- Oregon State (9-3) are -10.5 point favorites vs Florida (6-6)
- Total (Over/Under): 51 points
- Watch the SRS Distribution Las Vegas Bowl game on ESPN
The Florida Gators (6-7) visit Allegiant Stadium to take on the Oregon State Beavers (10-3) on Dec. 17. Kickoff is scheduled for 2:30pm EST in Las Vegas.
– are betting favorites in Week 16, with the spread sitting at ().
The Florida vs. Oregon State Over/Under is total points.
Bet now on Oregon State vs Florida & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Florida vs. Oregon State Odds, Spread, Over/Under, Bowl Game
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Florida | |||
| Oregon State |
Florida vs Oregon State Prediction:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Oregon State will win this game with 76.2% confidence.
Florida vs Oregon State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oregon State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Florida and Oregon State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Bet now on Oregon State vs Florida and all games with BetMGM
Best Florida Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Florida players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Xzavier Henderson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- Ricky Pearsall has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+1.85 Units / 41% ROI)
Best Oregon State Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Oregon State players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tre’Shaun Harrison has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Ben Gulbranson has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 78% ROI)
Florida Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Florida have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Florida has hit the Team Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Florida has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Florida has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
Oregon State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Oregon State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 20 games (+13.70 Units / 63% ROI)
- Oregon State have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 9 games at home (+9.15 Units / 88% ROI)
- Oregon State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+8.90 Units / 73% ROI)
- Oregon State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 9 games at home (+8.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Oregon State has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.15 Units / 15% ROI)
Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Florida has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).
- Florida is 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.15 Units / -38.17% ROI
- Florida is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
- Florida is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
Oregon State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Oregon State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).
- Oregon State is 8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 13.3% ROI
- Oregon State is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
- Oregon State is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon State
Florida is 3-8 (.200) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season– 11th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .372
Florida is 1-8 (.111) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: .384
Florida is 1-8 (.111) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .345
Florida is 4-10 (.286) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– tied for 14th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .518
Oregon State: Keys to the Game vs. Florida
#16 Oregon State is undefeated (5-0) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2021 season– tied for best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .572
#16 Oregon State is undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2021 season– tied for best in FBS; Average: .559
#16 Oregon State is 10-3 (.769) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season– 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .561
#16 Oregon State is 4-1 (.800) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — tied for 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .376
Matchup Notes for Florida vs. Oregon State
Florida’s WRs has gained 1,903 yards on 117 receptions (16.3 YPR) this season — third-best among Power 5 WRs. Oregon State’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — second-best among Pac-12 defenses.
Florida has gained 2,277 yards on 162 receptions (14.1 YPR) this season — third-best among Power 5 skill players. Oregon State’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — second-best among Pac-12 defenses.
Florida’s QBs has rushed for 594 yards on 86 carries (6.9 YPC) this season — second-best among FBS teams. Oregon State’s defense have allowed just 3.9 YPC this season — third-best among Pac-12 defenses.
Florida Offensive Stats & Trends
Florida Skill Players have averaged 19.4 yards per reception (271 yards/14 catches) with 4-6 yards to go this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.3
Florida WRs have averaged 24.0 yards per reception (192 yards/8 catches) with 4-6 yards to go this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.3
Florida’s WRs has gained 1,903 yards on 117 receptions (16.3 YPR) this season — third-best among Power 5 WRs. Oregon State’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — second-best among Pac-12 defenses.
Florida QBs have rushed for 345 yards in close and late situations since last season– most among FBS Teams
Florida WRs have averaged 17.6 yards per reception (793 yards/45 catches) on 1st down this season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 13.3
Oregon State Offensive Stats & Trends
#16 Oregon State RBs have fumbled 4 times in the Red Zone since last season– tied for most among FBS Teams
#16 Oregon State WRs have averaged 21.6 yards per reception (108 yards/5 catches) on 3rd and short since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.7
#16 Oregon State Skill Players have averaged 16.8 yards per reception (134 yards/8 catches) on 3rd and short since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9.7
#16 Oregon State WRs have averaged 18.7 yards per reception (280 yards/15 catches) in short yardage situations since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.8
#16 Oregon State RBs have no touchdowns on 48 receptions since last season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.1
Florida Gators Defensive Stats & Trends
Florida has allowed first downs on 35% of rush attempts on 3rd and long this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 14%
Florida has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 7 of 20 carries (35%) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%
Florida has allowed first downs on 35% of rush attempts on 3rd and long this season– worst in FBS; Average: 15%
Florida has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 7 of 20 carries (35%) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 18%
Florida has allowed first downs on 44% of pass attempts in close and late situations this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 29%
Oregon State Beavers Defensive Stats & Trends
#16 Oregon State has averaged a sack every 24.4 pass attempts (829 Pass Attempts/34 Sacks) since last season– 4th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 14.3
#16 Oregon State has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (15/399) this season– 5th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%
#16 Oregon State has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (34/829) since last season– 4th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%
#16 Oregon State has averaged a sack every 26.6 pass attempts (399 Pass Attempts/15 Sacks) this season– 5th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 14.7
#16 Oregon State has allowed 0.8 touchdowns per interception (10 TDs allowed, and 12 INT) this season– tied for 5th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 1.8
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