East Carolina vs North Texas Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 13

min read
North Texas wide receiver Damon Ward Jr. sprints after the snap during the second half of an NCAA football game against UTEP on Saturday, Aug. 27, 2022, in El Paso, Texas. (AP Photo/Andres Leighton)
(AP Photo/Andres Leighton)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 22, 2024, 1:14 PM
  • North Texas is a -3 point favorite vs. East Carolina
  • East Carolina vs. North Texas Total (Over/Under): 73.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

The East Carolina Pirates (6-4) visit DATCU Stadium to take on the North Texas Mean Green (5-5) on Nov. 23 in Denton, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.

North Texas is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).

The East Carolina vs. North Texas Over/Under is 73.5 total points.

Bet now on North Texas vs East Carolina & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

East Carolina vs. North Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
East Carolina+3 -11573.5 -115+125
North Texas -3 -10573.5 -105-150

East Carolina vs North Texas Prediction:

The winning team model predicts North Texas will win this game with 58.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both East Carolina and North Texas, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

East Carolina vs North Texas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts North Texas will cover the spread with 59.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on North Texas vs East Carolina and all games with BetMGM


  • East Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 52% ROI)
  • East Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.65 Units / 24% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+1.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+1.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.60 Units / 10% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for East Carolina players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best East Carolina Player Prop Bets Today

  • Rahjai Harris has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Chase Sowell has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

East Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

East Carolina is 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.65 Units / 15.07% ROI).

  • East Carolina is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.45 Units / -6.65% ROI
  • East Carolina is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.48% ROI
  • East Carolina is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.55 Units / -23.29% ROI

North Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

North Texas is 4-6 against the spread this college football season (-2.6 Units / -23.53% ROI).

  • North Texas is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -1.88% ROI
  • North Texas is 8-2 when betting the Over for +5.8 Units / 52.73% ROI
  • North Texas is 2-8 when betting the Under for -6.8 Units / -61.82% ROI

East Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. North Texas

East Carolina is 1-8 (.111) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .448

East Carolina is 4-12 (.250) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .415

East Carolina is 2-9 (.182) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .413

East Carolina is 4-10 (.286) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .443

North Texas: Keys to the Game vs. East Carolina

North Texas is 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .592

North Texas is 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-7th-best in FBS; Average: .625

North Texas is 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .650

North Texas is 1-7 (.125) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .371

Matchup Notes for East Carolina vs. North Texas

North Texas’s WRs have 296.2 receiving yards per game this season — best among FBS WRs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed 187.1 receiving yards per game to WRs this season — 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

North Texas’s RBs has rushed for 1,293 yards on 215 carries (6.0 YPC) this season — T-15th-best among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense have allowed just 3.7 YPC this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

North Texas’s RBs has rushed for 1,293 yards on 215 carries (6.0 YPC) this season — T-15th-best among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense have allowed just 4.3 YPC to RBs this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

East Carolina has gained 2,768 yards on 203 receptions (13.6 YPR) this season — T-18th-best among FBS skill players. North Texas’s defense has allowed 13.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.

East Carolina’s WRs has gained 2,283 yards on 152 receptions (15.0 YPR) this season — T-20th-best among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense has allowed 13.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.

East Carolina’s QBs has thrown for 2,768 passing yards in 10 games (276.8 YPG) this season — 22nd-best among FBS teams. North Texas’s defense has allowed 256.7 passing yards per game this season — 20th-worst among FBS defenses.

East Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends

East Carolina has gained 2,768 yards on 203 receptions (13.6 YPR) this season — T-18th-best among FBS skill players. North Texas’s defense has allowed 13.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.

East Carolina’s WRs has gained 2,283 yards on 152 receptions (15.0 YPR) this season — T-20th-best among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense has allowed 13.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.

East Carolina’s QBs has thrown for 2,768 passing yards in 10 games (276.8 YPG) this season — 22nd-best among FBS teams. North Texas’s defense has allowed 256.7 passing yards per game this season — 20th-worst among FBS defenses.

East Carolina’s WRs has gained 2,283 yards on 152 receptions (15.0 YPR) this season — T-20th-best among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense has allowed 15.1 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.

East Carolina’s WRs have 228.3 receiving yards per game this season — 10th-best among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense has allowed 183.8 receiving yards per game to WRs this season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

North Texas Offensive Stats & Trends

North Texas RBs averaged 10.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (240 yards / 22 touches) last week– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

North Texas RBs averaged 11.6 Yards per Carry (208 yards/18 carries) last week– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

North Texas RBs averaged 17.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (139 yards / 8 touches) on 1st down last week– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2

North Texas WRs have caught 17 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams

North Texas QBs have 30 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

East Carolina Pirates Defensive Stats & Trends

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 52 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on just 4 of 50 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 34th-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 176 of 855 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 27 of 127 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-9th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 176 of 855 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) since the 2023 season– T-10th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

North Texas Mean Green Defensive Stats & Trends

North Texas has forced 2 fumbles on 414 carries (207.0 Carries Per Fumble) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 44.4

North Texas has forced 8 fumbles on 958 carries (119.8 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 42.6

North Texas has allowed 211.0 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 142.6

North Texas has forced 2 fumbles on 414 carries (207.0 Carries Per Fumble) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 43.3

North Texas has forced 8 fumbles on 958 carries (119.8 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 42.0


Bet now on North Texas vs East Carolina and all games with BetMGM


More College Football Betting at BetMGM

BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.

Whether youโ€™re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.

Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!

BetMGM First Bet Offer
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.