- Duke is a -4.5 point favorite vs. Wake Forest
- Duke vs. Wake Forest Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
- TV Channel: ACCN
The Duke Blue Devils (8-3) visit Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium to take on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (4-7) on Nov. 30 in Winston-Salem, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.
Duke is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Duke vs. Wake Forest Over/Under is 53.5 total points.
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Duke vs. Wake Forest Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Duke | -4.5 -110 | 53.5 -110 | -175 |
| Wake Forest | +4.5 -110 | 53.5 -110 | +145 |
Duke vs Wake Forest Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Duke will win this game with 62.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Duke and Wake Forest, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Duke vs Wake Forest Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Wake Forest will cover the spread with 65.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Wake Forest vs Duke and all games with BetMGM
Duke Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+8.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- Duke has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Duke has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+6.30 Units / 55% ROI)
- Duke have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.10 Units / 51% ROI)
- Duke have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.75 Units / 36% ROI)
Wake Forest Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Wake Forest has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Wake Forest has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- Wake Forest have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Wake Forest has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- Wake Forest have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.90 Units / 16% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Duke players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Duke Player Prop Bets Today
- Jordan Moore has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Wake Forest players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Wake Forest Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Demond Claiborne has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Taylor Morin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Horatio Fields has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Duke Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Duke is 7-3 against the spread this college football season (+3.75 Units / 31.25% ROI).
- Duke is 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.6 Units / 19.66% ROI
- Duke is 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
- Duke is 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
Wake Forest Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Wake Forest is 3-6 against the spread this college football season (-3.6 Units / -29.75% ROI).
- Wake Forest is 3-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.05 Units / -35.53% ROI
- Wake Forest is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.13% ROI
- Wake Forest is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.13% ROI
Duke: Keys to the Game vs. Wake Forest
Duke is undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .737
Duke is 15-4 (.789) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .605
Duke is 1-7 (.125) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-13th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .298
Duke is 8-4 (.667) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .504
Wake Forest: Keys to the Game vs. Duke
Wake Forest is 3-14 (.176) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .485
Wake Forest is 5-13 (.278) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 27th-worst in FBS; Average: .454
Wake Forest is 2-8 (.200) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-27th-worst in FBS; Average: .354
Wake Forest is 5-14 (.263) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-26th-worst in FBS; Average: .432
Matchup Notes for Duke vs. Wake Forest
Wake Forest’s TEs has gained 161 yards on 24 receptions (just 6.7 YPR) this season — worst among ACC TEs. Duke’s defense has allowed just 10.9 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-best among ACC defenses.
Wake Forest’s TEs has gained 305 yards on 35 receptions (just 8.7 YPR) since the 2023 season — worst among ACC TEs. Duke’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
Wake Forest’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.4% of 694 attempts since the 2023 season — T-19th-worst among FBS offenses. Duke’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.2% of attempts since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among ACC defenses.
Duke has 428 receptions in 24 games (just 17.8 per game) since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among ACC skill players. Wake Forest’s defense has allowed 22.3 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-worst among FBS defenses.
Duke’s WRs has averaged just 11.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among ACC WRs. Wake Forest’s defense has allowed just 12.1 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.
Duke’s WRs has gained 2,292 yards on 188 receptions (just 12.2 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among ACC WRs. Wake Forest’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — best among ACC defenses.
Duke Offensive Stats & Trends
Duke has 428 receptions in 24 games (just 17.8 per game) since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among ACC skill players. Wake Forest’s defense has allowed 22.3 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-worst among FBS defenses.
Duke’s WRs has averaged just 11.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among ACC WRs. Wake Forest’s defense has allowed just 12.1 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.
Duke’s WRs has gained 2,292 yards on 188 receptions (just 12.2 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among ACC WRs. Wake Forest’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — best among ACC defenses.
Duke’s TEs has 17 receptions in 11 games (just 1.5 per game) this season — worst among ACC TEs. Wake Forest’s defense has allowed 4.3 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.
Duke’s TEs has 17 receptions in 11 games (just 1.5 per game) this season — 3rd-worst among P5 TEs. Wake Forest’s defense has allowed 26.7 receptions per game this season — worst among ACC defenses.
Wake Forest Offensive Stats & Trends
Wake Forest’s TEs has gained 161 yards on 24 receptions (just 6.7 YPR) this season — worst among ACC TEs. Duke’s defense has allowed just 10.9 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-best among ACC defenses.
Wake Forest’s TEs has gained 305 yards on 35 receptions (just 8.7 YPR) since the 2023 season — worst among ACC TEs. Duke’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
Wake Forest’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.4% of 694 attempts since the 2023 season — T-19th-worst among FBS offenses. Duke’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.2% of attempts since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among ACC defenses.
Wake Forest’s TEs has gained 305 yards on 35 receptions (just 8.7 YPR) since the 2023 season — worst among ACC TEs. Duke’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — best among ACC defenses.
Wake Forest’s RBs has averaged 11.4 yards after the catch this season — 12th-best among FBS RBs. Duke’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.
Duke Blue Devils Defensive Stats & Trends
Duke sacked opposing QBs on 25% of pass attempts (8/32) last week– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: 7%
Duke sacked opponents 8 times last week– 2nd-most in FBS
Duke has allowed 8 rushing TDs on 68 carries (8.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 4.6
Duke has allowed a Completion Pct of just 41% (45 completions/110 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%
Duke has allowed a Completion Pct of just 36% (19 completions/53 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%
Wake Forest Demon Deacons Defensive Stats & Trends
Opponents have averaged 26.7 completions per game (294 / 11) against Wake Forest this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 18.8
Opponents have averaged 26.7 completions per game (294 / 11) against Wake Forest this season– worst in FBS; Average: 18.5
Wake Forest has allowed 162 first down receptions this season– most in FBS
Wake Forest has allowed 294 completions this season– most among Power Conference Teams
Wake Forest has allowed 162 first down receptions this season– most among Power Conference Teams
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