Colorado State vs Colorado Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3

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Colorado quarterback Shedeur Sanders (2) in the first half of the team's spring practice NCAA college football game Saturday, April 22, 2023, in Boulder, Colo. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 16, 2023, 11:15 AM
  • Colorado is a -23.5 point favorite vs. Colorado State
  • Total (Over/Under): 60.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Colorado State Rams visit Folsom Field to take on the Colorado Buffaloes on Sep. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Boulder.

Colorado is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -23.5 (-115).

The Colorado State vs. Colorado Over/Under is 62.5 total points.

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Colorado State vs. Colorado Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 3

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Colorado State+23.5 -10562.5 -105+1050
Colorado -23.5 -11562.5 -115-2500

Colorado State vs Colorado Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Colorado will win this game with 93.8% confidence.

Colorado State vs Colorado Spread Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Colorado will cover the spread with 53.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Colorado State and Colorado, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Colorado State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+9.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games (+4.25 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Colorado has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 games (+8.95 Units / 121% ROI)
  • Colorado has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Colorado has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 1 of their last 4 games (+3.75 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Colorado has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Colorado has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.80 Units / 30% ROI)

Colorado State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Colorado State is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Colorado State is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Colorado State is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Colorado State is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

Colorado Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Colorado is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Colorado is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.25 Units / 343.75% ROI
  • Colorado is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Colorado is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Colorado State: Keys to the Game vs. Colorado

Colorado State is 1-13 (.071) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2021 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .450

Colorado State is winless (0-15) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .342

Colorado State is winless (0-7) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .457

Colorado State is winless (0-15) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .290

Colorado: Keys to the Game vs. Colorado State

Colorado is winless (0-17) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .410

Colorado is winless (0-16) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .379

Colorado is 2-17 (.105) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .437

Colorado was winless (0-10) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .409

Matchup Notes for Colorado State vs. Colorado

Colorado’s RBs has gained 368 yards on 35 receptions (10.5 YPR) since the 2022 season — 15th-best among FBS RBs. Colorado State’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2022 season — tied for fourth-best among NonP5 defenses.

Colorado’s RBs has rushed for 183 yards on 47 carries (just 3.9 YPC) this season — tied for 27th-worst among FBS RBs. Colorado State’s defense have allowed just 2.4 YPC this season — tied for 16th-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado’s RBs has gained 368 yards on 35 receptions (10.5 YPR) since the 2022 season — 15th-best among FBS RBs. Colorado State’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2022 season — tied for 14th-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 2,660 passing yards in 13 games (just 204.6 YPG) since the 2022 season — 30th-worst among FBS offenses. Colorado’s defense has allowed 261.1 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — tied for 34th-worst among FBS defenses.

Colorado’s defense has allowed just 17.5 receptions per game this season — fifth-best among Pac-12 defenses.

Colorado State have just 205.0 receiving yards per game since the 2022 season — 33rd-worst among FBS skill players. Colorado’s defense has allowed 255.3 receiving yards per game since the 2022 season — 26th-worst among FBS defenses.

Colorado State Offensive Stats & Trends

Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 2,660 passing yards in 13 games (just 204.6 YPG) since the 2022 season — 30th-worst among FBS offenses. Colorado’s defense has allowed 261.1 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — tied for 34th-worst among FBS defenses.

Colorado State were sacked on 19% of pass attempts (57/299) in the 2022 season– worst among Non-Power 5 Offenses; Average: 7%

Colorado State have been sacked on 16% of pass attempts (60/365) since last season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 7%

Colorado State TEs have been targeted 6 times in the 4th quarter this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Colorado State TEs have caught 6 touchdown passes in close and late situations since the 2021 season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Colorado Offensive Stats & Trends

Colorado has averaged 510.0 Passing Yards per game (510/1) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 239.7*

Colorado RBs have 135 receiving yards this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Colorado Skill Players caught just 151 of 301 passes(50% Reception Pct) in the 2022 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 64%

Colorado RBs averaged 19.0 yards per reception (95 yards/5 catches) in the 1st half in the 2022 season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 8.1

Colorado RBs have averaged 12.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (108 yards / 9 touches) on 2nd down this season– tied for 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5

Colorado State Rams Defensive Stats & Trends

Colorado State has allowed 5 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Colorado State has allowed 5 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– most in FBS

Colorado State has allowed 466.0 receiving yards per game (466/1) this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 209.9

Colorado State did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 16.7

Colorado State has allowed 483.0 Passing Yards per game (483/1) this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 224.6

Colorado Buffaloes Defensive Stats & Trends

Colorado allowed a passer rating of 165.0 (332.0 Pass Attempts) in the 2022 season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 127.6

Colorado allowed 46 TDs in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.1

#18 Colorado has allowed 79 TDs since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 3.1

#18 Colorado has averaged a sack every 33.0 pass attempts (826 Pass Attempts/25 Sacks) since the 2021 season– worst in FBS; Average: 14.2

#18 Colorado has allowed 54 TDs in the Red Zone since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.1


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