Connecticut vs Delaware Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 3

Nike logo dorns a football in the second half of an NCAA college football game Saturday, Nov. 28, 2020, in Boulder, Colo. Colorado won 20-10. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
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  • Connecticut is a -10 point favorite vs. Delaware
  • Connecticut vs. Delaware Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

Connecticut (1-1) visit Delaware Stadium to take on Delaware (1-1) on Sep. 13 in Newark, DE. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00pm EDT.

Connecticut is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -10 (-110).

The Connecticut vs. Delaware Over/Under is 52.5 total points.

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Connecticut vs. Delaware Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Connecticut-10 -11052.5 -110-375
Delaware +10 -11052.5 -110300

Connecticut vs Delaware Prediction:

The winning team model predicts UConn will win this game with 72.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Connecticut and Delaware, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Connecticut vs Delaware Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Delaware will cover the spread with 58.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • UConn have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+4.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • UConn has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Connecticut have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.40 Units / 12% ROI)

Delaware Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Delaware iss 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Delaware is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Delaware is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
  • Delaware is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI

Connecticut: Keys to the Game vs. Delaware

UConn was 8-2 (.800) when rushing for more than 100 yards last season– 8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .572

UConn was winless (0-7) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .399

UConn was 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552

UConn is 8-2 (.800) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– 27th-best in FBS; Average: .625

Delaware: Keys to the Game vs. Connecticut

Delaware is winless (0-1) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .464

Delaware is winless (0-1) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .555

Delaware is winless (0-1) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .476

Delaware is winless (0-1) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .248

Matchup Notes for Connecticut vs. Delaware

Delaware’s WRs has averaged 14.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-15th-best among FBS WRs. UConn’s defense has allowed just 12.1 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

Delaware’s WRs has 34 receptions in 2 games (17.0 per game) since the 2024 season — T-11th-best among FBS WRs. UConn’s defense has allowed 14.4 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-11th-worst among FBS defenses.

Delaware’s WRs has averaged 14.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-15th-best among FBS WRs. UConn’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC since the 2024 season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

UConn’s RBs has rushed for 2,878 yards on 459 carries (6.3 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-6th-best among FBS RBs. Delaware’s defense have allowed 5.5 YPC to RBs since the 2024 season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

UConn’s RBs has averaged 9.3 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-33rd-best among FBS RBs. Delaware’s defense has allowed 10.5 RAC to RBs since the 2024 season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.

UConn’s RBs has 2,878 rushing yards since the 2024 season — 3rd-most among FBS RBs. Delaware’s defense has allowed 331 rushing yards since the 2024 season — fewest among NonP5 defenses.

Connecticut Offensive Stats & Trends

UConn RBs have averaged 11.0 Yards per Carry (287 yards/26 carries) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

UConn RBs have averaged 14.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (141 yards / 10 touches) on 1st down this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

UConn RBs have averaged 287.0 rushing yards per game (287/1) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 128.8

UConn RBs have averaged 14.7 Yards per Carry (162 yards/11 carries) in the 1st half this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2

UConn RBs have averaged 10.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (290 yards / 27 touches) this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Delaware Offensive Stats & Trends

Delaware Skill Players have been targeted 78 times since the 2024 season– fewest among FBS Teams

Delaware WRs have been targeted 15 times in the 1st quarter this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Delaware Skill Players have averaged 20.8 yards per reception (83 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.8

Delaware’s WRs has averaged 14.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-15th-best among FBS WRs. UConn’s defense has allowed just 12.1 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

Delaware’s WRs has 34 receptions in 2 games (17.0 per game) since the 2024 season — T-11th-best among FBS WRs. UConn’s defense has allowed 14.4 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-11th-worst among FBS defenses.

Connecticut Defensive Stats & Trends

UConn has tackled opponents for a loss on 20 of 77 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

UConn tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 64 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

UConn tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 64 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

UConn forced 4 fumbles on 425 carries (106.2 Carries Per Fumble) last season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: 43.4

UConn has allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (9 completions/23 attempts) this season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%

Delaware Defensive Stats & Trends

Delaware has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 2 of 8 attempts (25%) on 3rd and long since the 2024 season– worst in FBS; Average: 10%

Delaware has allowed 52.5 receiving yards per game (105/2) to RBs since the 2024 season– worst in FBS; Average: 24.7

Delaware has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 7 of their 80 carries (9%) since the 2024 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4%

Delaware has allowed 1.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (15 yards / 8 touches) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8

Delaware has tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 7 rushing attempts (29% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– best in FBS; Average: 15%.


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