Connecticut vs Georgia State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 2

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Georgia State quarterback Darren Grainger looks to pass during an NCAA football game against Appalachian State on Wednesday, Oct. 19, 2022, in Boone, N.C. (AP Photo/Nell Redmond)
(AP Photo/Nell Redmond)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 08, 2023, 3:08 PM
  • Georgia State is a -3 point favorite vs. Connecticut
  • Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The UConn Huskies visit Center Parc Stadium to take on the Georgia State Panthers on Sep. 9. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Atlanta.

Georgia State is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).

The Connecticut vs. Georgia State Over/Under is 54.5 total points.

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Connecticut vs. Georgia State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 2

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Connecticut+3 -11054.5 -110+130
Georgia State -3 -11054.5 -110-160

Connecticut vs Georgia State Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Georgia State will win this game with 56.3% confidence.

Connecticut vs Georgia State Spread Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Georgia State will cover the spread with 52.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Connecticut and Georgia State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Connecticut has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+14.40 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.79 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+6.70 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+6.40 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Connecticut have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Georgia State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 8 games (+9.25 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Georgia State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+8.35 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Georgia State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.04 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Georgia State have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Georgia State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 53% ROI)

Connecticut Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Connecticut is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Connecticut is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Connecticut is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Connecticut is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

Georgia State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia State is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Georgia State is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 11.11% ROI
  • Georgia State is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Georgia State is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

Connecticut: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia State

UConn is 1-18 (.053) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– tied for 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .426

UConn is 1-19 (.050) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2021 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .397

UConn is 2-19 (.095) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– tied for 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .421

UConn is winless (0-14) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .343

Georgia State: Keys to the Game vs. Connecticut

Georgia State is winless (0-8) when allowing 3 or more sacks since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .284

Matchup Notes for Connecticut vs. Georgia State

Georgia State’s QBs threw for 2,595 passing yards in 12 games (just 216.2 YPG) in the 2022 season — 33rd-worst among FBS teams. UConn’s defense allowed just 221.1 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — tied for 34th-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia State’s offense threw for 2,431 passing yards in 12 games (just 202.6 YPG) in the 2022 season — 30th-worst among FBS offenses. UConn’s defense allowed just 221.1 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — tied for 34th-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia State’s WRs gained 2,088 yards on 134 receptions (15.6 YPR) in the 2022 season — 12th-best among FBS WRs. UConn’s defense allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — tied for 30th-best among FBS defenses.

UConn’s offense has thrown for 3,531 passing yards in 26 games (just 135.8 YPG) since the 2021 season — sixth-worst among FBS offenses. Georgia State’s defense has allowed 268.6 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

UConn have just 134.1 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — seventh-worst among FBS skill players. Georgia State’s defense has allowed 252.2 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — 27th-worst among FBS defenses.

UConn’s QBs has thrown for 3,879 passing yards in 26 games (just 149.2 YPG) since the 2021 season — seventh-worst among FBS teams. Georgia State’s defense has allowed 268.6 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Connecticut Offensive Stats & Trends

UConn’s offense has thrown for 3,531 passing yards in 26 games (just 135.8 YPG) since the 2021 season — sixth-worst among FBS offenses. Georgia State’s defense has allowed 268.6 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

UConn RBs have no touchdowns on 77 receptions since the 2021 season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.1

UConn have just 134.1 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — seventh-worst among FBS skill players. Georgia State’s defense has allowed 252.2 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — 27th-worst among FBS defenses.

UConn TEs have been targeted 5 times in the 4th quarter this season– tied for 3rd-most among FBS Teams

UConn Skill Players averaged just 9.3 yards per reception (1,095 yards/118 catches) in the 2022 season– tied for worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.0

Georgia State Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia State’s QBs threw for 2,595 passing yards in 12 games (just 216.2 YPG) in the 2022 season — 33rd-worst among FBS teams. UConn’s defense allowed just 221.1 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — tied for 34th-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia State’s offense threw for 2,431 passing yards in 12 games (just 202.6 YPG) in the 2022 season — 30th-worst among FBS offenses. UConn’s defense allowed just 221.1 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — tied for 34th-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia State RBs have been targeted 1.0 times per game (24/25) since the 2021 season– 2nd lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

Georgia State’s WRs gained 2,088 yards on 134 receptions (15.6 YPR) in the 2022 season — 12th-best among FBS WRs. UConn’s defense allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — tied for 30th-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia State gained 2,404 yards on 169 receptions (14.2 YPR) in the 2022 season — tied for eighth-best among FBS skill players. UConn’s defense allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — tied for 30th-best among FBS defenses.

UConn Huskies Defensive Stats & Trends

UConn opponents averaged 12.5 Passing Attempts per TD (25 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 4.0

UConn opponents averaged 12.5 Passing Attempts per TD (25 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.9

UConn opponents averaged 49.3 Passing Attempts per TD (296 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) in the 2022 season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 20.7

UConn opponents averaged 49.3 Passing Attempts per TD (296 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) in the 2022 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 19.3

UConn allowed 6 touchdowns on 184 completions (30.7 Completions Per TD) in the 2022 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.7

Georgia State Panthers Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia State allowed a passer rating of 229.9 in the Red Zone (34.0 Pass Attempts) in the 2022 season– 5th worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 164.5

Georgia State has averaged 2.00 interceptions per game (2/1) this season– tied for 9th-best in FBS; Average: 0.85

Georgia State has allowed 420.0 Passing Yards per game (420/1) this season– 7th-worst in FBS; Average: 223.5

Georgia State has allowed 17.5 yards per completion (420 yards/24 completions) this season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 11.8

Georgia State allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 1 of 53 attempts (2%) on 3rd and long in the 2022 season– tied for 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 10%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.