Clemson vs Florida State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 21, 2022, 8:50 AM

– (2-4) are point favorites vs – (2-4)
Total (Over/Under): points
Watch the game on ABC

The Clemson Tigers (7-0) visit Bobby Bowden Field at Doak Campbell Stadium to take on the Florida State Seminoles (4-3) on Oct. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Tallahassee.

– are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Clemson vs. Florida State is total points.

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Clemson vs. Florida State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 7

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Clemson
Florida State

Clemson vs Florida State Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Clemson will win this game with 56.5% confidence.

Clemson vs Florida State Spread Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Clemson will cover the spread with 64.4% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Clemson and Florida State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.

Best Clemson Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Clemson players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

DJ Uiagalelei has hit the Passing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 47% ROI)

Will Shipley has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 56% ROI)

DJ Uiagalelei has hit the TD Passes Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+3.40 Units / 33% ROI)

DJ Uiagalelei has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Joseph Ngata has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)

Best Florida State Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Florida State players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Jordan Travis has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)

Jordan Travis has hit the TD Passes Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.75 Units / 29% ROI)

Ontaria Wilson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.60 Units / 22% ROI)

Clemson Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Clemson has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 12 games (+10.00 Units / 15% ROI)

Clemson has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+10.00 Units / 14% ROI)

Clemson has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 34% ROI)

Clemson has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 20% ROI)

Clemson has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.60 Units / 28% ROI)

Florida State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Florida State has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+7.10 Units / 31% ROI)

Florida State has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)

Florida State have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)

Florida State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)

Florida State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+5.25 Units / 27% ROI)

Clemson Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Clemson has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

Clemson is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
Clemson is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
Clemson is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Florida State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Florida State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

Florida State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
Florida State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
Florida State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Clemson: Keys to the Game vs. Florida State

#5 Clemson is undefeated (7-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .411

#5 Clemson is 11-1 (.917) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — 5th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .561

#5 Clemson is undefeated (6-0) when not throwing an interception — 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .462

#5 Clemson is 6-3 (.667) when not losing a fumble — tied for 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .433

Florida State: Keys to the Game vs. Clemson

Florida State is 3-10 (.231) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .506

Florida State is 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team commits less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .509

Florida State is 5-15 (.250) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2020 season– tied for 9th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .450

Florida State is 3-10 (.231) when not forcing a fumble since the 2020 season– tied for 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .448

Matchup Notes for Clemson vs. Florida State

Florida State’s WRs has gained 2,188 yards on 150 receptions (14.6 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-best among ACC WRs. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fifth-best among FBS defenses.

Florida State has gained 3,175 yards on 265 receptions (just 12.0 YPR) since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among ACC skill players. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — best among ACC defenses.

Clemson’s WRs has been targeted 117 times this season — third-most among ACC WRs. Florida State’s defense has allowed 602 receiving yards this season — third-fewest among FBS defenses.

Clemson has been targeted 159 times this season — fifth-most among ACC skill players. Florida State’s defense has allowed 602 receiving yards this season — second-fewest among P5 defenses.

Clemson’s WRs has averaged just 12.0 yards after the catch since the 2021 season — third-worst among ACC WRs. Florida State’s defense has allowed just 11.8 RAC since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-worst among ACC defenses.

Clemson Offensive Stats & Trends

#5 Clemson QBs have 8 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down this season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

#5 Clemson Skill Players have fumbled 6 times in close and late situations since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

#5 Clemson Skill Players have just one touchdown on 38 receptions in close and late situations since last season– 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.8

#5 Clemson Skill Players have fumbled 6 times in close and late situations since last season– tied for 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

Clemson’s WRs has been targeted 117 times this season — third-most among ACC WRs. Florida State’s defense has allowed 602 receiving yards this season — third-fewest among FBS defenses.

Florida State Offensive Stats & Trends

Florida State’s TEs has 7 receptions in 3 games (just 2.3 per game) this season — fourth-worst among ACC TEs. Clemson’s defense has allowed 24.8 receptions per game this season — second-worst among ACC defenses.

Clemson Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends

#5 Clemson has allowed 6 rushing TDs on 55 carries (9.2 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.9

#5 Clemson has allowed 6 rushing TDs on 55 carries (9.2 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 4.8

#5 Clemson opponents has averaged 41.3 Passing Attempts per TD (620 Pass Attempts/15 Passing TDs) since last season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 20.0

#5 Clemson opponents has averaged 41.3 Passing Attempts per TD (620 Pass Attempts/15 Passing TDs) since last season– 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 21.8

#5 Clemson has tackled opponents for a loss on 13 of 55 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 5th best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Florida State Seminoles Defensive Stats & Trends

Florida State has forced one fumble on 125 carries this season– 5th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 36.3

Florida State has allowed opponents to catch 68 of 101 passes (67% Reception Pct) this season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 59%

Florida State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 41% (16 completions/39 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go since last season– 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 55%

Florida State has allowed first downs on 50% of pass attempts on 3rd down this season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 32%

Florida State has allowed first downs on 38% of pass attempts this season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 29%

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