- Michigan is a -36.5 point favorite vs East Carolina
- Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
- Watch the game on Peacock
The East Carolina Pirates visit Michigan Stadium to take on the Michigan Wolverines on Sep. 2. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT in Ann Arbor.
– is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at ().
The East Carolina vs. Michigan Over/Under is total points.
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East Carolina vs. Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 1
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| East Carolina | |||
| Michigan |
East Carolina vs Michigan Prediction for Week 1
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Michigan will win this game with 95.0% confidence.
East Carolina vs Michigan Spread Prediction for Week 1
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Michigan will cover the spread with 80.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both East Carolina and Michigan, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Michigan Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Michigan players for Week 1, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Cornelius Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Cornelius Johnson has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 70% ROI)
- Blake Corum has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- J.J. McCarthy has hit the Passing Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+3.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- J.J. McCarthy has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 3 games (+3.40 Units / 103% ROI)
- Roman Wilson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- J.J. McCarthy has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Blake Corum has hit the Receptions Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Blake Corum has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.50 Units / 20% ROI)
East Carolina Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- East Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+7.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- East Carolina have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.75 Units / 61% ROI)
- East Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.40 Units / 44% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+5.10 Units / 33% ROI)
Michigan Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 22 games (+15.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- Michigan have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+5.80 Units / 23% ROI)
East Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record
East Carolina went against the spread last college football season ( Units / ROI).
- East Carolina went 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.45 Units / -14.19% ROI
- East Carolina went 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI
- East Carolina went 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI
Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Michigan went against the spread last college football season ( Units / ROI).
- Michigan went 8-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.4 Units / 9.12% ROI
- Michigan went 5-8 when betting the Over for -3.8 Units / -24.68% ROI
- Michigan went 8-5 when betting the Under for +2.5 Units / 16.23% ROI
East Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Michigan
East Carolina was winless (0-3) when throwing at least 1 interception in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .355
Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. East Carolina
#2 Michigan is 17-3 (.850) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– tied for 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .422
#2 Michigan is 11-2 (.846) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2021 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .373
#2 Michigan is undefeated (24-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– tied for best in FBS; Average: .594
#2 Michigan is 24-1 (.960) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2021 season– best in FBS; Average: .558
Matchup Notes for East Carolina vs. Michigan
Cornelius Johnson (MICH) gained 492 yards after catch in the 2022 season — ninth-most of Qualified Big Ten Wide Receiverss. East Carolina’s defense allowed 3,748 yards after catch in the 2022 season — third-most among NonP5 defenses.
Michigan’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.1% of 763 attempts since the 2021 season — 31st-best among FBS offenses. East Carolina’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.3% of attempts since the 2021 season — tied for 18th-best among FBS defenses.
Cornelius Johnson (MICH) has gained 20 or more yards on 22.2% of 72 receptions since the 2021 season — ninth-best of Qualified Big Ten Skill Playerss. East Carolina’s defense has allowed 20+ yards on 19.3% of receptions since the 2021 season — 27th-best among FBS defenses.
East Carolina’s QBs has thrown for 7,208 passing yards in 25 games (288.3 YPG) since the 2021 season — 22nd-best among FBS teams. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 215.6 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — 19th-best among FBS defenses.
East Carolina’s QBs has thrown for 7,208 passing yards in 25 games (288.3 YPG) since the 2021 season — 22nd-best among FBS teams. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 215.6 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Big Ten defenses.
East Carolina’s QBs threw for 3,865 passing yards in 13 games (297.3 YPG) in the 2022 season — 17th-best among FBS teams. Michigan’s defense allowed just 212.0 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — 21st-best among FBS defenses.
East Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends
East Carolina’s QBs has thrown for 7,208 passing yards in 25 games (288.3 YPG) since the 2021 season — 22nd-best among FBS teams. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 215.6 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — 19th-best among FBS defenses.
East Carolina’s QBs has thrown for 7,208 passing yards in 25 games (288.3 YPG) since the 2021 season — 22nd-best among FBS teams. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 215.6 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Big Ten defenses.
East Carolina’s QBs threw for 3,865 passing yards in 13 games (297.3 YPG) in the 2022 season — 17th-best among FBS teams. Michigan’s defense allowed just 212.0 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — 21st-best among FBS defenses.
East Carolina’s offense has thrown for 7,017 passing yards in 25 games (280.7 YPG) since the 2021 season — 18th-best among FBS offenses. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 215.6 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Big Ten defenses.
East Carolina’s offense threw for 3,779 passing yards in 13 games (290.7 YPG) in the 2022 season — 16th-best among FBS offenses. Michigan’s defense allowed just 212.0 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — 21st-best among FBS defenses.
Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends
Michigan’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.1% of 763 attempts since the 2021 season — 31st-best among FBS offenses. East Carolina’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.3% of attempts since the 2021 season — tied for 18th-best among FBS defenses.
Michigan’s TEs has gained 1,408 yards on 119 receptions (11.8 YPR) since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Big Ten TEs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for 25th-worst among FBS defenses.
Michigan’s WRs has gained 3,987 yards on 269 receptions (14.8 YPR) since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Big Ten WRs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for 25th-worst among FBS defenses.
Michigan’s WRs gained 1,943 yards on 141 receptions (13.8 YPR) in the 2022 season — fifth-best among Big Ten WRs. East Carolina’s defense allowed 14.9 Yards Per Reception to WRs in the 2022 season — tied for 12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Michigan’s WRs gained 1,943 yards on 141 receptions (13.8 YPR) in the 2022 season — fifth-best among Big Ten WRs. East Carolina’s defense allowed 13.2 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — tied for 16th-worst among FBS defenses.
East Carolina Pirates Defensive Stats & Trends
East Carolina did not record a sack (43 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 17.1
East Carolina allowed 60 receptions for 20+ yards in the 2022 season– 2nd-most among Non-Power 5 Teams
East Carolina allowed 4,005 Passing Yards in the 2022 season– 4th-most in FBS
East Carolina defense allowed 60 completions for 20 or more yards in the 2022 season– 2nd-most among Non-Power 5 Teams
East Carolina allowed 4,005 Passing Yards in the 2022 season– 3rd-most among Non-Power 5 Teams
Michigan Wolverines Defensive Stats & Trends
#2 Michigan opponents averaged 41.5 Passing Attempts per TD (457 Pass Attempts/11 Passing TDs) in the 2022 season– tied for 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 20.3
#2 Michigan allowed passes of 20+ yards on 13 of 64 attempts (20%) on 3rd and long in the 2022 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9%
#2 Michigan’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 14% of PATs since the 2021 season– tied for 2nd-highest in FBS; Average: 5%
#2 Michigan opponents has averaged 32.6 Passing Attempts per TD (913 Pass Attempts/28 Passing TDs) since the 2021 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 19.9
#2 Michigan opponents averaged 7.3 Passing Attempts per TD (51 Pass Attempts/7 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– tied for 6th-best in FBS; Average: 4.0
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