- TCU is a -21 point favorite vs Colorado
- Total (Over/Under): 59.5 points
- Watch the game on FOX
The Colorado Buffaloes visit Amon G. Carter Stadium to take on the TCU Horned Frogs on Sep. 2. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT in Fort Worth.
TCU is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -21 (-110).
The Colorado vs. TCU Over/Under is 59.5 total points.
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Colorado vs. TCU Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 1
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Colorado | +21 -110 | 59.5 -110 | +600 |
| TCU | -21 -110 | 59.5 -110 | -900 |
Colorado vs TCU Prediction for Week 1
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts TCU will win this game with 88.2% confidence.
Colorado vs TCU Spread Prediction for Week 1
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Colorado will cover the spread with 61.3% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Colorado and TCU, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best TCU Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for TCU players for Week 1, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jared Wiley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 75% ROI)
Colorado Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Colorado has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 16 games (+9.50 Units / 59% ROI)
- Colorado has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.90 Units / 70% ROI)
- Colorado has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- Colorado has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- Colorado has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.55 Units / 19% ROI)
TCU Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- TCU has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games (+15.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- TCU has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+9.05 Units / 71% ROI)
- TCU have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- TCU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.75 Units / 39% ROI)
Colorado Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Colorado went 2-10 against the spread last college football season (-9 Units / -68.18% ROI).
- Colorado went 1-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -18.57% ROI
- Colorado went 9-3 when betting the Over for +5.7 Units / 43.18% ROI
- Colorado went 3-9 when betting the Under for -6.9 Units / -52.27% ROI
TCU Against the Spread (ATS) Record
TCU went 10-4 against the spread last college football season (+5.65 Units / 34.45% ROI).
- TCU went 12-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.65 Units / 47.81% ROI
- TCU went 9-6 when betting the Over for +2.4 Units / 14.55% ROI
- TCU went 6-9 when betting the Under for -3.9 Units / -23.64% ROI
Colorado: Keys to the Game vs. TCU
Colorado is 2-19 (.095) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2021 season– tied for 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .452
Colorado is 1-17 (.056) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– tied for 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: .427
Colorado was winless (0-10) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .427
Colorado is 1-18 (.053) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .427
TCU: Keys to the Game vs. Colorado
#17 TCU was 8-1 (.727) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game in the 2022 season– 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .406
#17 TCU was 11-2 (.733) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times in the 2022 season– 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .435
#17 TCU is 13-4 (.765) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season– tied for 12th-best in FBS; Average: .497
#17 TCU was 10-1 (.769) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game in the 2022 season– 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .462
Matchup Notes for Colorado vs. TCU
Jared Wiley (TCU) had 24 receptions in 13 games (1.8 per game) in the 2022 season — tied for seventh-worst of Qualified Power 5 Tight Endss. Colorado’s defense allowed just 20.4 receptions per game in the 2022 season — fourth-best among Pac-12 defenses.
TCU’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.8% of 763 attempts since the 2021 season — ninth-best among FBS offenses. Colorado’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.9% of attempts since the 2021 season — tied for 21st-best among FBS defenses.
TCU’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 13.5% of 453 attempts in the 2022 season — tied for 18th-best among FBS offenses. Colorado’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.1% of attempts in the 2022 season — best among Pac-12 defenses.
Colorado’s QBs threw for 2,211 passing yards in 12 games (just 184.2 YPG) in the 2022 season — 13th-worst among FBS teams. TCU’s defense allowed 262.6 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — 35th-worst among FBS defenses.
Colorado’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 7.2% of 359 attempts in the 2022 season — 10th-worst among FBS offenses. TCU’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.9% of attempts in the 2022 season — second-best among Big 12 defenses.
Colorado’s WRs gained 1,647 yards on 123 receptions (13.4 YPR) in the 2022 season — fifth-best among Pac-12 WRs. TCU’s defense allowed 13.2 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — third-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Colorado Offensive Stats & Trends
Colorado’s QBs threw for 2,211 passing yards in 12 games (just 184.2 YPG) in the 2022 season — 13th-worst among FBS teams. TCU’s defense allowed 262.6 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — 35th-worst among FBS defenses.
Colorado’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 7.2% of 359 attempts in the 2022 season — 10th-worst among FBS offenses. TCU’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.9% of attempts in the 2022 season — second-best among Big 12 defenses.
Colorado’s WRs gained 1,647 yards on 123 receptions (13.4 YPR) in the 2022 season — fifth-best among Pac-12 WRs. TCU’s defense allowed 13.2 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — third-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Colorado’s WRs gained 1,647 yards on 123 receptions (13.4 YPR) in the 2022 season — fifth-best among Pac-12 WRs. TCU’s defense allowed 13.9 Yards Per Reception to WRs in the 2022 season — tied for 31st-worst among FBS defenses.
Colorado’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.5% of 628 attempts since the 2021 season — tied for 10th-worst among FBS offenses. TCU’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.8% of attempts since the 2021 season — fourth-best among FBS defenses.
TCU Offensive Stats & Trends
TCU’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.8% of 763 attempts since the 2021 season — ninth-best among FBS offenses. Colorado’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.9% of attempts since the 2021 season — tied for 21st-best among FBS defenses.
TCU’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 13.5% of 453 attempts in the 2022 season — tied for 18th-best among FBS offenses. Colorado’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.1% of attempts in the 2022 season — best among Pac-12 defenses.
TCU’s WRs has gained 5,569 yards on 360 receptions (15.5 YPR) since the 2021 season — best among Big 12 WRs. Colorado’s defense has allowed just 12.4 Yards Per Reception to WRs since the 2021 season — tied for 31st-best among FBS defenses.
TCU’s WRs gained 3,226 yards on 210 receptions (15.4 YPR) in the 2022 season — third-best among Big 12 WRs. Colorado’s defense allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — tied for 20th-worst among FBS defenses.
TCU gained 3,925 yards on 291 receptions (13.5 YPR) in the 2022 season — tied for second-best among Big 12 skill players. Colorado’s defense allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — tied for 20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Colorado Buffaloes Defensive Stats & Trends
Colorado averaged a sack every 36.1 pass attempts (361 Pass Attempts/10 Sacks) in the 2022 season– worst in FBS; Average: 14.4
Colorado has averaged a sack every 33.1 pass attempts (762 Pass Attempts/23 Sacks) since the 2021 season– worst in FBS; Average: 14.2
Colorado had no interceptions and 19 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 8.5
Colorado allowed 71 TDs in the 2022 season– worst in FBS; Average: 3.1
Colorado allowed 49 TDs in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.1
TCU Horned Frogs Defensive Stats & Trends
#17 TCU has forced 10 fumbles on 1,017 carries (101.7 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2021 season– worst in FBS; Average: 41.5
#17 TCU defense allowed 66 completions for 20 or more yards in the 2022 season– tied for most in FBS
#17 TCU allowed 66 receptions for 20+ yards in the 2022 season– tied for most in FBS
#17 TCU has forced 10 fumbles on 1,017 carries (101.7 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2021 season– 2nd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 42.1
#17 TCU has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 30 of 821 attempts (4%) since the 2021 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2%
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