Coastal Carolina vs Georgia State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 14

Georgia State running back Freddie Brock (25) runs with the ball against Utah State in the first half of the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl NCAA college football game, Saturday, Dec. 23, 2023, in Boise, Idaho. Georgia State won 45-22. (AP Photo/Steve Conner)
(AP Photo/Steve Conner)
  • Georgia State is a -1 point favorite vs. Coastal Carolina
  • Coastal Carolina vs. Georgia State Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

The Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (5-6) visit Center Parc Stadium to take on the Georgia State Panthers (3-8) on Nov. 30 in Atlanta, GA. Kickoff is scheduled for 2:00pm EST.

Georgia State is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -1 (-110).

The Coastal Carolina vs. Georgia State Over/Under is 55.5 total points.

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Coastal Carolina vs. Georgia State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Coastal Carolina+1 -11055.5 -110-105
Georgia State -1 -11055.5 -110-115

Coastal Carolina vs Georgia State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Coastal Carolina will win this game with 54.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Coastal Carolina and Georgia State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Coastal Carolina vs Georgia State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Georgia State will cover the spread with 71.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Coastal Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.95 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+2.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Georgia State has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 11 games (+4.40 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Georgia State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+4.20 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Georgia State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Georgia State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Georgia State has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Coastal Carolina players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Coastal Carolina Player Prop Bets Today

  • Jameson Tucker has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last away game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Bryson Graves has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Ethan Vasko has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Cameron Wright has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Braydon Bennett has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Georgia State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Georgia State Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Freddie Brock has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Dorian Fleming has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Ted Hurst has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Coastal Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Coastal Carolina is 4-7 against the spread this college football season (-3.65 Units / -30.29% ROI).

  • Coastal Carolina is 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -5.08% ROI
  • Coastal Carolina is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
  • Coastal Carolina is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI

Georgia State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia State is 3-7 against the spread this college football season (-4.65 Units / -38.59% ROI).

  • Georgia State is 2-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 28.95% ROI
  • Georgia State is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.13% ROI
  • Georgia State is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.13% ROI

Coastal Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia State

Coastal Carolina is 13-3 (.812) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 27th-best in FBS; Average: .619

Coastal Carolina is 8-4 (.667) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .480

Coastal Carolina is 2-6 (.250) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-17th-worst in FBS; Average: .467

Coastal Carolina is 13-7 (.650) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– 13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .525

Georgia State: Keys to the Game vs. Coastal Carolina

Georgia State is 2-14 (.125) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .454

Georgia State is 1-8 (.111) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .332

Georgia State is 3-8 (.273) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .485

Georgia State is 4-12 (.250) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .383

Matchup Notes for Coastal Carolina vs. Georgia State

Georgia State’s RBs has 0.5 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-2nd-best among FBS RBs. Coastal Carolina’s defense has allowed 2.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia State’s RBs have 52.5 receiving yards per game this season — 6th-best among FBS RBs. Coastal Carolina’s defense has allowed 34.1 receiving yards per game to RBs this season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Michel Dukes (GST) has averaged just 8.5 yards after the catch this season — 9th-worst of Qualified Skill Players. Coastal Carolina’s defense has allowed 12.5 RAC this season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.

Coastal Carolina’s RBs has rushed for 1,437 yards on 262 carries (5.5 YPC) this season — T-34th-best among FBS RBs. Georgia State’s defense have allowed 5.8 YPC to RBs this season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.

Coastal Carolina’s RBs has rushed for 1,437 yards on 262 carries (5.5 YPC) this season — T-34th-best among FBS RBs. Georgia State’s defense have allowed 5.2 YPC this season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.

Braydon Bennett (CC) has averaged a TD every 9.4 carries this season — 3rd-best of Qualified Running Back. Georgia State’s defense allowed a touchdown every just 16.5 carries this season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Coastal Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends

Coastal Carolina QBs have 29 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Coastal Carolina WRs have averaged 20.1 yards per reception (864 yards/43 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.5

Coastal Carolina Skill Players have averaged 16.8 yards per reception (1,024 yards/61 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9

Coastal Carolina QBs had 18 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down in the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams

Coastal Carolina Skill Players have averaged 14.0 yards per reception (602 yards/43 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 26th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.9

Georgia State Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia State RBs have caught 4 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Georgia State RBs have been targeted 31 times on 3rd down this season– most among FBS Teams

Georgia State completed passes for 20+ yards on 8 of their 26 total passing attempts (31%) last week– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 10%

Georgia State RBs have been targeted 12 times in short yardage situations this season– most among FBS Teams

Georgia State RBs have been targeted 8.8 times per game (97/11) this season– 3rd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Defensive Stats & Trends

Coastal Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 35 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.

Coastal Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on just 55 of 448 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) this season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Coastal Carolina defense allowed 7 completions for 20 or more yards last week– T-4th-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Coastal Carolina has no interceptions and 11 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.9

Coastal Carolina allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 1 of 39 carries (3%) last week– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%

Georgia State Panthers Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 49 of 430 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) this season– 11th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Georgia State has allowed 16 TDs in close and late situations since the 2023 season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Georgia State has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 30 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.

Georgia State has allowed 9 TDs in close and late situations this season– T-2nd-most in FBS

Georgia State has allowed 9 TDs in close and late situations this season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams


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