Connecticut vs Rice Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

BetMGM Betting Oct 24, 2025, 3:14 PM

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Connecticut is a -10 point favorite vs. Rice
Connecticut vs. Rice Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
TV Channel: ESPN+

Connecticut (5-2) visit Rice Stadium to take on Rice (3-4) on Oct. 25 in Houston, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00pm EDT.

Connecticut is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -10 (-115).

The Connecticut vs. Rice Over/Under is 49.5 total points.

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Connecticut vs. Rice Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Connecticut	-10 -115	49.5 -110	-425
Rice	+10 -105	49.5 -110	320

Connecticut vs Rice Prediction:

The winning team model predicts UConn will win this game with 75.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Connecticut and Rice, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Connecticut vs Rice Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Rice will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Connecticut Best Bets Today

Connecticut has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+4.90 Units / 8% ROI)
Connecticut have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+3.70 Units / 26% ROI)
Connecticut has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
Connecticut has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 away games (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
Connecticut have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.55 Units / 11% ROI)

Rice Best Bets Today

Rice has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 62% ROI)
Rice has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+3.75 Units / 8% ROI)
Rice have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.65 Units / 21% ROI)
Rice has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+2.35 Units / 22% ROI)
Rice has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+1.20 Units / 9% ROI)

Connecticut Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Connecticut is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

Connecticut is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
Connecticut is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
Connecticut is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Rice Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Rice iss 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).

Rice is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.1 Units / 0.19% ROI
Rice is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
Rice is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI

Connecticut: Keys to the Game vs. Rice

UConn sacked opposing QBs on 25% of pass attempts (7/28) last week– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

UConn has tackled opponents for a loss on 26 of 108 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

UConn tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 64 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

UConn sacked opposing QBs on 25% of pass attempts (7/28) last week– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: 6%

UConn sacked opponents 7 times last week– T-2nd-most in FBS

Rice: Keys to the Game vs. Connecticut

UConn completed passes for 40+ yards on 3 of their 31 total passing attempts (10%) last week– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 2%

UConn have not been intercepted (247 pass attempts) this season– T-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 42.4

UConn RBs have averaged 13.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (383 yards / 28 touches) on 3rd down this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 6.0

UConn have thrown 17 TDs and no interceptions this season– T-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 2.3

UConn’s RBs has averaged 12.4 yards after the catch this season — 7th-best among FBS RBs. Rice’s defense has allowed 9.3 RAC to RBs this season — 28th-worst among FBS defenses.

Matchup Notes for Connecticut vs. Rice