Cincinnati U vs SMU Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 21, 2022, 8:13 AM
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  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The Cincinnati Bearcats (6-2) visit Gerald J. Ford Stadium to take on the SMU Mustangs (4-4) on Oct. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Dallas.

are betting favorites in Week 8, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Cincinnati U vs. SMU is total points.

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Cincinnati U vs. SMU Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 8

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Cincinnati U
SMU

Cincinnati U vs SMU Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Cincinnati will win this game with 53.1% confidence.

Cincinnati U vs SMU Spread Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Cincinnati will cover the spread with 50.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Cincinnati U and SMU, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best SMU Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for SMU players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tre Siggers has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games (+3.69 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.65 Units / 35% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+7.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.10 Units / 95% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+4.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • SMU have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.65 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Cincinnati U Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Cincinnati U has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • Cincinnati U is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • Cincinnati U is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • Cincinnati U is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    SMU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    SMU has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • SMU is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • SMU is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • SMU is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    Cincinnati U: Keys to the Game vs. SMU

    #24 Cincinnati is 6-2 (.750) when in a one score game since the 2020 season– 9th-best in FBS; Average: .493

    Matchup Notes for Cincinnati U vs. SMU

    SMU’s offense has averaged 3.1 passing TDs per game since the 2021 season — tied for third-best among FBS offenses. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 1.1 passing TDs per game since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-best among NonP5 defenses.

    SMU has 3.1 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2021 season — tied for third-best among FBS skill players. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 1.1 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-best among NonP5 defenses.

    SMU has 442 receptions in 17 games (26.0 per game) since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-best among FBS skill players. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 15.1 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among FBS defenses.

    Cincinnati U Offensive Stats & Trends

    #21 Cincinnati RBs have averaged 9.5 Yards per Carry (267 yards/28 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

    #21 Cincinnati RBs have averaged 9.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (268 yards / 29 touches) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5

    #21 Cincinnati RBs have averaged 6.8 Yards per Carry (849 yards/125 carries) this season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

    #21 Cincinnati TEs have been targeted 34 times in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

    #21 Cincinnati TEs have caught 12 touchdown passes in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

    SMU Offensive Stats & Trends

    SMU’s offense has averaged 3.1 passing TDs per game since the 2021 season — tied for third-best among FBS offenses. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 1.1 passing TDs per game since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-best among NonP5 defenses.

    SMU WRs have 29 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– tied for 4th most among FBS Teams

    SMU has 3.1 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2021 season — tied for third-best among FBS skill players. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 1.1 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-best among NonP5 defenses.

    SMU has 442 receptions in 17 games (26.0 per game) since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-best among FBS skill players. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 15.1 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among FBS defenses.

    SMU has 442 receptions in 17 games (26.0 per game) since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-best among FBS skill players. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 15.1 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fourth-best among NonP5 defenses.

    Cincinnati Bearcats Defensive Stats & Trends

    #21 Cincinnati has allowed a passer rating of just 107.8 (529.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 136.8

    #21 Cincinnati has sacked opposing QBs on 15% of pass attempts (18/121) this season– best in FBS; Average: 7%

    #21 Cincinnati has sacked opposing QBs on 15% of pass attempts (18/121) this season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

    #21 Cincinnati has allowed a Completion Pct of just 42% (38 completions/90 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since last season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 58%

    #21 Cincinnati has allowed a Completion Pct of just 42% (38 completions/90 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 59%

    SMU Mustangs Defensive Stats & Trends

    SMU has allowed one passing TD (16 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.8

    SMU has allowed 48.6 carries per game (243 carries / 5 games) this season– highest in FBS; Average: 36.0

    SMU has allowed 48.6 carries per game (243 carries / 5 games) this season– highest among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 37.1

    SMU has sacked opposing QBs just once on 66 pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 5th worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 15.8

    SMU has allowed 2.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (43 yards / 22 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 5.2


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