Florida Atlantic vs South Florida Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 8

  • South Florida is a -21.5 point favorite vs. Florida Atlantic
  • Florida Atlantic vs. South Florida Total (Over/Under): 73.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPNU

Florida Atlantic (3-3) visit Raymond James Stadium to take on South Florida (5-1) on Oct. 18 in Tampa, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.

South Florida is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -21.5 (-110).

The Florida Atlantic vs. South Florida Over/Under is 73.5 total points.

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Florida Atlantic vs. South Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Florida Atlantic+21.5 -11073.5 -1101000
South Florida -21.5 -11073.5 -110-2000

Florida Atlantic vs South Florida Prediction:

The winning team model predicts South Florida will win this game with 76.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Florida Atlantic and South Florida, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Florida Atlantic vs South Florida Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Florida Atlantic will cover the spread with 54.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Florida Atlantic has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Florida Atlantic have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Florida Atlantic has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Florida Atlantic has hit the Team Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Florida Atlantic have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+4.80 Units / 30% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+12.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • South Florida have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.55 Units / 22% ROI)

Florida Atlantic Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Florida Atlantic is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Florida Atlantic is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.65 Units / 3.1% ROI
  • Florida Atlantic is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Florida Atlantic is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI

South Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record

South Florida iss 4-1 against the spread this college football season (+2.9 Units / 43.94% ROI).

  • South Florida is 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.15 Units / 10.8% ROI
  • South Florida is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • South Florida is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI

Florida Atlantic: Keys to the Game vs. South Florida

Florida Atlantic was winless (0-8) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Florida Atlantic is 1-11 (.083) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2024 season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .388

Florida Atlantic was winless (0-8) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Florida Atlantic is 1-11 (.083) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2024 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: .424

South Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Florida Atlantic

South Florida’s WRs has averaged just 12.3 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-31st-worst among FBS WRs. Florida Atlantic’s defense has allowed 14.1 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.

South Florida have thrown for 6 TDs in the 3rd quarter this season– T-most among FBS Offenses

South Florida’s RBs has rushed for 2,722 yards on 473 carries (5.8 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-15th-best among FBS RBs. Florida Atlantic’s defense have allowed 4.7 YPC since the 2024 season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.

South Florida’s RBs has rushed for 2,722 yards on 473 carries (5.8 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-15th-best among FBS RBs. Florida Atlantic’s defense have allowed 5.3 YPC to RBs since the 2024 season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.

South Florida WRs fumbled 9 times last season– T-most among FBS Teams

Matchup Notes for Florida Atlantic vs. South Florida

South Florida’s WRs has averaged just 12.3 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-31st-worst among FBS WRs. Florida Atlantic’s defense has allowed 14.1 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.

South Florida have thrown for 6 TDs in the 3rd quarter this season– T-most among FBS Offenses

South Florida’s RBs has rushed for 2,722 yards on 473 carries (5.8 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-15th-best among FBS RBs. Florida Atlantic’s defense have allowed 4.7 YPC since the 2024 season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.

South Florida’s RBs has rushed for 2,722 yards on 473 carries (5.8 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-15th-best among FBS RBs. Florida Atlantic’s defense have allowed 5.3 YPC to RBs since the 2024 season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.

South Florida WRs fumbled 9 times last season– T-most among FBS Teams

Florida Atlantic was winless (0-8) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Florida Atlantic is 1-11 (.083) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2024 season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .388

Florida Atlantic was winless (0-8) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Florida Atlantic is 1-11 (.083) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2024 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: .424

Florida Atlantic Offensive Stats & Trends

Florida Atlantic was winless (0-8) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Florida Atlantic is 1-11 (.083) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2024 season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .388

Florida Atlantic was winless (0-8) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Florida Atlantic is 1-11 (.083) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2024 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: .424

South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends

South Florida’s WRs has averaged just 12.3 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-31st-worst among FBS WRs. Florida Atlantic’s defense has allowed 14.1 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.

South Florida have thrown for 6 TDs in the 3rd quarter this season– T-most among FBS Offenses

South Florida’s RBs has rushed for 2,722 yards on 473 carries (5.8 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-15th-best among FBS RBs. Florida Atlantic’s defense have allowed 4.7 YPC since the 2024 season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.

South Florida’s RBs has rushed for 2,722 yards on 473 carries (5.8 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-15th-best among FBS RBs. Florida Atlantic’s defense have allowed 5.3 YPC to RBs since the 2024 season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.

South Florida WRs fumbled 9 times last season– T-most among FBS Teams

Florida Atlantic Defensive Stats & Trends

Florida Atlantic was winless (0-8) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Florida Atlantic is 1-11 (.083) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2024 season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .388

Florida Atlantic was winless (0-8) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Florida Atlantic is 1-11 (.083) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2024 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: .424

South Florida Defensive Stats & Trends

South Florida’s WRs has averaged just 12.3 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-31st-worst among FBS WRs. Florida Atlantic’s defense has allowed 14.1 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.

South Florida have thrown for 6 TDs in the 3rd quarter this season– T-most among FBS Offenses

South Florida’s RBs has rushed for 2,722 yards on 473 carries (5.8 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-15th-best among FBS RBs. Florida Atlantic’s defense have allowed 4.7 YPC since the 2024 season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.

South Florida’s RBs has rushed for 2,722 yards on 473 carries (5.8 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-15th-best among FBS RBs. Florida Atlantic’s defense have allowed 5.3 YPC to RBs since the 2024 season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.

South Florida WRs fumbled 9 times last season– T-most among FBS Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.