Coastal Carolina vs Troy Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – Sun Belt Championship

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 01, 2022, 11:00 AM
  • Troy (10-2) are -8.5 point favorites vs Coastal Carolina (9-2)
  • Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
  • Watch the Sun Belt Championship game on ESPN

The Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (9-3) visit Veterans Memorial Stadium to take on the Troy Trojans (11-2) on Dec. 3. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in Troy.

are betting favorites in Week 14, with the spread sitting at ().

The Coastal Carolina vs. Troy Over/Under is total points.

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Coastal Carolina vs. Troy Odds, Spread, Over/Under, Sun Belt Championship:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Coastal Carolina
Troy

Coastal Carolina vs Troy Prediction, Sun Belt Championship:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Troy will win this game with 67.7% confidence.

Coastal Carolina vs Troy Spread Prediction, Sun Belt Championship:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Troy will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Coastal Carolina and Troy, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Coastal Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+7.25 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.85 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Moneyline in their last 9 games (+10.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.54 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 games (+6.96 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Troy have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 52% ROI)

Coastal Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Coastal Carolina has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Coastal Carolina is 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.5 Units / 14.37% ROI
  • Coastal Carolina is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
  • Coastal Carolina is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI

Troy Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Troy has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Troy is 9-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.3 Units / 25.9% ROI
  • Troy is 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
  • Troy is 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI

Coastal Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Troy

Coastal Carolina is undefeated (16-0) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2021 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .550

Coastal Carolina is 13-4 (.765) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– tied for 5th-best in FBS; Average: .421

Coastal Carolina is 13-1 (.929) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .590

Coastal Carolina is undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2021 season– tied for best in FBS; Average: .559

Troy: Keys to the Game vs. Coastal Carolina

Troy is 7-1 (.778) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — tied for 14th-best in FBS; Average: .516

Troy is 10-2 (.769) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2021 season– tied for 11th-best in FBS; Average: .542

Troy is 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush — 10th-best in FBS; Average: .577

Troy is 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — tied for 14th-best in FBS; Average: .561

Matchup Notes for Coastal Carolina vs. Troy

Coastal Carolina’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.4% of 615 attempts since the 2021 season — fifth-best among FBS offenses. Troy’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.5% of attempts since the 2021 season — tied for third-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Coastal Carolina has gained 6,122 yards on 417 receptions (14.7 YPR) since the 2021 season — fifth-best among FBS skill players. Troy’s defense has allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-best among NonP5 defenses.

Coastal Carolina’s WRs has averaged 15.5 yards after the catch since the 2021 season — fifth-best among FBS WRs. Troy’s defense has allowed just 10.8 RAC since the 2021 season — fifth-best among NonP5 defenses.

Coastal Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends

Coastal Carolina WRs have averaged 21.6 yards per reception (389 yards/18 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.2

Coastal Carolina WRs have averaged 20.8 yards per reception (665 yards/32 catches) on 3rd and long since last season– 5th best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.9

Coastal Carolina’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.4% of 615 attempts since the 2021 season — fifth-best among FBS offenses. Troy’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.5% of attempts since the 2021 season — tied for third-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Coastal Carolina has gained 6,122 yards on 417 receptions (14.7 YPR) since the 2021 season — fifth-best among FBS skill players. Troy’s defense has allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-best among NonP5 defenses.

Coastal Carolina WRs have averaged 20.7 yards per reception (560 yards/27 catches) in close and late situations since last season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.3

Troy Offensive Stats & Trends

Troy QBs have 11 completions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Troy Skill Players have caught 8 touchdown passes in close and late situations this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Troy WRs have caught 7 touchdown passes in close and late situations this season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Troy WRs have 10 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Troy WRs have 13 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Defensive Stats & Trends

Coastal Carolina has allowed 15.0 yards per completion (3,247 yards/217 completions) this season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 12.6

Coastal Carolina has allowed first downs on 100% of pass attempts on 3rd and short this season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 50%

Coastal Carolina has allowed 53 receptions for 20+ yards this season– 2nd fewest among Non-Power 5 Teams

Coastal Carolina defense has allowed 53 completions for 20 or more yards this season– 2nd fewest in FBS

Coastal Carolina has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 53 of 345 attempts (15%) this season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 10%

Troy Trojans Defensive Stats & Trends

Troy opponents has averaged 37.7 Passing Attempts per TD (377 Pass Attempts/10 Passing TDs) this season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 19.3

Troy has allowed 10 touchdowns on 227 completions (22.7 Completions Per TD) this season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.7

Troy has allowed a passer rating of just 114.9 (377.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 133.8

Troy has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 23 of 377 attempts (6%) this season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%

Troy has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 23 of 377 attempts (6%) this season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 10%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.