Connecticut vs Army Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

min read
AP Photos
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 18, 2022, 10:25 AM
  • Army (3-6) are -10 point favorites vs Connecticut (6-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS Sports Network

The UConn Huskies (6-6) visit Michie Stadium to take on the Army Black Knights (4-6) on Nov. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in West Point.

are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Connecticut vs. Army is total points.

Bet now on Army vs Connecticut & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Connecticut vs. Army Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Connecticut
Army

Connecticut vs Army Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Army will win this game with 54% confidence.

Connecticut vs Army Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Army will cover the spread with 51%confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Connecticut and Army, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • Connecticut has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+18.40 Units / 142% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+12.05 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.40 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Connecticut have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+8.75 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Connecticut have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.45 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Army has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 6 games at home (+6.05 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Army has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Army has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Army has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Army have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 19 games (+2.35 Units / 11% ROI)

Connecticut Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Connecticut has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Connecticut is 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.4 Units / 124.29% ROI
  • Connecticut is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -32.73% ROI
  • Connecticut is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 24.55% ROI

Army Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Army has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Army is 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.3 Units / -38.77% ROI
  • Army is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • Army is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Connecticut: Keys to the Game vs. Army

UConn is winless (0-9) when not forcing a fumble since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .443

UConn is 1-13 (.071) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .424

UConn is winless (0-10) when throwing at least 1 interception — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .352

UConn is winless (0-14) when allowing 22 or more points — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .284

Army: Keys to the Game vs. Connecticut

Army is winless (0-6) when throwing at least 1 interception — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .352

Matchup Notes for Connecticut vs. Army

Army has 5 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for fourth-fewest among FBS skill players. UConn’s defense has allowed 6 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for third-fewest among FBS defenses.

Army has 5 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for fourth-fewest among FBS skill players. UConn’s defense has allowed 6 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for fewest among NonP5 defenses.

Connecticut Offensive Stats & Trends

UConn Skill Players have averaged just 9.4 yards per reception (2,945 yards/312 catches) since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.2

UConn WRs have fumbled 4 times in close and late situations since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

UConn WRs have averaged just 10.5 yards per reception (1,831 yards/175 catches) since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.3

UConn Skill Players have fumbled 5 times in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

UConn Skill Players have fumbled 5 times in close and late situations this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Army Offensive Stats & Trends

Army Skill Players have averaged 22.6 yards per reception (812 yards/36 catches) this season– tied for best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.0

Army Skill Players have averaged 21.3 yards per reception (2,045 yards/96 catches) since last season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.2

Army WRs have been targeted 4.5 times per game (99/22) since last season– lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 21.1

Army Skill Players have averaged 24.3 yards per reception (340 yards/14 catches) on 1st down this season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.3

Army WRs have averaged just 2.2 receptions per game (49/22) since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9

UConn Huskies Defensive Stats & Trends

UConn opponents has averaged 12.5 Passing Attempts per TD (25 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.8

UConn opponents has averaged 49.2 Passing Attempts per TD (295 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) this season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 19.1

UConn opponents has averaged 12.5 Passing Attempts per TD (25 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 4.0

UConn has allowed 6 touchdowns on 184 completions (30.7 Completions Per TD) this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 12.5

UConn has allowed a passer rating of just 86.0 in the Red Zone (25.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 167.4

Army Black Knights Defensive Stats & Trends

Army has allowed a Completion Pct of 74% (41 completions/55 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since last season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 58%

Army has allowed 18 TDs in close and late situations since last season– tied for 3rd most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Army has allowed a Completion Pct of 74% (41 completions/55 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 59%

Army has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 67 of 348 carries (19%) this season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 13%

Army has allowed first downs on 75% of pass attempts on 3rd and short since last season– tied for 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 51%


Looking to place a bet on this game with a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Army vs Connecticut and all NCAAF games with BetMGM

College Football Betting at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.