- Fresno St is a -3 point favorite vs. Colorado St
- Colorado State vs. Fresno State Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
- TV Channel: CBSSN
The Colorado State Rams (7-3) visit Valley Children’s Stadium to take on the Fresno State Bulldogs (5-5) on Nov. 23 in Fresno, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EST.
Fresno St is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).
The Colorado State vs. Fresno State Over/Under is 46.5 total points.
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Colorado State vs. Fresno State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
Colorado State | +3 -110 | 46.5 -105 | +135 |
Fresno State | -3 -110 | 46.5 -115 | -165 |
Colorado State vs Fresno State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Fresno State will win this game with 58.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Colorado St and Fresno St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Colorado State vs Fresno State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Fresno State will cover the spread with 60.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Colorado State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Colorado State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- Colorado State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Colorado State have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- Colorado State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- Colorado State has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+0.80 Units / 4% ROI)
Fresno State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Fresno State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.95 Units / 59% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.90 Units / 16% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Fresno State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Fresno State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Raylen Sharpe has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Mac Dalena has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Colorado State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Colorado St is 7-3 against the spread this college football season (+3.65 Units / 33.03% ROI).
- Colorado State is 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 18.93% ROI
- Colorado State is 3-7 when betting the Over for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI
- Colorado State is 7-3 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI
Fresno State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Fresno St is 4-5 against the spread this college football season (-1.5 Units / -13.64% ROI).
- Fresno State is 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.3 Units / -14.84% ROI
- Fresno State is 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
- Fresno State is 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
Colorado State: Keys to the Game vs. Fresno State
Colorado State is 4-1 (.800) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .572
Colorado State is 9-7 (.562) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .401
Colorado State is 3-1 (.750) when not losing a fumble this season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .530
Colorado State is 9-7 (.562) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-38th-best in FBS; Average: .445
Fresno State: Keys to the Game vs. Colorado State
Fresno State is 8-8 (.500) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .380
Fresno State is 10-2 (.833) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .566
Fresno State is 9-2 (.818) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .635
Fresno State is 14-1 (.933) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .712
Matchup Notes for Colorado State vs. Fresno State
Fresno State’s WRs has 156 receptions in 10 games (15.6 per game) this season — T-21st-best among FBS WRs. Colorado State’s defense has allowed 14.9 receptions per game to WRs this season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.
Fresno State has 229 receptions in 10 games (22.9 per game) this season — T-23rd-best among FBS skill players. Colorado State’s defense has allowed 21.1 receptions per game this season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.
Fresno State’s RBs has 44 receptions in 10 games (4.4 per game) this season — T-20th-best among FBS RBs. Colorado State’s defense has allowed 21.1 receptions per game this season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.
Colorado State’s RBs has averaged just 5.9 yards after the catch this season — 19th-worst among FBS RBs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 3.6 RAC to RBs this season — best among FBS defenses.
Colorado State’s RBs has averaged just 5.9 yards after the catch this season — 19th-worst among FBS RBs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 10.8 RAC this season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
Colorado State’s RBs have just 15.4 receiving yards per game this season — 25th-worst among FBS RBs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 10.4 receiving yards per game to RBs this season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.
Colorado State Offensive Stats & Trends
Colorado State Skill Players have fumbled 7 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Colorado State RBs have fumbled 4 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Colorado State’s RBs has averaged just 5.9 yards after the catch this season — 19th-worst among FBS RBs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 3.6 RAC to RBs this season — best among FBS defenses.
Colorado State’s RBs has averaged just 5.9 yards after the catch this season — 19th-worst among FBS RBs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 10.8 RAC this season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
Colorado State Skill Players caught 14 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends
Fresno State QBs have averaged just -3.3 Yards per Carry (-166 yards/50 carries) in the 1st half since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 3.1
Fresno State RBs have 16 receptions in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 4th-most among FBS Teams
Fresno State RBs have averaged just 3.5 Yards per Carry (240 yards/69 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– T-7th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2
Fresno State RBs have averaged just 3.9 Yards per Carry (940 yards/238 carries) this season– T-7th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Fresno State QBs have averaged just -1.6 Yards per Carry (-184 yards/118 carries) since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 3.0
Colorado State Rams Defensive Stats & Trends
Colorado State has averaged a sack every 31.4 pass attempts (345 Pass Attempts/11 Sacks) this season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 14.6
Colorado State has not recorded a sack (23 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.3
Colorado State has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (11/345) this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
Colorado State allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (278 completions/388 attempts) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
Colorado State has allowed a Completion Pct of 67% (489 completions/733 attempts) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
Fresno State Bulldogs Defensive Stats & Trends
Fresno State has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 63 rushing attempts on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.
Fresno State has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 63 rushing attempts on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 11%.
Fresno State has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 28 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.
Fresno State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (19 completions/49 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
Fresno State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 55% (407 completions/744 attempts) since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
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