Colorado vs Northwestern Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3

• The Northwestern Wildcats are a -3.5 point favorite vs. the Colorado Buffaloes
• Colorado vs. Northwestern Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
• TV Channel: FOX

Colorado (2-0) visit Ryan Field to take on Northwestern (1-0) on Sep. 19 in Evanston, IL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm.

The Northwestern Wildcats are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Colorado vs. Northwestern Over/Under is 48.5 total points.

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Colorado vs. Northwestern Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Colorado vs Northwestern Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Northwestern will win this game with 58.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Colorado Buffaloes and the Northwestern Wildcats, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Colorado vs Northwestern Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Northwestern will cover the spread with 56.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Colorado Best Bets Today

• Colorado has hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI)
• Colorado has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
• Colorado has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 46% ROI)
• Colorado has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 games (+0.75 Units / 2% ROI)
• Colorado has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)

Northwestern Best Bets Today

• Northwestern has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+10.50 Units / 42% ROI)
• Northwestern has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+7.90 Units / 43% ROI)
• Northwestern have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.90 Units / 41% ROI)
• Northwestern have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.45 Units / 35% ROI)
• Northwestern have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)

Colorado Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Colorado Buffaloes is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

• Colorado is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 200% ROI
• Colorado is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
• Colorado is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Northwestern Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Northwestern Wildcats is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

• Northwestern is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 18.87% ROI
• Northwestern is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
• Northwestern is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

Colorado: Keys to the Game vs. Northwestern

Colorado was undefeated (7-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .618

Colorado was 6-1 (.857) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-13th-best in FBS; Average: .604

Colorado was 9-3 (.750) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .624

Colorado was 8-2 (.800) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .628

Northwestern: Keys to the Game vs. Colorado

Northwestern was winless (0-6) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .459

Northwestern was winless (0-7) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Northwestern was winless (0-6) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Northwestern was 4-7 (.364) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .536

Matchup Notes for Colorado vs. Northwestern

Northwestern’s RBs averaged just 5.7 yards after the catch last season — T-16th-worst among FBS RBs. Colorado’s defense allowed 11.0 RAC to RBs last season — 10th-worst among FBS defenses.

Northwestern’s RBs averaged just 5.7 yards after the catch last season — T-16th-worst among FBS RBs. Colorado’s defense allowed 13.5 RAC last season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Northwestern’s RBs averaged just 5.7 yards after the catch last season — T-16th-worst among FBS RBs. Colorado’s defense allowed 13.5 RAC last season — T-5th-worst among FBS defenses.

Colorado’s TEs had 20 receptions in 10 games (just 2.0 per game) last season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 TEs. Northwestern’s defense allowed just 17.2 receptions per game last season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado’s TEs had 20 receptions in 10 games (just 2.0 per game) last season — T-2nd-worst among P5 TEs. Northwestern’s defense allowed just 17.2 receptions per game last season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado had just 201.1 receiving yards per game last season — 4th-worst among Big 12 skill players. Northwestern’s defense allowed just 193.5 receiving yards per game last season — 30th-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado Offensive Stats & Trends

Colorado WRs averaged 23.3 receptions per game (303/13) last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.6

Colorado WRs had 40 receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-most among FBS Teams

Colorado WRs had 40 receptions in the Red Zone last season– most among Power Conference Teams

Colorado WRs averaged 23.3 receptions per game (303/13) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.3

Colorado’s TEs had 20 receptions in 10 games (just 2.0 per game) last season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 TEs. Northwestern’s defense allowed just 17.2 receptions per game last season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.

Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends

Northwestern WRs averaged a touchdown every 32.0 receptions (128 Rec/4 TDs) last season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2

Northwestern WRs averaged a touchdown every 32.0 receptions (128 Rec/4 TDs) last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.9

Northwestern Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 30.0 receptions (210 Rec/7 TDs) last season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.7

Northwestern Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 30.0 receptions (210 Rec/7 TDs) last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 12.7

Northwestern went for two on 18% of PATs last season– highest among Big Ten Offenses; Average: 5%

Colorado Defensive Stats & Trends

Colorado sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (39/391) last season– best in the Big 12; Average: 6%

Colorado sacked opponents 39 times last season– most in the Big 12

Colorado allowed 48.2 receiving yards per game (627/13) to RBs last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 25.0

Colorado allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (12 completions/32 attempts) in the Red Zone last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%

Colorado allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (12 completions/32 attempts) in the Red Zone last season– best in the Big 12; Average: 54%

Northwestern Defensive Stats & Trends

Northwestern had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 36.5

Northwestern allowed a Completion Pct of just 40% (16 completions/40 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%

Northwestern did not allow an opponent to rush for 10 or more yards on any of their 14 carries on 3rd and long last season– T-best in FBS; Average: 18%

Northwestern allowed opponents to catch just 16 of 39 passes (41% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long last season– best in FBS; Average: 55%

Northwestern allowed a Completion Pct of just 40% (16 completions/40 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 55%

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