Charlotte vs Florida Atlantic Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

Florida Atlantic head coach Tom Herman walks the sideline during the second half of an NCAA college football game against Illinois, Saturday, Sept. 23, 2023, in Champaign, Ill. Illinois won 23-17. (AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)
(AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)
  • Charlotte is a -3 point favorite vs. Florida Atlantic
  • Charlotte vs. Florida Atlantic Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

The Charlotte 49ers (3-7) visit FAU Stadium to take on the Florida Atlantic Owls (2-8) on Nov. 23 in Boca Raton, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00pm EST.

Charlotte is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).

The Charlotte vs. Florida Atlantic Over/Under is 48.5 total points.

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Charlotte vs. Florida Atlantic Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Charlotte-3 -11048.5 -110-150
Florida Atlantic +3 -11048.5 -110+125

Charlotte vs Florida Atlantic Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Charlotte will win this game with 57.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Charlotte and Florida Atlantic, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Charlotte vs Florida Atlantic Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Florida Atlantic will cover the spread with 58.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Charlotte has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Charlotte has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Charlotte has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Florida Atlantic has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Florida Atlantic has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Florida Atlantic have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Florida Atlantic has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Charlotte players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Charlotte Player Prop Bets Today

  • Cartevious Norton has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • O’Mega Blake has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Sean Brown has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Florida Atlantic players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Florida Atlantic Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Zuberi Mobley has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Charlotte Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Charlotte is 4-6 against the spread this college football season (-2.65 Units / -23.87% ROI).

  • Charlotte is 3-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -11.78% ROI
  • Charlotte is 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI
  • Charlotte is 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI

Florida Atlantic Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Florida Atlantic is 3-7 against the spread this college football season (-4.65 Units / -42.47% ROI).

  • Florida Atlantic is 1-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.1 Units / -72.82% ROI
  • Florida Atlantic is 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI
  • Florida Atlantic is 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI

Charlotte: Keys to the Game vs. Florida Atlantic

Charlotte is 4-11 (.267) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .619

Charlotte is 4-16 (.200) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .434

Charlotte is 3-14 (.176) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .360

Charlotte is 4-11 (.267) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 6th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .566

Florida Atlantic: Keys to the Game vs. Charlotte

Florida Atlantic is 1-7 (.125) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .480

Florida Atlantic is 1-7 (.125) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: .505

Florida Atlantic is 1-14 (.067) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .371

Florida Atlantic is winless (0-13) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .284

Matchup Notes for Charlotte vs. Florida Atlantic

Florida Atlantic’s RBs has averaged 9.7 yards after the catch this season — 29th-best among FBS RBs. Charlotte’s defense has allowed 10.6 RAC to RBs this season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Florida Atlantic’s RBs has averaged 9.7 yards after the catch this season — 29th-best among FBS RBs. Charlotte’s defense has allowed 13.2 RAC this season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Florida Atlantic’s RBs have 44.5 receiving yards per game this season — 11th-best among FBS RBs. Charlotte’s defense has allowed 31.7 receiving yards per game to RBs this season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.

Charlotte has gained 2,078 yards on 152 receptions (13.7 YPR) this season — T-15th-best among FBS skill players. Florida Atlantic’s defense has allowed 12.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Charlotte’s WRs has gained 1,521 yards on 91 receptions (16.7 YPR) this season — T-5th-best among FBS WRs. Florida Atlantic’s defense has allowed 12.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Charlotte’s WRs has averaged 16.7 yards after the catch this season — 5th-best among FBS WRs. Florida Atlantic’s defense has allowed 12.7 RAC this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Charlotte Offensive Stats & Trends

Charlotte has gained 2,078 yards on 152 receptions (13.7 YPR) this season — T-15th-best among FBS skill players. Florida Atlantic’s defense has allowed 12.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Charlotte TEs have averaged a touchdown every 35.3 receptions (106 Rec/3 TDs) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.4

Charlotte’s WRs has gained 1,521 yards on 91 receptions (16.7 YPR) this season — T-5th-best among FBS WRs. Florida Atlantic’s defense has allowed 12.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Charlotte WRs have averaged 19.0 yards per reception (455 yards/24 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.1

Charlotte Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 26.4 receptions (185 Rec/7 TDs) in the 2023 season– 5th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.5

Florida Atlantic Offensive Stats & Trends

Florida Atlantic’s RBs has averaged 9.7 yards after the catch this season — 29th-best among FBS RBs. Charlotte’s defense has allowed 10.6 RAC to RBs this season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Florida Atlantic’s RBs has averaged 9.7 yards after the catch this season — 29th-best among FBS RBs. Charlotte’s defense has allowed 13.2 RAC this season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Florida Atlantic WRs have just one touchdown on 52 receptions in close and late situations since the 2023 season– 9th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.7

Florida Atlantic Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 36.5 receptions (73 Rec/2 TDs) in close and late situations since the 2023 season– 11th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.4

Florida Atlantic Skill Players had no touchdowns on 19 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 13.4

Charlotte 49ers Defensive Stats & Trends

Charlotte has forced 3 fumbles on 400 carries (133.3 Carries Per Fumble) this season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 43.3

Charlotte has allowed a Completion Pct of just 43% (9 completions/21 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 63%

Charlotte allowed 360.0 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs last week– worst in FBS; Average: 144.6

Charlotte allowed 425 rushing yards last week– most in FBS

Charlotte allowed 6 rushing TDs last week– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Florida Atlantic Owls Defensive Stats & Trends

Florida Atlantic has not recorded a sack (36 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

Florida Atlantic has sacked opposing QBs just once on 66 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

Florida Atlantic has sacked opposing QBs just once on 66 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.4

Florida Atlantic has allowed a Completion Pct of just 47% (54 completions/114 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%

Florida Atlantic has tackled opponents for a loss on 150 of 874 rushing attempts (17% TFL%) since the 2023 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.


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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.