS RBs. Appalachian State’s defense allowed 267.9 receiving yards per game last season — 4th-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Charlotte’s RBs had just 15.6 receiving yards per game last season — 29th-worst among FBS RBs. Appalachian State’s defense allowed 267.9 receiving yards per game last season — 8th-worst among FBS defenses.

Charlotte’s RBs had just 15.6 receiving yards per game last season — 29th-worst among FBS RBs. Appalachian State’s defense allowed 31.5 receiving yards per game to RBs last season — 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Charlotte Offensive Stats & Trends

Charlotte WRs averaged 20.0 yards per reception (600 yards/30 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.2

Charlotte WRs averaged 26.5 yards per reception (212 yards/8 catches) with 4-6 yards to go last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.2

Charlotte RBs fumbled 8 times last season– T-most among FBS Teams

Charlotte Skill Players had no touchdowns on 20 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.9

Charlotte WRs averaged 18.4 yards per reception (2,114 yards/115 catches) last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.4

Appalachian State Offensive Stats & Trends

Appalachian State’s offense threw for 3,336 passing yards in 13 games (256.6 YPG) last season — 34th-best among FBS offenses. Charlotte’s defense allowed 271.7 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Appalachian State’s offense threw for 3,336 passing yards in 13 games (256.6 YPG) last season — 34th-best among FBS offenses. Charlotte’s defense allowed 271.7 passing yards per game last season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State’s WRs averaged 23.2 targets per game last season — T-31st-highest among FBS WRs. Charlotte’s defense allowed 15.9 receptions per game to WRs last season — 4th-worst among FBS defenses.

Appalachian State Skill Players had no touchdowns on 20 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.9

Appalachian State’s RBs averaged just 6.1 yards after the catch last season — T-28th-worst among FBS RBs. Charlotte’s defense allowed just 5.7 RAC to RBs last season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.

Charlotte Defensive Stats & Trends

Charlotte did not record a sack (42 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.8

Charlotte did not record a sack (42 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 16.2

Charlotte tackled opponents for a loss on just 49 of 484 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) last season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Charlotte tackled opponents for a loss on just 4 of 69 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– T-2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Charlotte allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 7 of 18 carries (39%) on 3rd and long last season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19%

Appalachian State Defensive Stats & Trends

Appalachian State allowed 5.0 touchdowns per interception (20 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) last season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Appalachian State allowed a Completion Pct of 69% (193 completions/281 attempts) last season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%

Appalachian State sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone last season– T-most in FBS

Appalachian State sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone last season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Appalachian State allowed 17 first down receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-most in FBS


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