Colorado vs Colorado St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3

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Colorado State coach Jay Norvell watches during the second half of the team's NCAA college football game against Air Force on Saturday, Nov. 19, 2022, at Air Force Academy, Colo. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 12, 2024, 11:25 AM
  • Colorado is a -7 point favorite vs. Colorado St
  • Colorado vs. Colorado State Total(Over/Under): 58.5 points
  • TV Channel: CBS

The Colorado Buffaloes (1-1) visit Canvas Stadium to take on the Colorado State Rams (1-1) on Sep. 14 in Fort Collins, CO. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.

Colorado is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).

The Colorado vs. Colorado State Over/Under is 58.5 total points.

Bet now on Colorado St vs Colorado & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Colorado vs. Colorado State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Colorado-7 -11058.5 -105-275
Colorado State +7 -11058.5 -115+225

Colorado vs Colorado State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Colorado will win this game with 70.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Colorado and Colorado St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Colorado vs Colorado State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Colorado State will cover the spread with 64.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Colorado St vs Colorado and all games with BetMGM


  • Colorado has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Colorado has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Colorado has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Colorado State have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+3.50 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 games (+3.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Colorado State have covered the 1H Spread in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+0.85 Units / 15% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Colorado players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Colorado Player Prop Bets Today

  • Jimmy Horn Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.70 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Shedeur Sanders has hit the Passing Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Shedeur Sanders has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 4 away games (+4.25 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Shedeur Sanders has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Charlie Offerdahl has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Colorado State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Colorado State Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.15 Units / 115% ROI)
  • Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tory Horton has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Colorado Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Colorado is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Colorado is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Colorado is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Colorado is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Colorado State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Colorado St is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.15 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Colorado State is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Colorado State is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Colorado State is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Colorado: Keys to the Game vs. Colorado State

Colorado is 3-9 (.250) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .398

Colorado is 2-9 (.182) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .406

Colorado is 2-6 (.250) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: .438

Colorado is 3-9 (.250) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .425

Colorado State: Keys to the Game vs. Colorado

Colorado State is 1-4 (.200) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .438

Colorado State is 2-7 (.182) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-27th-worst in FBS; Average: .395

Colorado State is 2-3 (.333) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .517

Colorado State is 1-10 (.083) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2022 season– T-6th-worst in FBS; Average: .399

Matchup Notes for Colorado vs. Colorado State

Colorado State’s QBs has thrown for 254 passing yards in 2 games (just 127.0 YPG) this season — 10th-worst among FBS teams. Colorado’s defense has allowed 238.5 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 254 passing yards in 2 games (just 127.0 YPG) this season — 10th-worst among FBS offenses. Colorado’s defense has allowed 238.5 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.0% of 50 attempts this season — 20th-worst among FBS offenses. Colorado’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.1% of attempts this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado has gained 447 yards on 32 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — T-32nd-best among FBS skill players. Colorado State’s defense has allowed 14.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.

Colorado’s offense has thrown for 689 passing yards in 2 games (344.5 YPG) this season — 8th-best among FBS offenses. Colorado State’s defense has allowed 273.0 passing yards per game this season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Colorado’s QBs has thrown for 689 passing yards in 2 games (344.5 YPG) this season — 8th-best among FBS teams. Colorado State’s defense has allowed 273.0 passing yards per game this season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Colorado Offensive Stats & Trends

Colorado TEs have averaged just 2.0 yards per reception (2 yards/1 catches) this season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 11.5

Colorado has gained 447 yards on 32 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — T-32nd-best among FBS skill players. Colorado State’s defense has allowed 14.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.

Colorado’s offense has thrown for 689 passing yards in 2 games (344.5 YPG) this season — 8th-best among FBS offenses. Colorado State’s defense has allowed 273.0 passing yards per game this season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Colorado WRs have caught 8 touchdown passes in close and late situations since the 2023 season– most among Big 12 Teams

Colorado’s QBs has thrown for 689 passing yards in 2 games (344.5 YPG) this season — 8th-best among FBS teams. Colorado State’s defense has allowed 273.0 passing yards per game this season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Colorado State Offensive Stats & Trends

Colorado State’s QBs has thrown for 254 passing yards in 2 games (just 127.0 YPG) this season — 10th-worst among FBS teams. Colorado’s defense has allowed 238.5 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 254 passing yards in 2 games (just 127.0 YPG) this season — 10th-worst among FBS offenses. Colorado’s defense has allowed 238.5 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.0% of 50 attempts this season — 20th-worst among FBS offenses. Colorado’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.1% of attempts this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado State TEs have been targeted 45 times in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Colorado State TEs have 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Colorado Buffaloes Defensive Stats & Trends

Colorado has allowed opponents to catch 43 of 54 passes (80% Reception Pct) this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 58%

Colorado has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 39 rushing attempts on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 10%.

Colorado has allowed a Completion Pct of 80% (43 completions/54 attempts) this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 57%

Colorado has allowed a Completion Pct of 80% (43 completions/54 attempts) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 58%

Colorado has no interceptions (54 pass attempts) this season– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 36.4

Colorado State Rams Defensive Stats & Trends

Colorado State has allowed 5 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– most in FBS

Colorado State has allowed a Completion Pct of 71% (315 completions/444 attempts) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 61%

Colorado State has allowed 5 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Colorado State has allowed 6 TD passes this season– T-most in FBS

Colorado State has allowed 6 TD passes this season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.