Florida Atlantic vs Navy Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

BetMGM Betting Oct 24, 2025, 3:14 PM

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Navy is a -15.5 point favorite vs. Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic vs. Navy Total (Over/Under): 62.5 points
TV Channel: CBSN

Florida Atlantic (3-4) visit Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium to take on Navy (6-0) on Oct. 25 in Annapolis, MD. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Navy is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-115).

The Florida Atlantic vs. Navy Over/Under is 62.5 total points.

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Florida Atlantic vs. Navy Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Florida Atlantic	+15.5 -105	62.5 -105	500
Navy	-15.5 -115	62.5 -115	-700

Florida Atlantic vs Navy Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Navy will win this game with 78.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Florida Atlantic and Navy, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Florida Atlantic vs Navy Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Florida Atlantic will cover the spread with 52.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Florida Atlantic Best Bets Today

Florida Atlantic have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+4.80 Units / 30% ROI)
Florida Atlantic has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 56% ROI)
Florida Atlantic has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
Florida Atlantic has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.45 Units / 25% ROI)
Florida Atlantic have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 24% ROI)

Navy Best Bets Today

Navy has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 8% ROI)
Navy has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.65 Units / 24% ROI)
Navy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.55 Units / 11% ROI)
Navy has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
Navy has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.45 Units / 3% ROI)

Florida Atlantic Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Florida Atlantic is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).

Florida Atlantic is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -1.59% ROI
Florida Atlantic is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
Florida Atlantic is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI

Navy Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Navy iss 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI).

Navy is 5-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 15.53% ROI
Navy is 5-1 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI
Navy is 1-5 when betting the Under for -4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI

Florida Atlantic: Keys to the Game vs. Navy

Navy is 15-1 (.938) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .593

Navy is undefeated (13-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2024 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .598

Navy is 12-2 (.857) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .407

Navy is 11-1 (.917) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .554

Navy: Keys to the Game vs. Florida Atlantic

Florida Atlantic have averaged 30.7 receptions per game (215/7) this season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.5

Florida Atlantic have thrown 3 TDs on 186 pass attempts (one TD every 62.0 Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– 5th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.4

Florida Atlantic WRs have been targeted 33.7 times per game (236/7) this season– 3rd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.4

Florida Atlantic Skill Players have averaged 15.1 receptions per game (106/7) in the 2nd half this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 8.8

Florida Atlantic WRs have averaged 22.1 receptions per game (155/7) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.7

Matchup Notes for Florida Atlantic vs. Navy