- Alabama Crimson Tide is a -28 point favorite vs. East Carolina Pirates
- East Carolina vs. Alabama Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
- TV Channel: ABC
East Carolina (0-0) visit Bryant-Denny Stadium to take on Alabama (0-0) on Sep. 5 in Tuscaloosa, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 pm.
The Alabama Crimson Tide are betting favorites in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -28 (-108).
The East Carolina vs. Alabama Over/Under is 52.5 total points.
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East Carolina vs. Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| East Carolina | +28 -110 | 52.5 -108 | +2200 |
| Alabama | -28 -108 | 52.5 -110 | -5000 |
East Carolina vs Alabama Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Alabama will win this game with 95.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both East Carolina Pirates and Alabama Crimson Tide, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
East Carolina vs Alabama Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts East Carolina will cover the spread with 55.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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East Carolina Best Bets Today
- East Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+8.60 Units / 8% ROI)
- East Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.95 Units / 47% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- East Carolina have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
Alabama Best Bets Today
- Alabama has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+4.95 Units / 13% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 63% ROI)
East Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Alabama
East Carolina was 8-5 (.615) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .442
East Carolina was 6-4 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .388
East Carolina was 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .632
East Carolina was winless (0-8) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .418
Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. East Carolina
Alabama was 9-2 (.818) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .575
Alabama was 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .632
Alabama was 9-2 (.818) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .618
Alabama was 6-3 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .429
Matchup Notes for East Carolina vs. Alabama
Alabama’s TEs had 62 receptions in 15 games (4.1 per game) last season — 5th-best among SEC TEs. East Carolina’s defense allowed 22.2 receptions per game last season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Alabama’s WRs had 1.7 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-10th-best among FBS WRs. East Carolina’s defense allowed just 1.2 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.
Alabama’s WRs had 1.7 receiving touchdowns per game last season — best among SEC WRs. East Carolina’s defense allowed just 1.2 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.
East Carolina’s offense threw for 3,545 passing yards in 13 games (272.7 YPG) last season — 21st-best among FBS offenses. Alabama’s defense allowed just 169.9 passing yards per game last season — best among SEC defenses.
East Carolina’s QBs threw for 3,528 passing yards in 13 games (271.4 YPG) last season — 20th-best among FBS teams. Alabama’s defense allowed just 169.9 passing yards per game last season — 10th-best among FBS defenses.
East Carolina’s RBs averaged just 5.9 yards after the catch last season — T-21st-worst among FBS RBs. Alabama’s defense allowed just 9.6 RAC last season — T-6th-best among FBS defenses.
East Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends
East Carolina’s offense threw for 3,545 passing yards in 13 games (272.7 YPG) last season — 21st-best among FBS offenses. Alabama’s defense allowed just 169.9 passing yards per game last season — best among SEC defenses.
East Carolina’s QBs threw for 3,528 passing yards in 13 games (271.4 YPG) last season — 20th-best among FBS teams. Alabama’s defense allowed just 169.9 passing yards per game last season — 10th-best among FBS defenses.
East Carolina’s RBs averaged just 5.9 yards after the catch last season — T-21st-worst among FBS RBs. Alabama’s defense allowed just 9.6 RAC last season — T-6th-best among FBS defenses.
East Carolina’s QBs threw for 3,528 passing yards in 13 games (271.4 YPG) last season — 20th-best among FBS teams. Alabama’s defense allowed just 169.9 passing yards per game last season — best among SEC defenses.
East Carolina’s offense threw for 3,545 passing yards in 13 games (272.7 YPG) last season — 21st-best among FBS offenses. Alabama’s defense allowed just 169.9 passing yards per game last season — 10th-best among FBS defenses.
Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends
Alabama WRs averaged 29.0 yards per reception (348 yards/12 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.8
Alabama Skill Players averaged 20.7 yards per reception (497 yards/24 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9
Alabama threw 7 TDs and no interceptions in the 4th quarter last season– T-2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 1.6
Alabama RBs averaged 19.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (135 yards / 7 touches) on 3rd and long last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.6
Alabama TEs had no touchdowns on 1 receptions in the Red Zone last season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 1.8
East Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends
East Carolina allowed 8 rushing TDs on 70 carries (8.8 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.5
East Carolina tackled opponents for a loss on 95 of 435 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) last season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
East Carolina tackled opponents for a loss on 19 of 70 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
East Carolina tackled opponents for a loss on 95 of 435 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
East Carolina tackled opponents for a loss on 19 of 70 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 14%.
Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends
Alabama allowed 10 rushing TDs on 487 carries (48.7 Carries Per TD) last season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 23.2
Alabama forced 17 fumbles last season– 3rd-most in FBS
Alabama allowed first downs on 7% of pass attempts in the Red Zone last season– best in the SEC; Average: 21%
Alabama tackled opponents for a loss on 13 of 69 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– T-29th-best in FBS; Average: 14%.
Alabama forced 17 fumbles last season– 3rd-most among Power Conference Teams
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