Charlotte vs North Carolina Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 2

North Carolina helmet sits on the bench during the first quarter of an NCAA college football game against Minnesota, Saturday, Sept. 16, 2023, in Chapel Hill, N.C. (AP Photo/Reinhold Matay)
(AP Photo/Reinhold Matay)
  • North Carolina is a -22.5 point favorite vs. Charlotte
  • Charlotte vs. North Carolina Total(Over/Under): 46.5 points
  • TV Channel: ACCN

The Charlotte 49ers (0-1) visit Kenan Stadium to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels (1-0) on Sep. 7 in Chapel Hill, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

North Carolina is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -22.5 (-105).

The Charlotte vs. North Carolina Over/Under is 46.5 total points.

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Charlotte vs. North Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Charlotte+22.5 -11546.5 -110+1000
North Carolina -22.5 -10546.5 -110-2000

Charlotte vs North Carolina Prediction:

The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Charlotte vs North Carolina Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Charlotte will cover the spread with 89.9% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Charlotte and North Carolina and key player performances this season.


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Charlotte Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Charlotte is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Charlotte is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Charlotte is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Charlotte is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

North Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

North Carolina is 0-0 against the spread this college football season (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • North Carolina is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 76.92% ROI
  • North Carolina is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • North Carolina is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

Charlotte: Keys to the Game vs. North Carolina

Charlotte is winless (0-13) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .429

Charlotte is 4-18 (.182) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2022 season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .447

Charlotte was 1-9 (.100) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards in the 2023 season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: .450

Charlotte is 2-10 (.167) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2022 season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .505

North Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Charlotte

North Carolina is 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2022 season– T-8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .556

North Carolina is 9-5 (.562) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2022 season– T-14th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .380

North Carolina is 12-5 (.632) when not losing a fumble since the 2022 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .500

North Carolina is 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2022 season– T-12th-best in FBS; Average: .567

Matchup Notes for Charlotte vs. North Carolina

North Carolina’s TEs gained 917 yards on 66 receptions (13.9 YPR) last season — 2nd-best among ACC TEs. Charlotte’s defense allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception to TEs last season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

North Carolina’s RBs averaged just 6.3 yards after the catch last season — T-25th-worst among FBS RBs. Charlotte’s defense allowed 9.9 RAC to RBs last season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.

North Carolina’s TEs averaged 13.9 yards after the catch last season — best among ACC TEs. Charlotte’s defense allowed just 8.8 RAC to TEs last season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.

Charlotte’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 7.3% of 327 attempts last season — T-11th-worst among FBS offenses. North Carolina’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 10.8% of attempts last season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.

Charlotte’s offense threw for 2,013 passing yards in 12 games (just 167.8 YPG) last season — T-15th-worst among FBS offenses. North Carolina’s defense allowed 237.4 passing yards per game last season — worst among ACC defenses.

Charlotte’s QBs threw for 2,013 passing yards in 12 games (just 167.8 YPG) last season — T-16th-worst among FBS teams. North Carolina’s defense allowed 237.4 passing yards per game last season — worst among ACC defenses.

Charlotte Offensive Stats & Trends

Charlotte’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 7.3% of 327 attempts last season — T-11th-worst among FBS offenses. North Carolina’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 10.8% of attempts last season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.

Charlotte’s offense threw for 2,013 passing yards in 12 games (just 167.8 YPG) last season — T-15th-worst among FBS offenses. North Carolina’s defense allowed 237.4 passing yards per game last season — worst among ACC defenses.

Charlotte Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 26.4 receptions (185 Rec/7 TDs) in the 2023 season– 5th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.5

Charlotte’s QBs threw for 2,013 passing yards in 12 games (just 167.8 YPG) last season — T-16th-worst among FBS teams. North Carolina’s defense allowed 237.4 passing yards per game last season — worst among ACC defenses.

Charlotte’s RBs gained 132 yards on 21 receptions (just 6.3 YPR) last season — T-22nd-worst among FBS RBs. North Carolina’s defense allowed just 5.8 Yards Per Reception to RBs last season — 19th-best among FBS defenses.

North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends

North Carolina’s TEs gained 917 yards on 66 receptions (13.9 YPR) last season — 2nd-best among ACC TEs. Charlotte’s defense allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception to TEs last season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

North Carolina TEs were targeted 22 times in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among Power Conference Teams

North Carolina TEs picked up first downs on 8 receptions in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-most among FBS Teams

North Carolina TEs have picked up first downs on 16 receptions in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams

North Carolina TEs were targeted 22 times in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Charlotte 49ers Defensive Stats & Trends

Charlotte has allowed a Completion Pct of just 44% (11 completions/25 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%

Charlotte has allowed a Completion Pct of just 44% (11 completions/25 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– 7th-best in FBS; Average: 62%

Charlotte has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 95 of 698 attempts (14%) since the 2022 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%

Charlotte has allowed 9.5 Yards per Attempt (995 yards/105 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2022 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 7.0

Charlotte has tackled opponents for a loss on just 136 of 949 rushing attempts (14% TFL%) since the 2022 season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

North Carolina Tar Heels Defensive Stats & Trends

North Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on just 123 of 1,049 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) since the 2022 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

North Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on just 123 of 1,049 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) since the 2022 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

North Carolina tackled opponents for a loss on just 65 of 503 rushing attempts (13% TFL%) in the 2023 season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

North Carolina has allowed a Completion Pct of 57% (67 completions/117 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2022 season– 33rd-worst in FBS; Average: 54%

North Carolina has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 9 of 117 attempts (8%) on 3rd and long since the 2022 season– T-32nd-worst in FBS; Average: 9%


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