Colorado State vs Air Force Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 18, 2022, 10:35 AM
  • Air Force (7-3) are -21.5 point favorites vs Colorado State (2-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
  • Watch the game on Fox Networks

The Colorado State Rams (2-9) visit Falcon Stadium to take on the Air Force Falcons (8-3) on Nov. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in U.S. Air Force Academy.

are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Colorado State vs. Air Force is total points.

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Colorado State vs. Air Force Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Colorado State
Air Force

Colorado State vs Air Force Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Air Force will win this game with 74.6% confidence.

Colorado State vs Air Force Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Colorado State will cover the spread with 68.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Colorado State and Air Force, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • Colorado State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+9.00 Units / 129% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 away games (+3.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Air Force have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.69 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 6 games at home (+6.35 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+5.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+5.35 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Air Force have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)

Colorado State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Colorado State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Colorado State is 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.8 Units / -53.54% ROI
  • Colorado State is 1-8 when betting the Over for -7.8 Units / -78.79% ROI
  • Colorado State is 8-1 when betting the Under for +6.9 Units / 69.7% ROI

Air Force Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Air Force has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Air Force is 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.9 Units / -10.66% ROI
  • Air Force is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.52% ROI
  • Air Force is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.45 Units / -4.11% ROI

Colorado State: Keys to the Game vs. Air Force

Colorado State is winless (0-13) when allowing 22 or more points — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .284

Colorado State is winless (0-14) when throwing at least 1 interception — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .352

Colorado State is 1-16 (.059) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .424

Colorado State is 1-14 (.067) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards — tied for 7th-worst in FBS; Average: .397

Matchup Notes for Colorado State vs. Air Force

Colorado State’s TEs has 138 receptions in 20 games (6.9 per game) since the 2021 season — second-best among FBS TEs. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 13.7 receptions per game since the 2021 season — best among NonP5 defenses.

Colorado State’s TEs has 138 receptions in 20 games (6.9 per game) since the 2021 season — second-best among FBS TEs. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 13.7 receptions per game since the 2021 season — best among FBS defenses.

Colorado State’s TEs have 88.6 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — third-best among FBS TEs. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 174.5 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — third-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado State Offensive Stats & Trends

Colorado State have been sacked on 18% of pass attempts (46/249) this season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 7%

Colorado State TEs have averaged 6.9 receptions per game (138/20) since last season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.1

Colorado State TEs have 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations since last season– most among FBS Teams

Colorado State TEs have been targeted 10.8 times per game (215/20) since last season– tied for highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.7

Colorado State TEs have been targeted 5.4 times per game (102/19) in the 2nd half since last season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 2.6

Air Force Offensive Stats & Trends

Air Force Skill Players have averaged 23.3 yards per reception (1,935 yards/83 catches) since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.2

Air Force Skill Players have averaged 22.6 yards per reception (768 yards/34 catches) this season– tied for best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.0

Air Force Skill Players have averaged 21.4 yards per reception (257 yards/12 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.8

Air Force RBs have averaged 245.3 rushing yards per game (2,453/10) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 130.8

Air Force Skill Players have averaged 21.7 yards per reception (477 yards/22 catches) on 3rd and long since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.1

Colorado State Rams Defensive Stats & Trends

Colorado State has no interceptions (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 35.3

Colorado State has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (13/292) this season– 5th worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

Colorado State has allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 2 of 292 attempts (1%) this season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 2%

Colorado State has no interceptions and 8 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 9.2

Colorado State has allowed 32 rushing TDs on just 115 carries (3.6 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.8

Air Force Falcons Defensive Stats & Trends

Air Force has allowed 8 TDs in the Red Zone this season– tied for best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.1

Air Force opponents has averaged 35.5 Passing Attempts per TD (213 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) this season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 19.1

Air Force has allowed 2.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (356 yards / 133 touches) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 3rd best in FBS; Average: 3.7

Air Force has allowed 15 TDs this season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.3

Air Force’s opponents has attempted just 21.3 passes per game this season– lowest among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 30.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.