Clemson vs UNC Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – ACC Championship

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 11, 2022, 12:01 PM

Clemson (10-2) are -7.5 point favorites vs North Carolina (9-3)
Total (Over/Under): 63.5 points
Watch the ACC Championship game on ABC

The Clemson Tigers (11-2) visit Bank of America Stadium to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels (9-4) on Dec. 3. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Charlotte.

– are betting favorites in Week 14, with the spread sitting at ().

The Clemson vs. North Carolina Over/Under is total points.

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Clemson vs. North Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under, ACC Championship:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Clemson
North Carolina

Clemson vs North Carolina Prediction, ACC Championship:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Clemson will win this game with 64.6% confidence.

Clemson vs North Carolina Spread Prediction, ACC Championship:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Clemson will cover the spread with 51.3% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Clemson and North Carolina, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.

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Best Clemson Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Clemson players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Joseph Ngata has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 63% ROI)

DJ Uiagalelei has hit the Passing Yards Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.20 Units / 34% ROI)

DJ Uiagalelei has hit the TD Passes Under in 7 of his last 11 games (+3.05 Units / 21% ROI)

Antonio Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 46% ROI)

Will Shipley has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 away games (+2.70 Units / 33% ROI)

Best North Carolina Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for North Carolina players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Drake Maye has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 60% ROI)

Antoine Green has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)

Drake Maye has hit the TD Passes Over in 7 of his last 11 games (+2.30 Units / 15% ROI)

Clemson Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Clemson has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+8.00 Units / 9% ROI)

Clemson has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+7.40 Units / 16% ROI)

Clemson has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 games (+6.50 Units / 7% ROI)

Clemson has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)

Clemson have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)

North Carolina Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

North Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.15 Units / 25% ROI)

North Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+5.10 Units / 46% ROI)

North Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 11 games at home (+3.80 Units / 32% ROI)

North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)

North Carolina has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 49% ROI)

Clemson Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Clemson has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

Clemson is 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 0.72% ROI
Clemson is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
Clemson is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI

North Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

North Carolina has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

North Carolina is 8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.6 Units / -27.47% ROI
North Carolina is 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
North Carolina is 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI

Clemson: Keys to the Game vs. North Carolina

#10 Clemson is undefeated (11-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .436

#10 Clemson is undefeated (8-0) when not throwing an interception since the 2021 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .503

#10 Clemson is undefeated (12-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– tied for 4th-best in FBS; Average: .516

#10 Clemson is undefeated (6-0) when passing for more than 200 yards — tied for 6th-best in FBS; Average: .484

North Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Clemson

#24 North Carolina is 8-1 (.889) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — tied for 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .516

#24 North Carolina is 6-1 (.667) when making 7 or more explosive plays — tied for 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .451

#24 North Carolina is 8-2 (.800) when sacking the QB less than 3 times — 5th-best in FBS; Average: .406

#24 North Carolina is 8-2 (.800) when passing for more than 200 yards — tied for 9th-best in FBS; Average: .484

Matchup Notes for Clemson vs. North Carolina

North Carolina’s TEs has gained 801 yards on 57 receptions (14.1 YPR) this season — best among ACC TEs. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — second-best among ACC defenses.

North Carolina’s TEs has 57 receptions in 10 games (5.7 per game) this season — best among ACC TEs. Clemson’s defense has allowed 4.8 receptions per game to TEs this season — tied for worst among FBS defenses.

North Carolina’s TEs has 108 receptions in 23 games (4.7 per game) since the 2021 season — best among ACC TEs. Clemson’s defense has allowed 4.5 receptions per game to TEs since the 2021 season — tied for second-worst among FBS defenses.

Clemson have just 202.3 receiving yards per game this season — second-worst among ACC skill players. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 270.8 receiving yards per game this season — worst among ACC defenses.

Clemson’s TEs has 45 receptions in 11 games (4.1 per game) this season — fourth-best among ACC TEs. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 21.4 receptions per game this season — second-worst among ACC defenses.

Clemson’s WRs have just 130.0 receiving yards per game this season — second-worst among ACC WRs. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 270.8 receiving yards per game this season — worst among ACC defenses.

Clemson Offensive Stats & Trends

#10 Clemson Skill Players have averaged just 7.1 yards per reception (171 yards/24 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.6

Clemson’s WRs has 125 receptions in 11 games (just 11.4 per game) this season — fifth-worst among ACC WRs. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 21.4 receptions per game this season — second-worst among ACC defenses.

North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends

North Carolina’s TEs has gained 1,368 yards on 108 receptions (12.7 YPR) since the 2021 season — best among ACC TEs. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — second-best among ACC defenses.

North Carolina’s WRs has gained 4,624 yards on 314 receptions (14.7 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for second-best among ACC WRs. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fourth-best among P5 defenses.

Clemson Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends

#10 Clemson opponents has averaged 36.6 Passing Attempts per TD (841 Pass Attempts/23 Passing TDs) since last season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 20.1

#10 Clemson has allowed 23 touchdowns on 491 completions (21.3 Completions Per TD) since last season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 12.2

#10 Clemson has tackled opponents for a loss on 76 of 330 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) this season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 16%.

#10 Clemson has tackled opponents for a loss on 22 of 90 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

#10 Clemson has tackled opponents for a loss on 76 of 330 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

North Carolina Tar Heels Defensive Stats & Trends

#24 North Carolina has averaged a sack every 31.2 pass attempts (343 Pass Attempts/11 Sacks) this season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 14.5

#24 North Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 60 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

#24 North Carolina has averaged a sack every 31.2 pass attempts (343 Pass Attempts/11 Sacks) this season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 14.7

#24 North Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on just 38 of 382 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

#24 North Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 60 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 14%.

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