Colorado State vs Nevada Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 07, 2022, 8:52 AM
  • (2-4) are point favorites vs (2-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The Colorado State Rams (1-5) visit Mackay Stadium to take on the Nevada Wolf Pack (2-5) on Oct. 7. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT in Reno.

are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Colorado State vs. Nevada is total points.

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Colorado State vs. Nevada Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 6

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Colorado State
Nevada

Colorado State vs Nevada Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Nevada will win this game with 51.0% confidence.

Colorado State vs Nevada Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Nevada will cover the spread with 67.9% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Colorado State and Nevada, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • Colorado State has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.55 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.95 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 away games (+1.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Nevada have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.35 Units / 13% ROI)

Colorado State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Colorado State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Colorado State are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Colorado State are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Colorado State are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Nevada Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Nevada has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Nevada are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Nevada are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Nevada are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Colorado State: Keys to the Game vs. Nevada

Colorado State is 1-9 (.100) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2020 season– tied for 9th-worst in FBS; Average: .497

Colorado State is winless (0-6) when not forcing a fumble — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .440

Colorado State is 1-10 (.091) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards — tied for 7th-worst in FBS; Average: .397

Colorado State is winless (0-11) when allowing 22 or more points — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .280

Matchup Notes for Colorado State vs. Nevada

Colorado State’s offense has given up51 sacks since the 2021 season — fifth-most among FBS offenses. Nevada’s defense has sacked the quarterback 50 times since the 2021 season — third-most among NonP5 defenses.

Colorado State Offensive Stats & Trends

Colorado State TEs have averaged 8.8 receptions per game (123/14) since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.1

Colorado State TEs have been targeted 13.5 times per game (189/14) since last season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.7

Colorado State have been sacked on 27% of pass attempts (23/85) this season– worst among Non-Power 5 Offenses; Average: 7%

Colorado State TEs have been targeted 52 times in the 4th quarter since last season– most among FBS Teams

Colorado State TEs have caught 5 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Nevada Offensive Stats & Trends

Nevada Skill Players have 22 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since last season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

Nevada QBs have 16 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go since last season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Nevada Punters have placed 0% of punts inside the 20 (0/4) since last season– tied for worst among FBS Teams; Average: 33%

Nevada Punters have punted 1.3 times per game since last season– tied for 2nd lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.2

Nevada Skill Players have averaged 27.0 receptions per game (459/17) since last season– 4th best among FBS Teams; Average: 19.0

Colorado State Rams Defensive Stats & Trends

Colorado State has allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (4 completions/4 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 59%

Colorado State has allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (4 completions/4 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 60%

Colorado State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 44% (19 completions/43 attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– 5th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 55%

Colorado State has not recorded a sack (17 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 18.0

Colorado State has allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (74 completions/102 attempts) this season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 60%

Nevada Wolf Pack Defensive Stats & Trends

Nevada has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 5 of 19 attempts (26%) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 10%

Nevada has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 8 of 105 attempts (8%) this season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 2%

Nevada has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 8 of 105 attempts (8%) this season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3%

Nevada has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 5 of 19 attempts (26%) on 3rd and long this season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 9%

Nevada has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 13 of 69 attempts (19%) on 3rd and long since last season– best in FBS; Average: 9%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.