- Appalachian State is a -9.5 point favorite vs. East Carolina
- Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN+
The East Carolina Pirates visit Kidd Brewer Stadium to take on the Appalachian State Mountaineers on Sep. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Boone.
Appalachian State is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).
The East Carolina vs. Appalachian State Over/Under is 47.5 total points.
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East Carolina vs. Appalachian State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 3
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| East Carolina | +7.5 -110 | 47.5 -105 | +240 |
| Appalachian State | -7.5 -110 | 47.5 -115 | -300 |
East Carolina vs Appalachian State Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Appalachian State will win this game with 77.5% confidence.
East Carolina vs Appalachian State Spread Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Appalachian State will cover the spread with 76.2% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both East Carolina and Appalachian State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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East Carolina Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- East Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.75 Units / 61% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- East Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.90 Units / 41% ROI)
Appalachian State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Appalachian State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Appalachian State has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Appalachian State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Appalachian State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+1.60 Units / 4% ROI)
- Appalachian State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.45 Units / 11% ROI)
East Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record
East Carolina is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.15 Units / -6.52% ROI).
- East Carolina is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- East Carolina is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- East Carolina is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Appalachian State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Appalachian State is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Appalachian State is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Appalachian State is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Appalachian State is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
East Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Appalachian State
East Carolina is winless (0-4) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .338
East Carolina was winless (0-3) when throwing at least 1 interception in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .352
Appalachian State: Keys to the Game vs. East Carolina
Appalachian State is winless (0-3) when allowing 3 or more sacks since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .283
Appalachian State was winless (0-5) when throwing at least 1 interception in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .352
Appalachian State is winless (0-5) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .338
Matchup Notes for East Carolina vs. Appalachian State
Appalachian State has gained 3,525 yards on 265 receptions (13.3 YPR) since the 2022 season — tied for 21st-best among FBS skill players. East Carolina’s defense has allowed 13.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2022 season — tied for 15th-worst among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State’s WRs has gained 2,643 yards on 172 receptions (15.4 YPR) since the 2022 season — 13th-best among FBS WRs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed 13.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2022 season — tied for 15th-worst among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.3% of 426 attempts since the 2022 season — 14th-best among FBS offenses. East Carolina’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.3% of attempts since the 2022 season — tied for eighth-best among FBS defenses.
East Carolina has gained 255 yards on 30 receptions (just 8.5 YPR) this season — tied for fifth-worst among FBS skill players. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed just 8.7 Yards Per Reception this season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.
East Carolina’s WRs has gained 197 yards on 23 receptions (just 8.6 YPR) this season — tied for fourth-worst among FBS WRs. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed just 8.7 Yards Per Reception this season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.
East Carolina has 30 receptions in 2 games (just 15.0 per game) this season — tied for 22nd-worst among FBS skill players. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed 25.0 receptions per game this season — tied for 14th-worst among FBS defenses.
East Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends
East Carolina RBs averaged 8.0 Yards per Carry (636 yards/80 carries) in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
East Carolina RBs have averaged 7.1 Yards per Carry (677 yards/96 carries) in the 4th quarter since last season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
East Carolina RBs have been targeted 5 times in the 4th quarter this season– tied for 3rd-most among FBS Teams
East Carolina has gained 255 yards on 30 receptions (just 8.5 YPR) this season — tied for fifth-worst among FBS skill players. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed just 8.7 Yards Per Reception this season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.
East Carolina TEs have fumbled 4 times since the 2021 season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams
Appalachian State Offensive Stats & Trends
Appalachian State has gained 3,525 yards on 265 receptions (13.3 YPR) since the 2022 season — tied for 21st-best among FBS skill players. East Carolina’s defense has allowed 13.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2022 season — tied for 15th-worst among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State’s WRs has gained 2,643 yards on 172 receptions (15.4 YPR) since the 2022 season — 13th-best among FBS WRs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed 13.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2022 season — tied for 15th-worst among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State Skill Players had 15 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season– tied for most among FBS Teams
Appalachian State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.3% of 426 attempts since the 2022 season — 14th-best among FBS offenses. East Carolina’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.3% of attempts since the 2022 season — tied for eighth-best among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State’s WRs have 223.0 receiving yards per game this season — 33rd-best among FBS WRs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed 270.5 receiving yards per game this season — 28th-worst among FBS defenses.
East Carolina Pirates Defensive Stats & Trends
East Carolina did not record a sack (42 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 16.7
East Carolina has allowed a Completion Pct of 68% (84 completions/124 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2021 season– 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 55%
East Carolina has allowed a Completion Pct of 68% (84 completions/124 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2021 season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 54%
East Carolina defense allowed 54 completions for 20 or more yards in the 2022 season– fewest in FBS
East Carolina has allowed a passer rating of 156.7 (496.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– 5th worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 132.4
Appalachian State Mountaineers Defensive Stats & Trends
Appalachian State has not recorded a sack (45 pass attempts) this season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 15.4
Appalachian State has allowed a passer rating of just 108.3 in the Red Zone (95.0 Pass Attempts) since the 2021 season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 164.7
Appalachian State allowed passes of 20+ yards on 12 of 56 attempts (21%) on 3rd and long in the 2022 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 10%
Appalachian State has averaged 2.00 interceptions per game (2/1) this season– tied for 9th-best in FBS; Average: 0.85
Appalachian State has allowed a passer rating of just 108.3 in the Red Zone (95.0 Pass Attempts) since the 2021 season– 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 165.2
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